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Atletico de Madrid v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Mar, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico de Madrid are in La Liga action on Saturday night, as Diego Simeone aims to beat Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and his Athletic Bilbao side at the Wanda Metropolitano. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our extensive database and found the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by A.Madrid and A.Bilbao combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 76% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
47%
5/6
3%
5/6
Draw
26%
13/513/5
A.Bilbao
27%
16/5
3%
17/5
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
5/119/4
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/17/1
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
7/113/2
A.Bilbao 1-0
9%
9/117/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/213/2
A.Bilbao 2-1
6%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
18/114/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
4%
20/116/1
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
16/112/1
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
14/111/1
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
40/128/1
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
33/125/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
2%
11/10
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/6
3%
4/6
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1/11/1
BTTS - No
51%
3/4
2%
8/11
BTTS - Home Win
20%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8/115/2
Home/draw
73%
2/9
4%
1/5
Away/draw
53%
10/11
1%
19/20
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/5
2%
4/11
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/115/8
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/111/4
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4
2%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
3%
1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
2%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
Home DNB
65%
1/3
2%
1/3
Away DNB
45%
9/421/10
A.Madrid win to nil
27%
7/4-
A.Bilbao win to nil
15%
11/2-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
28%
2/19/5
A.Madrid / A.Bilbao
2%
40/128/1
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
7/217/5
Draw / A.Bilbao
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
A.Bilbao / A.Madrid
3%
25/120/1
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
11%
13/211/2
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 13 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

A.Bilbao are in 4th position in the La Liga on 45 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 1. A.Bilbao have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2416354051 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
May 25
l
 
2-1A
2
Real Madrid2415632951 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
3
A.Madrid Home2414822350 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
4
A.Bilbao Away2412931645 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
-
-
5
Villarreal2411851241 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
6
R.Vallecano24987235 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
7
Mallorca2410410-734 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 9
d
 
0-00-0
8
Real Betis24888-132 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
9
Osasuna247116-432 
w
 
1-0F
May 14
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
10
Girona249411-331 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
11
R.Sociedad249411-331 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 4
12
Sevilla24879-531 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
13
Getafe24798230 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
d
 
1-1F
May 14
14
Celta248511-329 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
15
Espanyol246612-1324 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
16
Leganes245910-1324 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
17
Las Palmas246513-1223 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
18
Valencia245811-1323 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
May 18
19
Alaves245712-1022 
w
 
2-1A
May 4
May 11
d
 
1-1F
20
Valladolid244317-3715 
Apr 13
w
 
0-5F
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
13
A.Madrid have not lost in 13 consecutive home league games
8
A.Bilbao have not lost in 8 consecutive away league games
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
A.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
A.Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
A.Madrid2 - 1Real Betis
A.Madrid5 - 0Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HA.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
HA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 0Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Betis2 - 2A.Bilbao
Celta1 - 2A.Bilbao
Osasuna1 - 2A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
Valladolid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca0 - 0A.Bilbao
Girona2 - 1A.Bilbao
Leganes0 - 2A.Bilbao
Las Palmas2 - 3A.Bilbao
Barcelona2 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 1A.Bilbao
Getafe0 - 2A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Las Palmas0 - 2A.Bilbao
Real Betis3 - 1A.Bilbao
Almeria0 - 0A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
AA.Bilbao2 - 2Real Betis
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Mallorca
HA.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Girona
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Las Palmas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
A.Madrid have not lost to A.Bilbao in 10 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
18
6
Games: Scored
8 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
2 / 10
ATM
8
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Madrid2 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at A.Bilbao since 2014
A.Bilbao
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
13
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
ATM
5
D
2
ATH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 0
A.Bilbao2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Bilbao2 - 0
1 - 2A.Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
1 - 4A.Madrid
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Athletic Bilbao on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Atletico de Madrid's defensive record is very strong, Diego Simeone's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive La Liga outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Athletic Bilbao makes sense in this context.

A.Madrid 3rd A.Bilbao 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278405/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.5
1
Attack rating
0%
better
ATM
ATH
view stats
Games scored21
21
Failed to score3
3
Scored first13
13
Goals scored39
37
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
19%
better
ATM
ATH
view stats
Games conceded13
17
Clean sheets11
7
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded16
21
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
8
Conversion rate against8%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+19%

A.Madrid v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23946
J OblakA SörlothA GriezmannR Paul
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD2472
4
-
A Griezmann FWD2484
2
-
J Oblak GLK23
-
Koke MID2311
4
-
R Paul MID2233
6
-
Ángel Correa FWD2221
3
-
A Sörloth FWD2192
1
-
S Lino FWD2032
3
-
P Barrios MID192
3
1
M Llorente MID1922
1
1
G Simeone FWD1913
3
-
J Giménez DEF181
4
-
C Gallagher MID182
2
-
N Molina DEF173
-
R Mandava DEF17
3
-
R Normand DEF14
6
-
J Galán DEF142
6
-
C Lenglet DEF1311
6
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
R Riquelme MID112
-
C Azpilicueta DEF7
-
J Musso GLK1
-
T Lemar MID1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221276
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Berenguer FWD2356
3
-
G Guruzeta FWD2352
2
-
I Williams FWD2347
-
D Vivian DEF213
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID211
4
1
Y Berchiche DEF20
3
-
U Gómez MID2012
1
-
O Sancet MID20121
2
-
N Williams FWD2014
1
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF194
-
B Prados MID191
6
-
M Vesga MID17
1
-
I Galarreta MID162
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
A Paredes DEF143
3
1
Y Álvarez DEF14
3
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD131
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF11
1
-
A Gorosabel DEF111
1
-
I Lekue DEF8
1
-
U Simón GLK7
-
U Núñez DEF4
1
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID3
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD2
-
E. Bujan de Rueda FWD1
-