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Atletico de Madrid v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 24th Apr, 20:30 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Thursday night at the Wanda Metropolitano, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Atletico de Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. Diego Simeone and Iñigo Pérez Soto going all-out to claim the win. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our extensive database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by A.Madrid and R.Vallecano combined during 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
52%
12/25
2%
-
Draw
25%
31/10-
R.Vallecano
22%
6/1-
A.Madrid 1-0
13%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1-
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
5/1-
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1-
R.Vallecano 1-0
8%
14/1-
R.Vallecano 2-1
6%
20/1-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
17/2-
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1-
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
33/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
18/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
25/1-
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/3-
Away 1st Goal
42%
3/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
6/5-
BTTS - No
51%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
14/1-
Home/draw
78%
1/10-
Away/draw
48%
13/8-
Home/away
75%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
70%
1/7-
Away DNB
40%
9/2-
A.Madrid win to nil
31%
11/10-
R.Vallecano win to nil
13%
10/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
37%
5/4-
A.Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
50/1-
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / A.Madrid
21%
3/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
6%
12/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
R.Vallecano / A.Madrid
4%
22/1-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
6%
12/1-
R.Vallecano / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 7 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 10th position in the La Liga on 40 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 2. R.Vallecano have conceded 22 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3122455570 
l
 
2-4F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3120653366 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
3
A.Madrid Home3118942763 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Apr 24
4
A.Bilbao31151242457 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1F
5
Villarreal3014971351 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Real Betis311399348 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
May 14
d
 
1-1A
7
Celta3112712-143 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 18
8
Mallorca3112712-643 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 25
l
 
1-0A
9
R.Sociedad3112514-441 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
10
R.Vallecano A31101011-440 
Apr 24
d
 
1-1A
-
-
11
Getafe3110912339 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
12
Osasuna318149-838 
w
 
1-0F
May 14
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
13
Valencia3191012-1237 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
14
Sevilla319913-836 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
15
Espanyol309813-735 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1F
16
Girona319715-1034 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Alaves317915-1230 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Las Palmas317816-1529 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 19
l
 
1-3A
May 11
19
Leganes3161015-1928 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Valladolid314423-5216 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
A.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
R.Vallecano 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
Osasuna1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 0R.Vallecano
Mallorca1 - 0R.Vallecano
Valladolid1 - 2R.Vallecano
Girona0 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol2 - 1R.Vallecano
Getafe0 - 0R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad1 - 2R.Vallecano
Barcelona3 - 0R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta0 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano1 - 3A.Bilbao
HR.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
AR.Vallecano2 - 0Alaves
HR.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Leganes
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Osasuna
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Villarreal
HR.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Valencia
HR.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
A.Madrid have not lost to R.Vallecano in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
ATM
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
14
Games: Scored
2 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
5 / 7
ATM
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 7A.Madrid
1 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.6 against Rayo Vallecano on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Madrid 3rd R.Vallecano 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
R.Vallecano have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278469/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
25%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games scored27
24
Failed to score3
7
Scored first18
17
Goals scored49
34
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
25%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games conceded17
24
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded24
38
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%

A.Madrid v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291258
J OblakJ ÁlvarezA GriezmannR Normand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD30122
4
-
A Griezmann FWD3085
2
-
J Oblak GLK29
-
R Paul MID2733
6
-
A Sörloth FWD27112
4
-
M Llorente MID2524
1
1
G Simeone FWD2515
4
-
S Lino FWD2532
4
-
Ángel Correa FWD2531
3
1
C Gallagher MID2422
2
-
P Barrios MID2412
4
1
Koke MID2411
4
-
N Molina DEF233
-
J Giménez DEF231
5
-
R Normand DEF20
8
-
R Mandava DEF19
4
-
C Lenglet DEF1811
8
-
J Galán DEF182
7
-
R Riquelme MID142
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF101
-
T Lemar MID3
-
J Musso GLK1
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29458
F LejeuneJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaP Ciss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF292
5
-
A Rațiu DEF2823
4
-
Álvaro García MID2835
4
-
A Embarba FWD2811
4
-
J Frutos FWD2843
2
1
I Palazón MID2733
4
-
Óscar Valentín MID27
3
-
P Chavarría DEF261
2
-
P Ciss MID2631
8
-
A Batalla GLK25
4
-
A Mumin DEF2421
6
1
U López MID2431
7
1
S Camello FWD2332
2
-
R Nteka MID223
6
-
I Balliu DEF20
2
-
P Díaz MID183
1
-
Óscar Trejo MID161
1
-
G Gumbau MID151
4
-
S Guardiola FWD12
1
-
A Espino DEF10
4
-
A Hernández DEF9
1
-
D Cárdenas GLK5
-
E. Eto'o Pineda FWD2
-
P. Fernández Balboa DEF1
1
-
R Tomás FWD1
-