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Alaves v Real Valladolid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 18th Oct, 20:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Paulo César Pezzolano Suárez takes his Real Valladolid team to the Mendizorroza in the La Liga on Friday night, with Luis Garcia's Alaves their rivals. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Alaves to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this La Liga clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Alaves to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they'll have too much for Valladolid, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Alaves claiming victory is the bet come Friday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
69%
7/10
6%
7/10
15%
Draw
19%
11/4
1%
13/5
6%
Valladolid
12%
4/1
39%
17/4
35%
Alaves 2-0
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
19%
Alaves 1-0
12%
5/19/2
8%
Alaves 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 1-1
9%
6/1
7%
11/2
8%
Alaves 3-0
9%
11/1
20%
10/1
15%
Alaves 3-1
7%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
15/2
11%
13/2
Alaves 4-0
5%
25/1
24%
18/1
27%
Valladolid 1-0
4%
10/1
22%
9/1
18%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
15%
Alaves 4-1
4%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Valladolid 2-1
4%
16/1
31%
14/1
25%
Alaves 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Alaves 5-0
2%
50/1
24%
33/1
33%
Valladolid 2-0
2%
25/1
37%
18/1
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
11/10
5%
11/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
8/11
4%
4/6
1%
Home 1st Goal
60%
4/9
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
11/5
16%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
15/2
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
21/2011/10
8%
BTTS - No
52%
7/104/6
5%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
10/3
4%
3/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
10/1
29%
17/2
27%
Home/draw
88%
1/6
6%
2/13
8%
Away/draw
31%
11/10
15%
23/20
19%
Home/away
81%
1/4
2%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/5
7%
19/10
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3/1
8%
11/4
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
16/1
11%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/401/100
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8/1
5%
13/2
Home DNB
82%
1/4
11%
1/4
11%
Away DNB
26%
11/4
36%
27/10
37%
Alaves win to nil
40%
6/4
9%
-
Valladolid win to nil
6%
7/1
33%
-
Alaves / Alaves
31%
13/8
13%
8/5
16%
Alaves / Valladolid
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
17%
Alaves / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Alaves
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
13%
Draw / Valladolid
8%
9/1
18%
17/2
27%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
7%
Valladolid / Alaves
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Valladolid / Valladolid
9%
8/1
20%
7/1
33%
Valladolid / Draw
5%
16/114/1
15%
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Alaves have outscored their opponents by 11 goals to 5 goals.

Home League Performance

Alaves have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 4 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Valladolid are in 19th position in the La Liga on 5 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Valladolid have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 2 games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Valladolid have conceded 19 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Alaves
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Valladolid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
Feb 2
 Barcelona98011924 
May 4
l
 
7-0A
Apr 13
l
 
3-2A
 Real Madrid96301321 
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
May 4
Nov 24
 A.Madrid9450817 
Dec 1
Apr 13
Mar 9
Nov 9
 Villarreal9522017 
Oct 26
Feb 2
May 25
Dec 8
 Osasuna9432-115 
Apr 20
Nov 2
Dec 15
May 11
 A.Bilbao9423314 
Nov 10
Feb 23
Nov 1
Mar 2
 Mallorca9423114 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
Mar 30
Oct 26
 R.Vallecano9342213 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 9
Jan 26
l
 
2-1F
 Celta9414113 
Mar 16
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 19
 Real Betis9333012 
Jan 11
Apr 23
Jan 11
Apr 6
 Girona9333-112 
May 14
Dec 22
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
 Sevilla9333-112 
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Alaves Home9315-410 
May 18
Oct 18
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
 Espanyol9315-410 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
Apr 23
w
 
1-2A
 R.Sociedad9234-19 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
 Getafe9153-18 
Apr 6
Nov 24
Dec 1
Feb 16
 Leganes9153-48 
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
May 14
Dec 22
 Valencia9135-86 
Dec 15
Mar 9
Oct 18
May 18
 Valladolid Away9126-145 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
 Las Palmas9036-83 
Mar 2
Dec 8
Win / draw / win form
3
Alaves have lost 3 consecutive league games
5
Valladolid have lost 5 consecutive away league games
8
Valladolid have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Alaves 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Valladolid 19TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2016
Alaves
Valladolid
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
ALV
3
D
1
League games at Valladolid since 2015
Valladolid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
2
5
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
ALV
3
VLD
1
Goal Statistics

Real Valladolid have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive La Liga matches. This run could continue, with Alaves's PG an impressive 2.1.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Real Valladolid fans, as should a 10 La Liga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Alaves 13th Valladolid 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Alaves will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Valladolid scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Alaves have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Valladolid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278262/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Valladolid
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
34%
better
ALV
VLD
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score3
4
Scored first3
2
Goals scored11
5
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.6
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
13
Conversion rate for15
8
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
0%
better
ALV
VLD
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded15
19
Avg. goals conceded1.7
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against20%
20%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
0%

Alaves v Valladolid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9213
A SiveraK GarcíaA BlancoA Sivera
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK9
3
-
A Abqar DEF9
3
-
A Blanco MID91
1
-
K García FWD92
1
-
M Sánchez DEF8
2
-
A Guevara MID81
-
C Vicente FWD82
1
-
Stoichkov FWD81
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF711
1
-
J Guridi MID7
2
-
M Diarra DEF6
-
T Martínez FWD62
-
T Conechny FWD61
2
-
S Mouriño DEF5
1
-
A Sedlar DEF5
1
1
C Benavídez MID511
1
-
A Villalibre FWD51
-
J Jordán MID41
-
A Rebbach FWD4
1
-
C Martín FWD41
-
L Romero FWD4
-
H Novoa FWD4
-
A. Hernández Hernández DEF3
-
Valladolid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9215
K HeinR MoroR MoroL Rosa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Hein GLK9
-
L Rosa DEF9
5
-
L Pérez DEF9
-
S Juric MID9
4
-
R Moro FWD921
-
E Cömert DEF8
2
-
K Pérez MID81
3
-
I Sánchez FWD81
1
-
V Meseguer MID7
-
S Amallah  MID711
1
-
J Latasa FWD7
3
-
M Martín MID61
1
1
A Ndiaye FWD61
-
M Sylla FWD6
-
D Torres DEF5
2
-
D Machís FWD5
-
M André FWD5
2
-
I. San José Cantalejo MID4
1
-
C Özkacar DEF3
-
J Sánchez DEF3
1
-
Anuar  MID1
-
Kenedy FWD1
-