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Atletico de Madrid v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Jan, 15:15 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

the Wanda Metropolitano plays host on Saturday afternoon, as Diego Simeone's Atletico de Madrid are visited by Marcelino Toral's Villarreal in the La Liga. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of A.Madrid and Villarreal serving up a minimum of two goals in this La Liga clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
56%
1.53
3%
1.53
4%
Draw
23%
4.20
5%
4.33
3%
Villarreal
21%
6.25
14%
5.75
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.00
7%
7.50
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
8.007.00
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
8.507.50
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
8.007.50
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12.0010.00
Villarreal 1-0
6%
19.00
12%
13.00
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
11.00
8%
10.00
Villarreal 2-1
6%
19.00
12%
15.00
15%
Draw 0-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
Villarreal 2-0
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
10%
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
A.Madrid 4-0
3%
21.0015.00
12%
Villarreal 3-1
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.671.65
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.202.15
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.36
3%
1.44
Away 1st Goal
42%
3.25
5%
3.00
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0011.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.751.75
BTTS - No
45%
2.001.95
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.10
3%
3.00
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.005.25
5%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10.00
5%
9.00
13%
Home/draw
79%
1.11
3%
1.13
2%
Away/draw
44%
2.50
9%
2.45
7%
Home/away
77%
1.221.20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.20
2%
1.20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.50
4%
4.00
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.62
5%
2.60
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.50
4%
1.44
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.004.50
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.171.18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10.008.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.061.06
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
72%
1.18
3%
1.18
3%
Away DNB
37%
4.50
13%
4.20
11%
A.Madrid win to nil
29%
2.62
5%
-
Villarreal win to nil
10%
11.00-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
35%
2.30
4%
2.25
5%
A.Madrid / Villarreal
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / A.Madrid
19%
4.33
4%
4.20
Draw / Villarreal
7%
12.00
9%
11.00
10%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Villarreal / A.Madrid
4%
19.00
10%
17.00
Villarreal / Villarreal
9%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Villarreal / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
15%
bet365
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 1 match. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Both A.Madrid and Villarreal have scored 34 goals this season.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 10 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Villarreal are in 5th position in the La Liga on 30 points having played 19 matches so far this season. Villarreal are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Villarreal have conceded 11 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
A.Madrid Home1913512244 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 25
2
Real Madrid1913422443 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
3
Barcelona1912252938 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-5A
May 18
4
A.Bilbao1910631236 
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
5
Villarreal Away19865330 
Jan 25
d
 
2-2A
-
-
6
Mallorca19937-230 
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
Jan 20
w
 
1-2F
7
R.Sociedad19847428 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 20
l
 
1-0A
8
Girona19847228 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
d
 
2-2F
May 11
9
R.Vallecano19676025 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 23
10
Real Betis19676-225 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 13
11
Osasuna19676-525 
w
 
1-0F
May 14
May 4
d
 
2-2A
12
Celta19739-224 
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-3A
Apr 23
13
Sevilla19658-723 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 6
May 25
w
 
1-2F
14
Las Palmas19649-522 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
w
 
3-1F
Feb 9
15
Getafe19478-319 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
d
 
1-1F
Mar 30
16
Leganes19478-1119 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 18
May 14
w
 
2-5A
17
Alaves194510-1017 
w
 
2-1A
May 4
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
18
Espanyol194411-1416 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
Mar 2
w
 
1-2A
19
Valladolid194312-2415 
Apr 13
w
 
0-5F
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
20
Valencia192710-1113 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
Feb 16
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
6
A.Madrid have won 6 consecutive home league games
10
A.Madrid have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
A.Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
A.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
A.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
A.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
A.Madrid2 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HA.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
HA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 0Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
AA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
HA.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
HA.Madrid3 - 0Girona
AA.Madrid2 - 2Villarreal
AA.Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
Villarreal 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
Leganes2 - 5Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
Valladolid1 - 2Villarreal
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Espanyol1 - 2Villarreal
Mallorca1 - 2Villarreal
Valencia1 - 1Villarreal
Sevilla1 - 2Villarreal
Osasuna1 - 1Villarreal
Girona0 - 1Villarreal
Celta3 - 2Villarreal
Almeria1 - 2Villarreal
A.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
Real Betis2 - 3Villarreal
R.Sociedad1 - 3Villarreal
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Barcelona3 - 5Villarreal
Las Palmas3 - 0Villarreal
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVillarreal0 - 1R.Sociedad
AVillarreal5 - 2Leganes
HVillarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
HVillarreal1 - 2Real Betis
AVillarreal0 - 2A.Bilbao
HVillarreal2 - 2Girona
AVillarreal2 - 2Osasuna
HVillarreal3 - 0Alaves
AVillarreal2 - 1Valladolid
HVillarreal1 - 1Getafe
AVillarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
HVillarreal3 - 1Las Palmas
AVillarreal2 - 1Espanyol
HVillarreal1 - 5Barcelona
AVillarreal2 - 1Mallorca
AVillarreal1 - 1Valencia
HVillarreal4 - 3Celta
AVillarreal2 - 1Sevilla
HVillarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
AVillarreal1 - 1Osasuna
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
5 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
5 / 10
ATM
3
D
4
VIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 1
0 - 2Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Villarreal
League games at Villarreal since 2015
Villarreal
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
ATM
3
D
5
VIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Villarreal3 - 0
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Villarreal on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Madrid 1st Villarreal 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+33
Villarreal have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278360/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
1.8
1
Attack rating
11%
better
ATM
VIL
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score2
3
Scored first11
9
Goals scored34
34
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
51%
better
ATM
VIL
view stats
Games conceded9
18
Clean sheets10
1
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded12
31
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
5
Conversion rate against8%
19%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+51%

A.Madrid v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18844
J OblakA SörlothA GriezmannR Paul
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Griezmann FWD1974
2
-
J Álvarez FWD1962
3
-
J Oblak GLK18
-
R Paul MID1833
4
-
Koke MID1811
4
-
A Sörloth FWD1882
-
Ángel Correa FWD1721
3
-
J Giménez DEF16
1
-
S Lino MID1512
2
-
P Barrios MID142
2
-
M Llorente MID1422
1
1
C Gallagher MID142
1
-
N Molina DEF133
-
R Mandava DEF12
3
-
J Galán DEF112
4
-
A Witsel DEF111
1
-
C Lenglet DEF1011
4
-
R Normand DEF10
3
-
R Riquelme FWD101
-
C Azpilicueta DEF6
-
J Musso GLK1
-
T Lemar MID1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18856
S CardonaA PérezÁlex BaenaÁlex Baena
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Cardona DEF1811
4
-
S Comesaña MID1822
4
-
D Parejo MID182
5
-
T Barry FWD1872
2
-
K Femenía DEF171
5
-
P Gueye MID17
4
1
Álex Baena FWD1745
6
-
Y Pino FWD163
5
-
D Conde GLK151
1
-
Albiol DEF15
5
-
L Costa DEF141
2
-
A Pérez FWD128
3
-
I Akhomach FWD111
1
-
J Bernat DEF101
-
N Pépé FWD1012
1
-
E Bailly DEF9
2
-
R Terrats MID9
1
-
D Suárez MID91
-
G Moreno FWD921
-
L Júnior GLK5
-
W. Kambwala DEF3
1
J Foyth DEF3
1
-