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Real Madrid v Las Palmas : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jan, 15:15 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Luis Miguel Carrión Delgado is aiming for a crucial away win in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Las Palmas side to the Santiago Bernabéu to visit Real Madrid and Carlo Ancelotti. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Go between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for each one.


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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

A La Liga home win for Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Real Madrid win is the bet we'd suggest, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
70%
1.171.15
2%
Draw
17%
7.50
6%
8.50
11%
Las Palmas
13%
15.00
25%
15.00
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
11.009.00
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
8.00
6%
7.50
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
10.009.00
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
8.007.50
Draw 1-1
8%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
13.0010.00
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
13.0011.00
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
10.008.50
Draw 2-2
5%
23.0019.00
10%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
26.00
13%
17.00
Las Palmas 2-1
4%
34.0026.00
Las Palmas 1-0
3%
41.0026.00
10%
Draw 0-0
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
29.0021.00
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
21.00
11%
15.00
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
1.30
1%
1.29
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
3.50
7%
3.40
8%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.17
1%
1.20
Away 1st Goal
40%
4.75
6%
4.50
No 1st Goal
2%
26.00
10%
21.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.801.85
BTTS - No
42%
1.951.85
BTTS - Home Win
36%
2.40
4%
2.30
2%
BTTS - Draw
14%
8.50
6%
9.00
5%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
21.00
11%
17.00
11%
Home/draw
87%
1.03
2%
1.02
Away/draw
30%
5.005.25
9%
Home/away
83%
1.10
2%
1.07
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.081.07
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
8.007.00
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
1.731.73
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
2.102.05
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
2.75
5%
2.50
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.44
4%
1.48
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
4.504.20
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.201.20
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
26.00
10%
23.00
12%
Home DNB
81%
1.04
1%
1.03
1%
Away DNB
25%
13.00
18%
11.00
8%
Real Madrid win to nil
33%
2.10-
Las Palmas win to nil
5%
26.00
13%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
52%
1.571.53
2%
Real Madrid / Las Palmas
2%
41.00
20%
46.00
10%
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
23.0021.00
Draw / Real Madrid
20%
4.004.20
Draw / Las Palmas
3%
26.00
10%
23.00
Draw / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
8%
Las Palmas / Real Madrid
5%
15.0015.00
Las Palmas / Las Palmas
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
Las Palmas / Draw
3%
26.0021.00
9%
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Las Palmas are in 14th position in the La Liga on 22 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Las Palmas have conceded 20 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
A.Madrid1913512244 
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
2
Real Madrid H1913422443 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
3
Barcelona1912252938 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
Feb 23
w
 
1-2F
4
A.Bilbao1910631236 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 23
5
Villarreal19865330 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
Feb 9
l
 
3-1A
6
Mallorca19937-230 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3A
Feb 16
7
R.Sociedad19847428 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
8
Girona19847228 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
9
R.Vallecano19676025 
Mar 9
d
 
3-3A
May 11
w
 
1-3F
10
Real Betis19676-225 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
11
Osasuna19676-525 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 16
Jan 24
l
 
2-1A
12
Celta19739-224 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 30
13
Sevilla19658-723 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
d
 
2-2A
May 14
14
Las Palmas Away19649-522 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
-
-
15
Getafe19478-319 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
l
 
1-2A
Apr 13
16
Leganes19478-1119 
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
May 18
l
 
2-1A
17
Alaves194510-1017 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
18
Espanyol194411-1416 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
May 25
19
Valladolid194312-2415 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
20
Valencia192710-1113 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2A
May 4
w
 
2-3A
Win / draw / win form
3
Real Madrid have won 3 consecutive home league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2Almeria
Real Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 2Alaves
HReal Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid1 - 1Las Palmas
HReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
AReal Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HReal Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Las Palmas 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
Barcelona1 - 2Las Palmas
R.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
Valencia2 - 3Las Palmas
Villarreal3 - 1Las Palmas
Osasuna2 - 1Las Palmas
Alaves2 - 0Las Palmas
Leganes2 - 1Las Palmas
Cadiz0 - 0Las Palmas
Mallorca1 - 0Las Palmas
R.Sociedad2 - 0Las Palmas
Celta4 - 1Las Palmas
Barcelona1 - 0Las Palmas
Getafe3 - 3Las Palmas
A.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
Granada1 - 1Las Palmas
R.Vallecano0 - 2Las Palmas
A.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
Alaves0 - 1Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLas Palmas1 - 2Getafe
HLas Palmas1 - 0Espanyol
ALas Palmas0 - 0R.Sociedad
HLas Palmas2 - 1Valladolid
ALas Palmas2 - 1Barcelona
HLas Palmas2 - 3Mallorca
ALas Palmas3 - 1R.Vallecano
ALas Palmas0 - 2A.Madrid
HLas Palmas1 - 0Girona
ALas Palmas3 - 2Valencia
HLas Palmas0 - 1Celta
ALas Palmas1 - 3Villarreal
HLas Palmas1 - 1Real Betis
ALas Palmas1 - 2Osasuna
HLas Palmas2 - 3A.Bilbao
ALas Palmas0 - 2Alaves
HLas Palmas1 - 1Real Madrid
ALas Palmas1 - 2Leganes
HLas Palmas2 - 2Sevilla
HLas Palmas1 - 1Alaves
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Real Madrid have not lost to Las Palmas in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMD
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Real Madrid3 - 1
League games at Las Palmas since 2016
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
RMD
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Las Palmas
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 3Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.5 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Real Madrid 2nd Las Palmas 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Las Palmas will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Real Madrid have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Las Palmas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278350/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Las Palmas
2.5
1
Attack rating
37%
better
RMD
LPA
view stats
Games scored18
15
Failed to score1
4
Scored first13
7
Goals scored43
24
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for1.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
30%
better
RMD
LPA
view stats
Games conceded11
16
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded19
29
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+30%

Real Madrid v Las Palmas La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191056
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rüdiger DEF19
2
-
L Modric MID1913
5
-
F Valverde MID1952
3
-
K Mbappé FWD17102
2
-
T Courtois GLK16
-
L Vázquez DEF1612
2
-
Rodrygo FWD1653
-
J Bellingham MID1575
1
-
A Tchouameni MID15
1
-
V Junior FWD1585
5
1
F García DEF14
-
A Güler MID1413
1
-
B Díaz MID1422
-
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
F Mendy DEF12
1
1
Endrick FWD121
1
-
D Ceballos MID10
2
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
E Camavinga MID82
-
A Lunin GLK31
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
Las Palmas La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17736
K Rodríguez S RamírezK Rodríguez A Suárez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Muñoz MID182
1
-
K Rodríguez  MID173
2
-
A Moleiro MID1741
3
-
J Cillessen GLK16
1
-
J Mata FWD16
4
-
A Suárez DEF15
6
-
V Rozada DEF151
2
-
S Ramírez FWD1572
3
-
O McBurnie FWD153
-
S McKenna DEF14
2
-
Álex Muñoz DEF133
1
-
J Campaña MID132
3
-
F Silva FWD1352
6
-
M Mármol DEF12
2
-
D Essugo MID121
4
-
B Ramírez FWD12
2
-
M Fuster FWD111
-
E Loiodice MID10
2
-
M Park FWD10
3
-
J. Herzog DEF6
-
A Januzaj FWD61
2
-
M Cardona FWD5
1
-
D Horkas GLK3
1
-
D Sinkgraven DEF2
-
F González MID2
-