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Osasuna v Valencia CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 2nd Mar, 20:00 BST, El Sadar, Pamplona

Home advantage makes a difference in the La Liga, and Vicente Moreno’s Osasuna will have the joy of it on Sunday night. Carlos Corberan’s Valencia CF are their visitors to the El Sadar. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Osasuna and Valencia will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookmakers have it at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Osasuna are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Osasuna
53%
23/2023/20
4%
Draw
24%
11/511/5
Valencia
23%
5/25/2
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Osasuna 1-0
12%
5/15/1
Osasuna 2-1
10%
17/215/2
Osasuna 2-0
10%
8/115/2
6%
Valencia 1-0
7%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
7%
6/111/2
Valencia 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Osasuna 3-0
5%
20/114/1
12%
Osasuna 3-1
5%
20/114/1
12%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
Valencia 2-0
3%
16/112/1
Osasuna 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Osasuna 4-0
2%
40/128/1
15%
Osasuna 4-1
2%
40/133/1
Valencia 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
11/8
3%
13/10
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/7
3%
4/7
1%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/11
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
21/2021/20
BTTS - No
49%
7/10
2%
7/10
BTTS - Home Win
23%
9/219/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/16/1
Home/draw
77%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Away/draw
47%
4/6
2%
4/6
3%
Home/away
76%
4/11
2%
1/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/9
2%
4/9
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
7/4
2%
13/8
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
7/216/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/5
3%
1/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/115/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/16
2%
1/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/116/1
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/661/300
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/10
3%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
6/16/1
8%
Home DNB
70%
8/15
2%
1/2
3%
Away DNB
40%
11/87/5
4%
Osasuna win to nil
30%
12/5-
Valencia win to nil
12%
9/2-
Osasuna / Osasuna
23%
13/512/5
3%
Osasuna / Valencia
3%
33/128/1
12%
Osasuna / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Osasuna
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Valencia
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Draw
19%
10/316/5
Valencia / Osasuna
3%
28/122/1
Valencia / Valencia
14%
5/19/2
5%
Valencia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Osasuna have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 7 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Osasuna have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Osasuna have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Valencia are in 18th position in the La Liga on 23 points having played 24 matches so far this season. Valencia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Valencia have conceded 35 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Osasuna
Valencia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2416354051 
w
 
4-2F
Mar 9
l
 
1-2F
l
 
7-1A
2
Real Madrid2415632951 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 6
3
A.Madrid2414822350 
May 14
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
4
A.Bilbao2412931645 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
May 18
l
 
1-0A
5
Villarreal2411851241 
d
 
2-2F
May 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
6
R.Vallecano24987235 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
7
Mallorca2410410-734 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 30
l
 
2-1F
8
Real Betis24888-132 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
w
 
4-2F
May 25
9
Osasuna Home247116-432 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 2
10
Girona249411-331 
Apr 13
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
11
R.Sociedad249411-331 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
12
Sevilla24879-531 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
13
Getafe24798230 
Mar 16
d
 
1-1A
May 11
d
 
1-1F
14
Celta248511-329 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 21
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1F
15
Espanyol246612-1324 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
16
Leganes245910-1324 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Las Palmas246513-1223 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3F
May 4
18
Valencia Away245811-1323 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
19
Alaves245712-1022 
d
 
2-2A
May 25
d
 
2-2A
May 14
20
Valladolid244317-3715 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
Mar 9
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
15
Valencia have not won in 15 consecutive away league games
Osasuna 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Valencia 18TH
20 league games
Away
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Valencia have beaten Osasuna in 3 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Osasuna since 2017
Osasuna
Valencia
Goals: Scored
11
12
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
OSA
2
D
1
VAL
3
League games at Valencia since 2017
Valencia
Osasuna
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
OSA
2
D
2
VAL
3
Goal Statistics

Osasuna have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Valencia CF on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Osasuna's defensive record is very strong, Vicente Moreno's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive La Liga games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Valencia CF makes sense in this context.

Osasuna 9th Valencia 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Osasuna will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Valencia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Osasuna’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-31
Valencia have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278401/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Osasuna
PG (predicted goals)
Valencia
1.7
1
Attack rating
12%
better
OSA
VAL
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score5
7
Scored first12
13
Goals scored29
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
6%
better
OSA
VAL
view stats
Games conceded19
19
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded33
38
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Osasuna v Valencia La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Osasuna La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241358
S HerreraA BudimirB ZaragozaL Torró
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Herrera GLK24
3
-
A Oroz MID2421
5
-
A Budimir FWD24131
3
-
A Bretones DEF232
2
-
J Areso DEF231
4
-
R García MID2324
2
-
A Catena DEF221
7
-
L Torró MID223
8
-
Moncayola MID22
7
-
R García FWD222
-
F Boyomo DEF202
5
-
M Gómez MID18
1
-
B Zaragoza FWD1815
3
-
R Peña DEF17
-
P Ibáñez MID171
2
-
J Cruz DEF16
2
-
I Muñoz MID13
1
-
J Herrando DEF10
3
-
J Arnáiz FWD7
-
K Barja FWD7
2
-
Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23749
C MosqueraH DuroD LópezPepelu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D López FWD2434
2
-
C Mosquera DEF231
5
-
J Guerra MID2312
1
-
L Rioja FWD2352
2
-
D Foulquier DEF22
4
-
C Tárrega DEF212
3
-
Pepelu MID2111
8
1
A Almeida MID211
1
-
H Duro FWD2172
3
-
G Mamardashvili GLK20
1
-
E Barrenechea MID1711
4
-
Y. Gasiorowski Hernandis DEF14
1
-
S Canós FWD14
3
-
J Vázquez DEF13
3
-
F Pérez MID12
1
-
J Gayà DEF111
2
-
T Correia DEF11
1
-
H Guillamón MID11
2
-
R Mir FWD71
1
-
S Dimitrievski GLK4
1
-
M. Tejón Fauli FWD4
-
U Sadiq  FWD41
2
-
M Diakhaby DEF31
-
I Jaime MID2
-
M Aarons DEF1
-