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Atletico de Madrid v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:15 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico de Madrid are in La Liga action on Saturday afternoon, as Diego Simeone attempts to outsmart Luis Garcia and his Alaves side at the Wanda Metropolitano. You'll find stats supporting our top of A.Madrid to win below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with La Liga performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

As the stadium fills and the A.Madrid players prepare themselves for this clash, the bookies are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Wanda Metropolitano has not been an easy place to go for Alaves in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
70%
4/114/11
Draw
19%
15/419/5
4%
Alaves
11%
8/117/2
12%
A.Madrid 2-0
14%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
A.Madrid 1-0
14%
9/2
15%
17/4
9%
A.Madrid 3-0
10%
7/1
6%
13/2
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
14%
8/1
10%
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
A.Madrid 4-0
5%
14/111/1
Alaves 1-0
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Alaves 2-1
3%
25/120/1
11%
A.Madrid 5-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Alaves 2-0
1%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1
11%
19/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5
10%
4/5
6%
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
34%
15/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
11/8
8%
7/5
9%
BTTS - No
58%
8/15
6%
1/2
6%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
14%
27/10
9%
BTTS - Draw
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
BTTS - Away Win
5%
18/1
12%
16/1
31%
Home/draw
89%
1/141/16
1%
Away/draw
30%
2/121/10
Home/away
81%
2/112/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/3
3%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/5
9%
11/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5/2
9%
23/10
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
3/10
4%
3/10
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6/1
27%
11/2
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/10
4%
1/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2
14%
8/1
10%
Home DNB
84%
1/101/12
2%
Away DNB
24%
6/16/1
17%
A.Madrid win to nil
46%
10/11
5%
-
Alaves win to nil
6%
12/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
40%
21/20
3%
1/1
3%
A.Madrid / Alaves
2%
50/145/1
12%
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
16/1
Draw / A.Madrid
22%
11/427/10
5%
Draw / Alaves
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
12%
Alaves / A.Madrid
4%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
Alaves / Alaves
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Alaves / Draw
4%
20/116/1
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Alaves are in 15th position in the La Liga on 13 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Alaves have conceded 14 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1311022833 
Mar 16
Dec 21
l
 
0-3A
Feb 2
2
Real Madrid128311427 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
Apr 13
l
 
3-2A
3
A.Madrid 137511226 
-
-
May 4
Nov 23
4
Villarreal12732424 
Jan 26
d
 
2-2A
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
5
Osasuna13634-321 
Jan 11
May 14
May 25
Dec 8
6
A.Bilbao13553620 
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
Dec 15
May 11
7
Real Betis13553220 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 19
8
R.Sociedad13535118 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
Apr 23
w
 
1-2A
9
Mallorca13535018 
Feb 2
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 2
10
Girona13535-118 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
Jan 11
Apr 6
11
Celta13526-217 
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
Jan 26
l
 
2-1F
12
R.Vallecano12444016 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
13
Sevilla13436-615 
Dec 8
Apr 6
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
14
Leganes13355-314 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 19
Nov 30
Feb 16
15
Alaves 13418-813 
Nov 23
May 4
-
-
16
Las Palmas13337-612 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
17
Getafe13175-310 
Dec 15
Mar 9
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
18
Espanyol12318-1110 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
19
Valladolid13238-159 
Apr 13
Nov 30
l
 
2-3F
May 18
20
Valencia11146-97 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
May 14
Dec 22
Win / draw / win form
5
Alaves have lost 5 consecutive away league games
6
A.Madrid have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
5
Alaves have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
3
Alaves have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Alaves 15TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
A.Madrid have beaten Alaves in 6 consecutive home league meetings
7
A.Madrid have not lost to Alaves in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2016
A.Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
ATM
6
D
1
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
ATM
3
D
2
ALV
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Atletico de Madrid in their meeting with Alaves, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 16 consecutive La Liga matches.

A.Madrid 3rd Alaves 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Alaves will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278297/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
2.1
0.7
Attack rating
29%
better
ATM
ALV
view stats
Games scored11
8
Failed to score2
5
Scored first7
5
Goals scored19
14
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
47%
better
ATM
ALV
view stats
Games conceded6
10
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded7
22
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
5
Conversion rate against6%
19%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+47%

A.Madrid v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12444
J OblakJ ÁlvarezA GriezmannC Lenglet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Koke MID131
3
-
J Álvarez FWD1341
1
-
A Sörloth FWD1342
-
A Griezmann FWD1334
1
-
J Oblak GLK12
-
R Mandava DEF12
3
-
J Giménez DEF12
1
-
R Paul MID122
2
-
Ángel Correa FWD122
1
-
N Molina DEF101
-
C Gallagher MID102
1
-
S Lino MID101
1
-
R Riquelme FWD91
-
A Witsel DEF81
-
P Barrios MID81
1
-
M Llorente MID821
1
1
R Normand DEF7
2
-
J Galán DEF51
2
-
C Azpilicueta DEF5
-
C Lenglet DEF4
4
-
J Musso GLK1
-
T Lemar MID1
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13315
A SiveraK GarcíaA AbqarA Abqar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK13
3
-
M Sánchez DEF12
4
-
A Abqar DEF121
5
-
A Blanco MID121
1
-
A Guevara MID121
1
-
K García FWD123
3
1
C Vicente FWD122
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF1111
3
-
J Guridi MID111
3
-
Stoichkov FWD111
1
-
T Martínez FWD103
-
M Diarra DEF8
2
-
J Jordán MID71
1
-
C Martín FWD71
1
-
A Villalibre FWD71
-
T Conechny FWD71
2
-
A Rebbach FWD7
1
-
S Mouriño DEF6
1
-
A. Hernández Hernández DEF6
1
-
C Benavídez MID611
1
-
A Sedlar DEF5
1
1
L Romero FWD5
-
H Novoa FWD4
-