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FC Barcelona v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 15:15 BST, Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona

Carlo Ancelotti will be hoping for a vital away win in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Real Madrid side to the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys to visit FC Barcelona and Hans-Dieter Flick. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Hans-Dieter Flick prepares his side for kick-off, we predict a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Statistics imply both teams possess a number of attacking options, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the fixture, we're going for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Barcelona
51%
4/5
3%
-
Draw
22%
29/10
3%
-
Real Madrid
26%
14/5
5%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2-
Barcelona 2-1
10%
8/1-
Barcelona 1-0
8%
11/1-
Barcelona 2-0
7%
11/1-
Real Madrid 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1
8%
-
Barcelona 3-1
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid 1-0
5%
18/1-
Barcelona 3-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
20/1-
Barcelona 3-2
4%
16/1-
Real Madrid 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
3%
25/1-
Barcelona 4-1
3%
22/1-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/9-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
7/4-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/9-
BTTS - No
38%
13/8-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
2/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2-
Home/draw
74%
1/4
2%
-
Away/draw
49%
19/20
3%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/10-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
5/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
3/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
5/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/8-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
42%
7/4
8%
-
Barcelona win to nil
23%
3/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
11%
8/1-
Barcelona / Barcelona
30%
7/4-
Barcelona / Real Madrid
3%
25/1-
Barcelona / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Barcelona
15%
9/2-
Draw / Real Madrid
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Real Madrid / Barcelona
4%
18/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
14%
5/1-
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Barcelona have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Barcelona have outscored their opponents by 89 goals to 66 goals.

Home League Performance

Barcelona have played 17 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 46 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 2nd position in the La Liga on 72 points having played 33 matches so far this season. Real Madrid have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. Real Madrid have conceded 4 goals, scored 0, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona Home3324455776 
-
-
l
 
0-4A
May 11
2
Real Madrid A3322653572 
May 11
w
 
0-4F
-
-
3
A.Madrid3319952966 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
4
A.Bilbao33161252460 
w
 
2-1F
May 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
5
Villarreal33151081155 
May 18
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
6
Real Betis331599954 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
7
Celta3313713146 
w
 
4-3F
d
 
2-2F
May 4
w
 
1-2F
8
Osasuna3310149-644 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
9
Mallorca3312813-744 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-5F
May 14
d
 
1-1F
10
R.Sociedad3312615-542 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
May 25
w
 
0-2F
11
R.Vallecano33101112-741 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
12
Getafe3310914139 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
13
Espanyol3310914-739 
w
 
3-1F
May 15
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Valencia3391212-1239 
w
 
7-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
15
Sevilla3391014-937 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-2F
May 18
16
Girona339816-1235 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
17
Alaves3381015-1134 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
18
Las Palmas338817-1532 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
19
Leganes3361215-1930 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
20
Valladolid334425-5716 
w
 
7-0F
May 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Real Madrid have won 3 consecutive away league games
9
Barcelona have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Barcelona since 2015
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
16
15
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
BCN
3
D
3
RMD
4
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
15
24
Games: Scored
6 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
5 / 11
BCN
6
RMD
5
Goal Statistics

FC Barcelona have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 18 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Real Madrid on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Barcelona 1st Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Barcelona have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278488/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Barcelona
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
12%
better
BCN
RMD
view stats
Games scored31
31
Failed to score2
2
Scored first26
22
Goals scored89
66
Avg. goals scored2.7
2
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
17
Avg. XG for2.2
2
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
BCN
RMD
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets11
13
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded32
31
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+2%

Barcelona v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3025134
PedriR Lewandowski L YamalJ Koundé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Koundé DEF3223
4
-
Pedri MID3244
2
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF313
3
-
R Lewandowski  FWD31252
1
-
Raphinha FWD311511
3
-
L Yamal FWD30613
3
-
A Balde DEF284
2
-
I Martínez  DEF264
4
-
F Torres FWD26103
1
1
E García DEF2412
3
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF2312
2
-
F. Lopez Marin MID2334
3
1
M Torras MID2313
3
1
F Jong MID2122
3
-
Gavi MID2111
4
-
D Olmo MID2093
-
P Victor FWD1821
2
-
I Peña GLK15
1
-
W Szczęsny GLK13
-
H. García DEF13
2
-
P Torre MID1031
-
R Araújo DEF911
1
-
M Stegen GLK6
-
A Fati FWD5
1
-
M. Bernal Casas MID3
2
-
A Christensen DEF1
1
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2922710
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID3164
4
-
L Modric MID3024
8
-
Rodrygo FWD3065
-
A Rüdiger DEF29
3
-
K Mbappé FWD29223
3
1
L Vázquez DEF2814
3
-
A Tchouameni MID28
4
-
B Díaz MID2842
1
-
T Courtois GLK27
1
-
J Bellingham MID2787
2
1
V Junior FWD27115
8
2
F García DEF262
-
A Güler MID2323
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF191
2
-
E Camavinga MID1912
2
-
Endrick FWD191
1
-
D Ceballos MID18
4
-
F Mendy DEF141
1
1
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Alaba DEF7
1
-
A Lunin GLK51
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
F. González Pérez GLK1
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-