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Celta de Vigo v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Oct, 20:00 BST, Balaídos, Vigo, Pontevedra

Claudio Giráldez González welcomes Carlo Ancelotti to the Balaídos on Saturday night, as their Celta de Vigo and Real Madrid charges meet in the La Liga. La Liga statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Celta and Real Madrid's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Celta
32%
4.50
10%
4.80
17%
Draw
26%
4.50
4%
4.20
Real Madrid
42%
1.62
8%
1.67
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
8.507.50
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
9.00
20%
7.50
15%
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Celta 1-0
9%
15.0013.00
Celta 2-1
8%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Real Madrid 2-0
7%
9.00
20%
8.00
14%
Draw 0-0
7%
17.00
31%
12.00
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
21%
12.00
8%
Celta 2-0
5%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
12.0011.00
10%
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
13.00
18%
11.00
10%
Celta 3-1
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
10%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
11%
Celta 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
24%
Celta 3-0
2%
51.0034.00
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.62
6%
1.60
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
2.30
10%
2.20
7%
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.88
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.40
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17.00
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.67
13%
1.65
10%
BTTS - No
46%
2.10
10%
2.10
10%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7.50
25%
7.00
22%
BTTS - Draw
19%
5.50
8%
4.80
9%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3.10
5%
3.00
3%
Home/draw
58%
2.25
5%
2.20
8%
Away/draw
68%
1.18
4%
1.18
4%
Home/away
74%
1.181.22
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.20
2%
1.20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
4.50
4%
4.20
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2.62
5%
2.50
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.50
4%
1.50
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
4.50
10%
4.33
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.20
3%
1.20
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9.00
18%
8.00
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.07
2%
1.06
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.03
1%
1.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Home DNB
50%
3.50
19%
3.50
17%
Away DNB
60%
1.29
8%
1.25
4%
Celta win to nil
17%
9.00
10%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
22%
3.00
15%
-
Celta / Celta
11%
8.00
20%
7.00
18%
Celta / Real Madrid
4%
19.00
10%
17.00
Celta / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Draw / Celta
8%
10.00
17%
9.50
14%
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
4.50
4%
4.40
5%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
4%
Real Madrid / Celta
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
24%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
32%
2.50
9%
2.50
9%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Celta have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league. Celta have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 4 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won zero. Celta have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Celta have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the La Liga league table having played 9 matches. Real Madrid are unbeaten in 9 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 9 games. Real Madrid are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Celta
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Real Madrid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 24
Apr 20
 Barcelona98011924 
Oct 26
May 11
Oct 19
May 4
 Real Madrid A96301321 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 16
 A.Madrid9450817 
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
Apr 23
l
 
4-3F
 Villarreal9522017 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
 Osasuna9432-115 
Nov 9
Feb 16
Jan 19
l
 
3-1A
 A.Bilbao9423314 
Apr 20
Jan 11
Dec 8
Apr 6
 Mallorca9423114 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
May 18
Jan 11
 R.Vallecano9342213 
Mar 9
Dec 15
-
-
 Celta Home9414113 
May 4
Oct 19
Feb 9
Nov 10
 Real Betis9333012 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
 Girona9333-112 
Feb 23
Dec 8
May 11
Dec 15
 Sevilla9333-112 
Dec 22
May 18
w
 
2-1A
Jan 26
 Alaves9315-410 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
Apr 13
Dec 1
 Espanyol9315-410 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 2
Dec 22
May 14
 R.Sociedad9234-19 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
Nov 4
May 25
 Getafe9153-18 
Dec 1
Apr 23
Mar 9
Oct 27
 Leganes9153-48 
Mar 30
Nov 24
w
 
3-1A
Feb 2
 Valencia9135-86 
Apr 6
Nov 2
w
 
3-1F
Mar 16
 Valladolid9126-145 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
Mar 30
w
 
0-1F
 Las Palmas9036-83 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
41
Real Madrid have not lost in 41 consecutive league games
Celta 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
41
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Real Madrid have beaten Celta in 8 consecutive league meetings
20
Real Madrid have not lost to Celta in 20 consecutive league meetings
3
Real Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Celta
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
12
30
Games: Scored
9 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
1 / 10
D
1
RMD
9
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Celta
Goals: Scored
35
6
Games: Scored
10 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
0 / 10
D
1
RMD
9
Goal Statistics
Celta 9th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Celta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Real Madrid have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278264/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Celta
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
CEL
RMD
27%
better
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score1
0
Scored first3
7
Goals scored16
19
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
18
Avg. XG for1.4
2
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
CEL
RMD
52%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
5
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first6
2
Goals conceded15
6
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
11
Conversion rate against19%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+52%

Celta v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Celta La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8443
Óscar MinguezaB IglesiasÓscar MinguezaH Álvarez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Swedberg MID912
1
-
H Álvarez MID911
3
-
B Iglesias FWD94
-
I Aspas FWD942
2
-
A Douvikas FWD91
1
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF8
2
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF824
2
-
C Starfelt DEF81
1
-
D Rodríguez MID8
2
-
I Moriba MID7
3
-
C Domínguez DEF6
-
F Beltrán MID61
1
-
Jailson  MID6
-
V Guaita GLK5
-
M Alonso DEF5
-
H Sotelo MID5
2
-
I Villar GLK4
-
S Carreira DEF4
-
J Manquillo DEF4
1
-
A González FWD4
1
P Durán FWD41
-
J Bamba FWD4
1
-
J Aidoo DEF1
-
F Cervi MID1
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9543
F ValverdeK MbappéV JuniorL Modric
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rüdiger DEF9
-
Éder Militão DEF911
2
-
L Modric MID91
3
-
F Valverde MID922
2
-
Rodrygo FWD931
-
V Junior FWD944
3
-
T Courtois GLK8
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
A Tchouameni MID8
-
K Mbappé FWD851
1
-
F Mendy DEF7
1
1
L Vázquez DEF711
-
A Güler MID7
1
-
Endrick FWD71
1
-
F García DEF6
-
J Bellingham MID51
1
-
B Díaz MID511
-
D Ceballos MID2
-
A Lunin GLK1
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
E Camavinga MID1
-