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Atletico de Madrid v FC Barcelona : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Hans-Dieter Flick is aiming for a vital away win in the La Liga on Sunday night, as he takes his FC Barcelona side to the Wanda Metropolitano to visit Atletico de Madrid and Diego Simeone. We have odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and sadness to both sets of supporters. We predict both A.Madrid and Barcelona to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the game seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Barcelona coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
34%
3.10
13%
2.88
3%
Draw
24%
3.60
3%
3.60
Barcelona
42%
2.20
8%
2.30
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.007.00
Barcelona 2-1
9%
9.00
5%
8.50
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
11.009.50
6%
Barcelona 1-0
7%
11.00
8%
9.50
5%
Draw 2-2
7%
11.0010.00
A.Madrid 1-0
6%
15.00
15%
11.00
Barcelona 2-0
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Barcelona 3-1
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
A.Madrid 2-0
5%
19.00
12%
13.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0012.00
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Barcelona 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Barcelona 3-0
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
A.Madrid 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
21.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.57
3%
1.57
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.38
3%
2.30
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.20
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.67
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.501.50
1%
BTTS - No
37%
2.502.45
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5.00
11%
4.40
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.004.20
5%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3.60
10%
3.60
3%
Home/draw
58%
1.67
9%
1.60
2%
Away/draw
66%
1.36
3%
1.40
3%
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.171.18
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.004.50
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.382.38
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.571.53
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.334.00
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.007.50
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.081.07
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0012.00
Home DNB
51%
2.20
10%
2.10
5%
Away DNB
59%
1.62
6%
1.67
3%
A.Madrid win to nil
15%
6.50
8%
-
Barcelona win to nil
18%
4.50
10%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
17%
4.75
10%
4.40
2%
A.Madrid / Barcelona
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Draw / A.Madrid
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Draw / Barcelona
14%
6.005.50
4%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Barcelona / A.Madrid
4%
23.0021.00
11%
Barcelona / Barcelona
23%
3.50
7%
3.50
5%
Barcelona / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
9%
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. A.Madrid are unbeaten in 3 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 3 games. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 2 and won 1. A.Madrid have conceded 3 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A.Madrid have played 14 games at home, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Barcelona lay in 1st place on 57 points in the La Liga league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 71 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Barcelona have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Barcelona have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Barcelona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona Away2618354657 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
-
-
2
Real Madrid2717643157 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 11
w
 
0-4F
3
A.Madrid Home2716832656 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Mar 16
4
A.Bilbao27131042149 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 25
5
Villarreal2612861244 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 18
w
 
1-5F
6
Real Betis271188241 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
d
 
2-2F
7
Mallorca2710710-737 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 23
w
 
1-5F
8
R.Vallecano27999036 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
9
Celta2710611-136 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 20
d
 
2-2F
10
Sevilla27999-436 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 6
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-4F
11
R.Sociedad2710413-534 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
12
Getafe278910133 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Girona279612-533 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
Mar 30
w
 
1-4F
14
Osasuna267127-533 
w
 
1-0F
May 14
-
l
 
4-2A
15
Espanyol267712-1228 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
w
 
3-1F
May 14
16
Valencia276912-1527 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
7-1F
w
 
1-2A
17
Leganes276912-1627 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
18
Alaves276813-1026 
w
 
2-1A
May 4
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
19
Las Palmas276615-1524 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
20
Valladolid274419-4416 
Apr 13
w
 
