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Real Madrid v Girona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Feb, 15:15 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage is often beneficial in the La Liga, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz’s Girona are their opponents at the Santiago Bernabéu. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping Real Madrid to win, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Real Madrid. Their latest form statistics show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Girona too. The odds point towards Carlo Ancelotti's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
65%
1.301.30
1%
Draw
19%
6.005.75
4%
Girona
16%
8.00
7%
8.50
Real Madrid 2-0
10%
8.007.00
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
9.007.50
6%
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
10.00
5%
8.00
Draw 1-1
9%
12.009.50
5%
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
9.008.00
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10.009.00
Draw 2-2
5%
21.0015.00
12%
Girona 2-1
4%
21.0019.00
Draw 0-0
4%
21.0015.00
12%
Girona 1-0
4%
23.0019.00
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
13.0011.00
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
15.0013.00
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
21.0017.00
Girona 2-0
2%
41.0034.00
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.441.44
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.752.62
3%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.22-
Away 1st Goal
40%
4.00-
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.751.80
BTTS - No
45%
2.001.95
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2.602.60
4%
BTTS - Draw
15%
7.006.50
7%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
12.0012.00
Home/draw
84%
1.08
2%
1.07
Away/draw
35%
3.403.40
3%
Home/away
81%
1.121.13
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.12
2%
1.13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
6.00
9%
5.25
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.102.10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.731.67
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
3.503.40
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.301.29
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6.006.00
4%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.121.11
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.011.01
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
21.0015.00
12%
Home DNB
78%
1.111.09
1%
Away DNB
29%
6.506.50
Real Madrid win to nil
34%
2.38-
Girona win to nil
7%
15.00-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
44%
1.831.83
2%
Real Madrid / Girona
2%
41.0034.00
17%
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
19.0017.00
Draw / Real Madrid
20%
4.004.00
5%
Draw / Girona
5%
19.0015.00
Draw / Draw
9%
9.008.00
6%
Girona / Real Madrid
5%
17.0015.00
Girona / Girona
6%
15.0012.00
Girona / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 29 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Girona are in 8th position in the La Liga on 31 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Girona have conceded 19 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Girona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid H2315532950 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
2
A.Madrid2314722349 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 25
l
 
3-0A
3
Barcelona2315353948 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
l
 
1-4A
Mar 30
4
A.Bilbao2312831644 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
5
Villarreal2311751240 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
May 11
d
 
2-2A
6
R.Vallecano23986335 
Mar 9
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
7
R.Sociedad239410031 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
May 18
8
Girona Away249411-331 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
-
-
9
Osasuna237106-431 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 15
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
10
Mallorca239410-931 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
May 4
l
 
2-1F
11
Getafe24798230 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
12
Real Betis23788-429 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
Apr 20
d
 
1-1A
13
Celta238411-328 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
Mar 1
d
 
1-1F
14
Sevilla23779-928 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
15
Leganes245910-1324 
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-3F
Apr 23
16
Las Palmas236512-1023 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
17
Espanyol236512-1323 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
Mar 9
18
Alaves245712-1022 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
Apr 6
w
 
0-1F
19
Valencia235711-1322 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2A
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
20
Valladolid234316-3315 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
May 14
Win / draw / win form
5
Real Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Real Madrid4 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 2Alaves
HReal Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Girona 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
R.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Mallorca2 - 1Girona
Villarreal2 - 2Girona
Getafe0 - 1Girona
Las Palmas1 - 0Girona
Celta1 - 1Girona
Valencia2 - 0Girona
Sevilla0 - 2Girona
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
Real Betis1 - 1Girona
Valencia1 - 3Girona
Alaves2 - 2Girona
Las Palmas0 - 2Girona
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
Getafe1 - 0Girona
Mallorca1 - 0Girona
A.Bilbao3 - 2Girona
Real Madrid4 - 0Girona
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGirona1 - 2Getafe
AGirona0 - 3A.Bilbao
HGirona2 - 1Las Palmas
AGirona1 - 2R.Vallecano
HGirona1 - 2Sevilla
AGirona1 - 0Alaves
HGirona3 - 0Valladolid
AGirona1 - 2Mallorca
HGirona0 - 3Real Madrid
AGirona2 - 2Villarreal
HGirona4 - 1Espanyol
AGirona1 - 0Getafe
HGirona4 - 3Leganes
AGirona0 - 1Las Palmas
HGirona0 - 1R.Sociedad
HGirona2 - 1A.Bilbao
AGirona1 - 1Celta
HGirona0 - 0R.Vallecano
AGirona0 - 2Valencia
HGirona1 - 4Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Real Madrid have beaten Girona in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Girona
League games at Real Madrid since 2018
Real Madrid
Girona
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
RMD
2
D
1
GIR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Girona
Real Madrid6 - 3
League games at Girona since 2017
Girona
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
RMD
3
GIR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Girona
0 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona4 - 2
1 - 4Real Madrid
Girona2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Real Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Carlo Ancelotti's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive La Liga outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Girona makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid 1st Girona 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Girona scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Real Madrid have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Girona have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278393/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Girona
2.2
1
Attack rating
27%
better
RMD
GIR
view stats
Games scored21
17
Failed to score2
7
Scored first14
13
Goals scored51
32
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
18
Avg. XG for2
1.3
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
22%
better
RMD
GIR
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded22
35
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%

Real Madrid v Girona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231667
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID2352
4
-
A Rüdiger DEF22
2
-
L Modric MID2213
6
-
K Mbappé FWD21162
3
-
T Courtois GLK20
-
Rodrygo FWD2065
-
L Vázquez DEF1913
2
-
J Bellingham MID1976
2
-
F García DEF181
-
B Díaz MID1832
-
A Tchouameni MID18
1
-
V Junior FWD1785
5
2
A Güler MID1613
1
-
D Ceballos MID14
4
-
Endrick FWD141
1
-
F Mendy DEF12
1
1
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF111
-
E Camavinga MID92
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
A Lunin GLK31
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
D Alaba DEF2
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-
Girona La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24448
P GazzanigaC StuaniM GutiérrezY Herrera
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gazzaniga GLK24
3
-
B Gil FWD2233
3
-
M Gutiérrez DEF2114
3
-
D López DEF211
2
-
D Blind DEF201
3
-
A Martínez DEF2022
2
-
I Martín MID2011
1
-
D Beek  MID1922
4
-
C Stuani FWD1942
2
-
Y Herrera MID1732
7
1
A Ruiz FWD174
3
-
L Krejci  DEF152
8
-
Y Asprilla MID152
2
-
O Romeu MID15
5
-
A Danjuma FWD151
2
-
Portu FWD141
3
-
V Tsygankov FWD1313
1
-
J Solís MID121
1
-
A Francés DEF11
1
-
B Miovski FWD1121
-
Juanpe DEF8
2
-
G. Osei Misehouy MID81
-
M. Kim FWD3
-
J Carlos GLK1
1
F. Ruiz Martí DEF1
-
Arthur MID1
-
P. Ba FWD1
-