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Atletico de Madrid v Mallorca : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

The La Liga is the focus for both Atletico de Madrid and Mallorca on Saturday evening, as managers Diego Simeone and Jagoba Arrasate battle it out at the Wanda Metropolitano. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Real Madrid at 20:00 on Saturday 8th February
Mallorca's next match is v Osasuna at 20:00 on Monday 10th February
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and Mallorca was on Saturday 1st February 2025
Spanish La Liga
February 1st 2025
A.Madrid 2
0 Mallorca
 
S. Dias Lino 26'
A. Griezmann 90'
 
ATM
MLL
Shots On
5
1
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
10
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
9
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
A.MadridMallorca
 
J. Oblak
R. Le Normand
R. Mandava
C. Lenglet
M. Llorente Moreno (N. Molina Lucero 81')
Pablo Barrios Rivas
J. Resurrección Merodio (Á. Correa 73')
S. Dias Linofootball icon (R. Riquelme Reche 81')
A. Sørloth
J. Álvarez (A. Griezmann 61')
G. Simeone (C. Gallagher 61')
D. Greif
A. Raillo Arenas
J. Arias Copete
M. Valjent
J. Mojica Palacio
(T. Asano 67') M. Morey Bauzà
(M. Salas Franch 81') D. Rodríguez Vázquez
(Chiquinho 90') S. Costa
(A. Prats Bastidas 81') S. Darder Moll
(R. Navarro Muñoz 67') C. Larin
V. Muriqi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this fixture will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. A.Madrid and Mallorca have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in La Liga individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
58%
1/2
10%
1/2
10%
Draw
24%
31/10
9%
3/1
13%
Mallorca
18%
6/1
22%
6/1
22%
A.Madrid 1-0
14%
9/2
10%
4/1
A.Madrid 2-0
12%
5/1
9%
19/4
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
11%
13/2
12%
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
6%
13/2
12%
Mallorca 1-0
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
9/1
25%
8/1
20%
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Mallorca 2-1
5%
20/1
28%
16/1
19%
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Mallorca 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
A.Madrid 4-0
3%
20/1
40%
14/1
15%
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Mallorca 3-1
1%
50/1
37%
45/1
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/511/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/613/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/3
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3/1
20%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
5/4
14%
13/10
8%
BTTS - No
55%
4/7
9%
11/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
8%
3/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
13%
5/1
14%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
14/1
29%
12/1
24%
Home/draw
82%
1/10
3%
1/10
4%
Away/draw
42%
6/4
17%
6/4
17%
Home/away
76%
2/9
3%
2/9
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/54/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/115/8
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
10/3
8%
14/5
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
13/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/100
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
13%
7/1
6%
Home DNB
75%
1/6
6%
1/7
5%
Away DNB
35%
4/1
29%
4/1
23%
A.Madrid win to nil
36%
11/10
15%
-
Mallorca win to nil
10%
9/1
23%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
35%
13/10
12%
5/4
10%
A.Madrid / Mallorca
2%
40/1
20%
40/1
11%
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Draw / A.Madrid
20%
3/1
11%
29/10
5%
Draw / Mallorca
6%
12/1
24%
11/1
20%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
13%
Mallorca / A.Madrid
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Mallorca / Mallorca
7%
11/1
29%
9/1
17%
Mallorca / Draw
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 11 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Mallorca are in 7th position in the La Liga on 30 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Mallorca have conceded 13 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Mallorca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid2215432949 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
May 14
2
A.Madrid Home2214622348 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
3
Barcelona2214353645 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-5A
Apr 23
4
A.Bilbao2211831341 
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 9
5
Villarreal2210751137 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
6
R.Vallecano22886232 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 25
7
Girona22949131 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
w
 
2-1A
May 4
8
Osasuna22796-430 
w
 
1-0F
May 14
Feb 10
l
 
1-0A
9
Mallorca Away229310-930 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
10
Real Betis22787-329 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
11
R.Sociedad228410-128 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
12
Sevilla22778-628 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 24
13
Celta227411-425 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
14
Getafe22598024 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
May 18
w
 
0-1F
15
Las Palmas226511-923 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
Feb 16
w
 
2-3F
16
Leganes22589-1123 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 20
w
 
0-1F
17
Espanyol226511-1223 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
Mar 16
l
 
2-1A
18
Alaves225611-921 
w
 
2-1A
May 4
Mar 2
l
 
1-0A
19
Valencia224711-1519 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
w
 
2-1A
Mar 30
20
Valladolid224315-3215 
Apr 13
w
 
0-5F
May 11
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Mallorca 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A.Madrid have beaten Mallorca in 4 consecutive league meetings
3
A.Madrid have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Mallorca
League games at A.Madrid since 2020
A.Madrid
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
ATM
3
MLL
1
League games at Mallorca since 2019
Mallorca
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
ATM
3
MLL
2
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Mallorca on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 2nd Mallorca 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Mallorca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Mallorca have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278370/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Mallorca
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
36%
better
ATM
MLL
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score3
7
Scored first11
6
Goals scored34
19
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for18
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
34%
better
ATM
MLL
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded13
25
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
8
Conversion rate against8%
12%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+34%

A.Madrid v Mallorca La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21845
J OblakA SörlothA GriezmannR Normand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK21
-
M Llorente DEF1722
1
1
R Normand DEF13
5
-
C Lenglet DEF1211
5
-
R Mandava DEF15
3
-
G Simeone MID1713
3
-
P Barrios MID172
3
-
Koke MID2111
4
-
S Lino MID1832
3
-
J Álvarez FWD2262
4
-
A Sörloth FWD1982
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
-
A Gomis GLK
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
J Giménez DEF16
3
-
C Azpilicueta DEF7
-
N Molina DEF163
-
C Gallagher MID172
2
-
T Lemar MID1
-
R Riquelme MID112
-
A Griezmann FWD2284
2
-
Ángel Correa FWD2021
3
-
R. Belaid Khellil FWD
-
Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21546
A RaílloC LarinD RodríguezS Costa
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Greif GLK18
1
-
M Bauzà DEF7
1
-
M Valjent DEF17
4
-
A Raíllo DEF211
2
1
J Copete DEF15
4
-
J Palacio DEF2111
4
-
D Rodríguez MID2234
2
-
S Costa MID192
5
1
S Darder MID221
1
-
C Larin FWD1952
3
-
V Muriqi FWD1732
1
2
Subs
L Román GLK5
-
I Cuéllar GLK1
-
T Lato DEF5
1
V Fernández DEF112
1
-
D. López Guijarro DEF
-
R Navarro MID191
3
-
M. Salas Franch MID1
-
D Luna MID2
-
A Prats FWD1521
4
-
T Asano FWD11
-
Chiquinho FWD8
2
-