0-5F
w
 
7-0F
May 4
Win / draw / win form
6
Barcelona have won 6 consecutive league games
14
A.Madrid have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
7
Barcelona have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
3
Barcelona have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
A.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
A.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
A.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HA.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
HA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
Barcelona 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Las Palmas0 - 2Barcelona
Sevilla1 - 4Barcelona
Getafe1 - 1Barcelona
Real Betis2 - 2Barcelona
Mallorca1 - 5Barcelona
Celta2 - 2Barcelona
R.Sociedad1 - 0Barcelona
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Alaves0 - 3Barcelona
Osasuna4 - 2Barcelona
Villarreal1 - 5Barcelona
Girona1 - 4Barcelona
R.Vallecano1 - 2Barcelona
Valencia1 - 2Barcelona
Sevilla1 - 2Barcelona
Almeria0 - 2Barcelona
Girona4 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Cadiz0 - 1Barcelona
A.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBarcelona4 - 0R.Sociedad
ABarcelona2 - 0Las Palmas
HBarcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
ABarcelona4 - 1Sevilla
HBarcelona1 - 0Alaves
HBarcelona7 - 1Valencia
ABarcelona1 - 1Getafe
HBarcelona1 - 2A.Madrid
HBarcelona0 - 1Leganes
ABarcelona2 - 2Real Betis
ABarcelona5 - 1Mallorca
HBarcelona1 - 2Las Palmas
ABarcelona2 - 2Celta
ABarcelona0 - 1R.Sociedad
HBarcelona3 - 1Espanyol
ABarcelona4 - 0Real Madrid
HBarcelona5 - 1Sevilla
ABarcelona3 - 0Alaves
ABarcelona2 - 4Osasuna
HBarcelona1 - 0Getafe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
ATM
2
D
2
BCN
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
0 - 3Barcelona
0 - 1Barcelona
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
0 - 1Barcelona
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Barcelona
1 - 2Barcelona
0 - 1Barcelona
League games at Barcelona since 2016
Barcelona
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
9 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
1 / 10
ATM
1
D
3
BCN
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barcelona
1 - 2A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 0
Barcelona1 - 0
Barcelona4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Barcelona2 - 0
Barcelona1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Barcelona2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.5 against FC Barcelona on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Madrid 3rd Barcelona 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+34
Barcelona have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278423/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.5
1.7
Attack rating
ATM
BCN
22%
better
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score3
2
Scored first16
20
Goals scored44
71
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.7
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
22
Avg. XG for1.5
2.2
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
16%
better
ATM
BCN
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets13
8
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded18
25
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
7
Conversion rate against8%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%

A.Madrid v Barcelona La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261057
J OblakJ ÁlvarezA GriezmannR Normand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD27102
4
-
A Griezmann FWD2785
2
-
J Oblak GLK26
-
R Paul MID2533
6
-
Ángel Correa FWD2531
3
1
A Sörloth FWD24102
3
-
Koke MID2311
4
-
S Lino FWD2332
4
-
M Llorente MID2223
1
1
G Simeone FWD2214
3
-
J Giménez DEF211
4
-
C Gallagher MID2121
2
-
P Barrios MID212
4
1
N Molina DEF203
-
R Normand DEF17
7
-
J Galán DEF172
7
-
R Mandava DEF17
3
-
C Lenglet DEF1511
7
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
R Riquelme MID112
-
C Azpilicueta DEF8
-
T Lemar MID2
-
J Musso GLK1
-
Barcelona La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2521124
RaphinhaR Lewandowski L YamalM Torras
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF263
3
-
J Koundé DEF2623
2
-
Raphinha FWD26138
2
-
Pedri MID2543
2
-
R Lewandowski  FWD25212
1
-
A Balde DEF233
1
-
L Yamal FWD23512
2
-
M Torras MID2213
3
1
I Martínez  DEF202
3
-
F Torres FWD1952
1
1
E García DEF1711
1
-
F. Lopez Marin MID1732
3
1
G. Martín Langreo DEF1611
2
-
D Olmo MID1662
-
I Peña GLK15
1
-
F Jong MID1521
2
-
P Victor FWD1521
2
-
Gavi MID141
4
-
H. García DEF12
2
-
P Torre MID831
-
W Szczęsny GLK6
-
M Stegen GLK6
-
R Araújo DEF411
1
-
A Fati FWD4
1
-
M. Bernal Casas MID3
2
-
A Christensen DEF1
1
-