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Real Madrid v Leganes : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

The La Liga is the focus for both Real Madrid and Leganes on Saturday night, as managers Carlo Ancelotti and Borja Jiménez Sáez face one another at the Santiago Bernabéu. We've analysed both teams' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
68%
1/5
3%
1/5
4%
Draw
18%
11/2
13%
6/1
8%
Leganes
14%
12/1
7%
11/1
9%
Real Madrid 2-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
8/1
18%
13/2
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
13%
10/1
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
13/26/1
7%
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
10/1
10%
17/2
5%
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
12%
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
Leganes 2-1
4%
28/1
15%
22/1
Leganes 1-0
4%
28/1
15%
22/1
10%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
25/118/1
12%
Real Madrid 5-0
2%
18/1
12%
14/1
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/9
6%
4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
7/4
14%
13/8
3%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/6-
Away 1st Goal
39%
15/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1/1
3%
1/1
5%
BTTS - No
46%
3/4
3%
8/11
5%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/4
10%
17/10
4%
BTTS - Draw
14%
7/1
6%
7/1
14%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
18/1
10%
16/1
13%
Home/draw
86%
1/251/33
2%
Away/draw
32%
10/3
13%
17/5
13%
Home/away
82%
1/9
1%
1/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/7
4%
2/15
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/2
21%
17/4
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/5
15%
21/20
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/6
13%
7/10
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
11/4
25%
23/10
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/7
8%
2/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
11/2
30%
19/4
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/9
5%
1/9
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/100
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
13%
Home DNB
81%
1/16
1%
1/25
2%
Away DNB
27%
9/1
9%
17/2
19%
Real Madrid win to nil
36%
1/1-
Leganes win to nil
6%
20/1
9%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
48%
4/6
6%
13/20
3%
Real Madrid / Leganes
2%
50/145/1
12%
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
20/118/1
12%
Draw / Real Madrid
21%
11/4
6%
3/1
Draw / Leganes
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
12%
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
17%
8/1
6%
Leganes / Real Madrid
5%
16/116/1
Leganes / Leganes
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
Leganes / Draw
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
11%
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Leganes are in 18th position in the La Liga on 27 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 5. Leganes have conceded 42 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Leganes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2719354860 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
Apr 13
w
 
0-1F
2
Real Madrid H2818643260 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Mar 29
3
A.Madrid2816842456 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
4
A.Bilbao28141042252 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Villarreal2712871144 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-5F
May 14
6
Real Betis281288344 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
7
Mallorca2811710-640 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
8
Celta2811611039 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
9
R.Vallecano289109037 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
10
Getafe289910236 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
11
Sevilla289910-536 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
w
 
1-0F
May 4
12
R.Sociedad2810513-535 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
13
Girona289712-534 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 23
l
 
4-3A
14
Osasuna277128-633 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 7
d
 
1-1F
15
Espanyol277713-1328 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
May 11
d
 
1-1A
16
Valencia2861012-1528 
Apr 5
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
17
Alaves286913-1027 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
18
Leganes Away286913-1727 
Mar 29
w
 
0-3F
-
-
19
Las Palmas286715-1525 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 18
20
Valladolid284420-4516 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
3
Leganes have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Real Madrid have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
5
Leganes have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Leganes 18TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta2 - 1Leganes
R.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
Valencia2 - 0Leganes
A.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
Espanyol1 - 1Leganes
Barcelona0 - 1Leganes
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Girona4 - 3Leganes
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
R.Vallecano1 - 1Leganes
Getafe1 - 1Leganes
Real Betis2 - 0Leganes
Valladolid0 - 0Leganes
Osasuna1 - 1Leganes
Racing Ferrol2 - 2Leganes
Albacete1 - 0Leganes
Eldense1 - 2Leganes
Tenerife0 - 0Leganes
Huesca0 - 0Leganes
Villarreal II1 - 2Leganes
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeganes2 - 3Real Betis
ALeganes1 - 2Celta
HLeganes1 - 0Getafe
ALeganes0 - 3R.Sociedad
HLeganes3 - 3Alaves
ALeganes0 - 2Valencia
HLeganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
ALeganes0 - 0A.Bilbao
HLeganes1 - 0A.Madrid
ALeganes1 - 1Espanyol
HLeganes2 - 5Villarreal
ALeganes1 - 0Barcelona
HLeganes0 - 3R.Sociedad
ALeganes1 - 1Alaves
HLeganes0 - 3Real Madrid
HLeganes1 - 0Sevilla
ALeganes3 - 4Girona
HLeganes3 - 0Celta
ALeganes1 - 3A.Madrid
HLeganes0 - 0Valencia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Leganes in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
Real Madrid have not lost to Leganes in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2016
Real Madrid
Leganes
Goals: Scored
14
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMD
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 0
League games at Leganes since 2017
Leganes
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
RMD
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leganes
0 - 3Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Real Madrid
2 - 4Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Real Madrid in their meeting with Leganes, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 52 consecutive La Liga games.

Real Madrid 2nd Leganes 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Leganes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Real Madrid have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Leganes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278435/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Leganes
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
42%
better
RMD
LGN
view stats
Games scored26
17
Failed to score2
11
Scored first18
14
Goals scored59
26
Avg. goals scored2.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game12
6
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
18%
better
RMD
LGN
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded27
43
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.8
KickOff rating
+18%

Real Madrid v Leganes La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262069
K MbappéK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID2724
8
-
F Valverde MID2653
4
-
K Mbappé FWD26203
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF25
3
-
Rodrygo FWD2565
-
T Courtois GLK24
-
L Vázquez DEF2314
2
-
B Díaz MID2342
1
-
A Tchouameni MID23
3
-
F García DEF221
-
J Bellingham MID2276
2
1
V Junior FWD22105
7
2
A Güler MID1813
1
-
Endrick FWD161
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF151
-
D Ceballos MID15
4
-
F Mendy DEF141
1
1
E Camavinga MID142
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Alaba DEF5
1
-
A Lunin GLK41
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-
Leganes La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
265411
S GonzálezD RabaD RabaY Neyou
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S González DEF272
2
1
J Cruz MID2743
2
-
M Fuente FWD2713
3
-
V Rosier DEF2512
7
-
S Cissé MID252
3
-
R Tapia MID241
4
-
M Nastasić DEF231
3
-
Y Neyou MID2311
11
-
D Brasanac MID2312
2
-
M Dmitrović GLK22
-
J Hernández DEF221
3
-
Óscar Rodríguez MID2113
4
1
D Raba FWD2054
3
-
D García FWD182
-
M Haddadi FWD162
1
1
A Altimira DEF15
3
-
J Sáenz DEF151
3
1
E Franquesa DEF121
1
-
J Chicco MID12
-
R López MID121
-
J Soriano GLK6
1
1
Duk FWD5
1
-
B Barisic DEF1
-