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Atletico de Madrid v Real Sociedad : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Saturday night at the Wanda Metropolitano, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Atletico de Madrid and Real Sociedad. Diego Simeone and Imanol Alguacil going all-out to ensure the win. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% probability of A.Madrid and R.Sociedad scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this La Liga match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
58%
8/15-
Draw
22%
10/3-
R.Sociedad
20%
17/4-
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2-
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
11/2-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
6/1-
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1-
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
10/1-
R.Sociedad 1-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1-
R.Sociedad 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
28/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
25/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
3%
20/1-
R.Sociedad 2-0
3%
28/1-
R.Sociedad 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
41%
12/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1/1-
BTTS - No
46%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
10/1-
Home/draw
80%
1/6-
Away/draw
42%
11/8-
Home/away
78%
1/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/3
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
12/5
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Home DNB
73%
2/9-
Away DNB
35%
3/1-
A.Madrid win to nil
31%
11/8-
R.Sociedad win to nil
10%
8/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
35%
11/8-
A.Madrid / R.Sociedad
2%
40/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
19%
10/3-
Draw / R.Sociedad
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
R.Sociedad / A.Madrid
4%
22/1-
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
8%
9/1-
R.Sociedad / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 17 games at home winning 12, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 34 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

R.Sociedad are in 10th position in the La Liga on 42 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 3. R.Sociedad have conceded 22 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3324455776 
l
 
2-4F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
2
Real Madrid3322653572 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
May 25
3
A.Madrid Home3319952966 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
May 10
4
A.Bilbao33161252460 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 4
l
 
1-0A
5
Villarreal33151081155 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
6
Real Betis331599954 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
7
Celta3313713146 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
May 13
l
 
2-0A
8
Osasuna3310149-644 
w
 
1-0F
May 15
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Mallorca3312813-744 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
10
R.Sociedad Away3312615-542 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
-
-
11
R.Vallecano33101112-741 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
12
Getafe3310914139 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Espanyol3310914-739 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
14
Valencia3391212-1239 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
15
Sevilla3391014-937 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
16
Girona339816-1235 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
May 18
w
 
0-1F
17
Alaves3381015-1134 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
18
Las Palmas338817-1532 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
19
Leganes3361215-1930 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
20
Valladolid334425-5716 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
A.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid3 - 0R.Vallecano
AA.Madrid0 - 1Las Palmas
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
R.Sociedad 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Villarreal2 - 2R.Sociedad
Las Palmas1 - 3R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
Barcelona4 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Betis3 - 0R.Sociedad
Osasuna2 - 1R.Sociedad
Valencia1 - 0R.Sociedad
Celta2 - 0R.Sociedad
Leganes0 - 3R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
Sevilla0 - 2R.Sociedad
Girona0 - 1R.Sociedad
Valladolid0 - 0R.Sociedad
Mallorca1 - 0R.Sociedad
Getafe0 - 0R.Sociedad
Espanyol0 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Betis0 - 2R.Sociedad
Barcelona2 - 0R.Sociedad
Getafe1 - 1R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Alaves
AR.Sociedad2 - 2Villarreal
HR.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
AR.Sociedad3 - 1Las Palmas
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Valladolid
AR.Sociedad2 - 2R.Vallecano
HR.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Sociedad0 - 4Barcelona
HR.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
AR.Sociedad0 - 3Real Betis
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
AR.Sociedad1 - 2Osasuna
HR.Sociedad0 - 3Getafe
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Valencia
HR.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
AR.Sociedad0 - 2Celta
HR.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
AR.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
HR.Sociedad2 - 0Real Betis
AR.Sociedad0 - 1A.Bilbao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
A.Madrid have not lost to R.Sociedad in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
19
7
Games: Scored
10 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
0 / 10
ATM
8
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 0
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
7 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
4 / 11
ATM
5
D
2
RSO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Sociedad
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad2 - 0
0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad3 - 0
R.Sociedad2 - 0
0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.9 against Real Sociedad on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 3rd R.Sociedad 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that R.Sociedad will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
R.Sociedad have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278487/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
1.9
1
Attack rating
39%
better
ATM
RSO
view stats
Games scored29
18
Failed to score4
15
Scored first19
14
Goals scored56
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
18%
better
ATM
RSO
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets14
12
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded27
37
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+18%

A.Madrid v R.Sociedad La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321569
J OblakJ ÁlvarezA GriezmannC Lenglet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD33152
4
-
A Griezmann FWD3386
2
-
J Oblak GLK32
-
A Sörloth FWD30132
4
-
R Paul MID2934
6
-
M Llorente MID2824
1
1
G Simeone FWD2826
4
-
C Gallagher MID2732
2
-
P Barrios MID2713
4
1
Koke MID2711
4
-
S Lino FWD2632
4
-
Ángel Correa FWD2631
3
1
N Molina DEF253
-
J Giménez DEF251
5
-
R Normand DEF23
8
-
J Galán DEF212
8
-
C Lenglet DEF2011
9
-
R Mandava DEF19
4
-
R Riquelme MID162
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF121
-
T Lemar MID4
-
J Musso GLK1
-
R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32859
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalS GómezJ Aramburu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK32
-
S Gómez DEF3225
4
-
M Zubimendi MID3121
4
-
T Kubo FWD315
5
-
J Aramburu DEF3011
9
-
M Oyarzabal FWD3082
4
1
J López DEF26
4
-
I Zubeldia DEF25
6
1
A Barrenetxea FWD2513
5
-
L Sučić MID2411
4
-
B Méndez MID2332
3
-
O Óskarsson FWD233
1
-
S Becker FWD2121
1
1
N Aguerd DEF20
5
-
Olasagasti MID2011
2
-
A Elustondo DEF19
2
1
A Muñoz DEF18
4
-
B Turrientes  MID18
5
-
P Marín MID182
2
-
J Pacheco DEF14
3
-
J. Martín Vicente DEF101
2
-
H Traoré DEF81
1
-
A Zakharyan MID31
-
Álvaro Odriozola DEF2
1
-
U Marrero GLK1
-