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Alaves v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

the Mendizorroza faithful welcome Real Madrid's supporters on Sunday afternoon, as Eduardo Coudet's Alaves go head to head with Carlo Ancelotti's troops in the La Liga. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Alaves's next match is v Sevilla at 17:30 on Sunday 20th April
Real Madrid's next match is v Arsenal at 20:00 on Wednesday 16th April

The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Alaves and Real Madrid was on Sunday 13th April 2025

Spanish La Liga

April 13th 2025

Alaves 0	1 Real Madrid

	34' E. Camavinga

	ALV RMD
Shots On	6 4
Shots Off	5 1
Corners	4 4
Possession	56% 44%
Fouls	20 12
Yellow/red cards	4/1 4/1

Alaves	Real Madrid

J. Owono Ngua Akeng ?. Mouriño González M. Sánchez De La Peña N. Tenaglia A. Abqar (M. Diarra 76') A. Blanco Conde (C. Benavídez Protesoni 83') C. Aleña Castillo (P. Cabanes De La Torre 83') J. Jordán Moreno (A. Guevara Lajo 76') C. Vicente Robles C. Martín Domínguez (A. Martínez López 60') E. García Martínez	T. Courtois A. Rüdiger (B. Abdelkader Diaz 77') F. García Torres L. Vázquez Iglesias R. Asencio del Rosario A. Tchouaméni (D. Ceballos Fernández 90') F. Valverde Dipetta E. Camavinga (J. Bellingham 63') A. Guler (V. Júnior 62') R. Silva de Goes K. Mbappé

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Alaves and Real Madrid no more than 3 goals combined during this La Liga game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.36.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Alaves 22%	15/4 50%	-
Draw 25%	14/5 20%	-
Real Madrid 53%	7/10 25%	-
Real Madrid 1-0 13%	13/2	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1 22%	-
Real Madrid 2-0 10%	7/1 23%	-
Real Madrid 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 8%	10/1 15%	-
Alaves 1-0 7%	12/1 38%	-
Alaves 2-1 6%	14/1 42%	-
Real Madrid 3-0 5%	12/1 53%	-
Real Madrid 3-1 5%	12/1 18%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1 29%	-
Alaves 2-0 3%	22/1 44%	-
Real Madrid 3-2 2%	25/1	-
Real Madrid 4-0 2%	25/1 73%	-
Real Madrid 4-1 2%	25/1 37%	-
Alaves 3-1 2%	40/1 39%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	4/5 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	1/1 9%	-
Home 1st Goal 41%	2/1 31%	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	4/9 15%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/5 8%	-
BTTS - No 51%	19/20 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 10%	15/2 50%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1 17%	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	13/5 16%	-
Home/draw 47%	11/10 30%	-
Away/draw 78%	2/11 10%	-
Home/away 75%	1/4 6%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1/4 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	3/1 11%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	11/5 22%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	4/11 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	9/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/7 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10/1 15%	-
Home DNB 39%	5/2 50%	-
Away DNB 71%	2/7 17%	-
Alaves win to nil 12%	8/1 40%	-
Real Madrid win to nil 31%	2/1 36%	-
Alaves / Alaves 10%	7/1 47%	-
Alaves / Real Madrid 4%	20/1 11%	-
Alaves / Draw 5%	14/1 29%	-
Draw / Alaves 8%	17/2 44%	-
Draw / Real Madrid 18%	7/2 20%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 21%	-
Real Madrid / Alaves 2%	33/1 33%	-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid 31%	7/4 41%	-
Real Madrid / Draw 5%	14/1 12%	-

La Liga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Alaves Real Madrid
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Barcelona	31	22	4	5	55	70	l 0-3A	l 1-0A	l 0-4A	May 11
2	Real Madrid A	31	20	6	5	33	66	l 0-1A	l 3-2A	-	-
3	A.Madrid	30	17	9	4	25	60	May 3	l 2-1F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F
4	A.Bilbao	30	14	12	4	22	54	d 1-1A	May 11	Apr 20	l 2-1A
5	Villarreal	30	14	9	7	13	51	w 1-0F	l 3-0A	w 2-0F	w 1-2A
6	Real Betis	31	13	9	9	3	48	d 0-00-0	w 1-3F	w 2-0F	l 2-1F
7	Celta	31	12	7	12	-1	43	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	May 3	w 1-2F
8	Mallorca	31	12	7	12	-6	43	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	May 14	d 1-1F
9	R.Sociedad	31	12	5	14	-4	41	Apr 23	w 1-2A	May 25	w 0-2F
10	R.Vallecano	30	10	10	10	-2	40	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	d 3-3A
11	Getafe	31	10	9	12	3	39	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	w 2-0F	Apr 23
12	Osasuna	31	8	14	9	-8	38	May 25	d 2-2F	w 4-0F	d 1-1F
13	Valencia	31	9	10	12	-12	37	May 14	d 2-2F	l 1-2A	w 1-2A
14	Sevilla	31	9	9	13	-8	36	w 2-1F	Apr 20	w 4-2F	May 18
15	Espanyol	30	9	8	13	-7	35	l 0-1A	l 3-2A	w 4-1A	l 1-0A
16	Girona	31	9	7	15	-10	34	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	w 0-3F
17	Alaves Home	31	7	9	15	-12	30	-	-	w 3-2F	w 0-1F
18	Las Palmas	31	7	8	16	-15	29	w 2-0F	d 2-2F	w 4-1A	d 1-1A
19	Leganes	31	6	10	15	-19	28	d 1-1A	d 3-3A	w 3-2F	w 0-3F
20	Valladolid	30	4	4	22	-50	16	l 2-3F	May 18	w 3-0F	w 0-3F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

form

head to head (H2H)

Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Alaves on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Alaves 17th	Real Madrid 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Alaves have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	+18 Real Madrid have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season

ALV

RMD

37%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		28
Failed to score	10		2
Scored first	13		19
Goals scored	33		63
Avg. goals scored	1.1		2.1
Avg. shots per game	8		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		18
Avg. XG for	1.2		2
KickOff rating		+37%

ALV

RMD

25%

better

view stats

Games conceded	25		20
Clean sheets	5		10
Conceded first	16		11
Goals conceded	44		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+25%

Alaves v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	11	3	12
A Abqar	K García	C Vicente	A Abqar

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Owono GLK	5			-
N Tenaglia DEF	26	1	1	10 -
A Abqar DEF	28		1	12 -
S Mouriño DEF	19		1	4 -
M Sánchez DEF	26	1		6 -
J Jordán MID	19	4	2	2 -
A Blanco MID	27		1	8 1
C Vicente MID	29	4	3	1 -
C Aleñá MID	7		2	1 -
C Martín MID	21	2	2	2 -
K García FWD	28	11		4 1
Subs
A Adrián GLK	2			1 -
A Sedlar DEF	7			1 1
M Diarra DEF	23			6 -
A. Hernández Hernández DEF	8			1 -
F Garcés DEF	3			-
A Guevara MID	26		1	1 -
C Benavídez MID	11	1	1	2 -
H Novoa FWD	5			-
P. Cabanes De La Torre FWD	4			1 -
A Villalibre FWD	15	1	1	3 -
T Martínez FWD	23	4		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	20	3	22
K García	K García	C Vicente	C Vicente

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K García FWD	11	20		6
J Jordán MID	4	7	2	12
C Vicente MID	4	12	3	22
C Martín MID	2	11	2	7
N Tenaglia DEF	1	5	1	8
M Sánchez DEF	1	2		4
A Abqar DEF		1	1	4
S Mouriño DEF		4	1	6
A Blanco MID		2	1	5
C Aleñá MID		2	2	1
Subs
T Martínez FWD	4	12		8
C Benavídez MID	1	1	1	2
A Villalibre FWD	1	2	1	1
M Diarra DEF				1
A. Hernández Hernández DEF		1
A Guevara MID		2	1	7
H Novoa FWD				2
P. Cabanes De La Torre FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
897	76	160
A Blanco	N Tenaglia	K García

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
A Blanco MID	897	50	105
A Abqar DEF	892	35	109
N Tenaglia DEF	712	76	159
J Jordán MID	632	24	53
M Sánchez DEF	616	65	94
C Vicente MID	586	35	134
S Mouriño DEF	466	29	74
K García FWD	437	11	160
C Martín MID	325	33	75
C Aleñá MID	230	13	40
J Owono GLK	129	1	3
Subs
A Guevara MID	764	37	80
M Diarra DEF	649	30	86
A. Hernández Hernández DEF	192	9	29
T Martínez FWD	188	8	86
A Sedlar DEF	155	15	25
C Benavídez MID	151	7	19
A Villalibre FWD	62	1	29
P. Cabanes De La Torre FWD	60	6	15
H Novoa FWD	52	8	13
A Adrián GLK	50		3
F Garcés DEF	3		3

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	22	7	9
K Mbappé	K Mbappé	J Bellingham	V Junior

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Courtois GLK	24			-
L Vázquez DEF	25	1	4	2 -
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF	16		1	1 -
A Rüdiger DEF	27			3 -
F García DEF	24		2	-
A Güler MID	20	1	3	1 -
F Valverde MID	28	5	3	4 -
A Tchouameni MID	25			3 -
E Camavinga MID	16		2	1 -
K Mbappé FWD	28	22	3	3 -
Rodrygo FWD	27	6	5	-
Subs
S Mestre GLK				-
F. González Pérez GLK	1			-
D Alaba DEF	6			1 -
Vallejo DEF	1			-
J Bellingham MID	24	8	7	2 1
L Modric MID	29	2	4	8 -
D Ceballos MID	15			4 -
B Díaz MID	25	4	2	1 -
V Junior FWD	24	11	5	7 2
Endrick FWD	17	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
22	69	7	24
K Mbappé	K Mbappé	J Bellingham	Rodrygo

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Mbappé FWD	22	69	3	20
Rodrygo FWD	6	18	5	24
F Valverde MID	5	16	3	20
L Vázquez DEF	1	3	4	14
A Güler MID	1	9	3	14
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF			1	2
A Rüdiger DEF		4		5
F García DEF		2	2	6
A Tchouameni MID		3		2
E Camavinga MID			2	5
Subs
V Junior FWD	11	25	5	15
J Bellingham MID	8	17	7	19
B Díaz MID	4	12	2	10
L Modric MID	2	4	4	24
Endrick FWD	1	5		2
D Ceballos MID		3		8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1714	51	157
A Rüdiger	J Bellingham	J Bellingham

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
A Rüdiger DEF	1714	18	67
F Valverde MID	1668	38	86
A Tchouameni MID	1624	35	115
L Vázquez DEF	1167	45	92
F García DEF	942	34	67
Rodrygo FWD	935	19	99
K Mbappé FWD	916	9	113
T Courtois GLK	706		7
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF	696	17	57
E Camavinga MID	638	38	84
A Güler MID	432	19	58
Subs
L Modric MID	1395	26	55
J Bellingham MID	1232	51	157
D Ceballos MID	925	34	66
V Junior FWD	654	18	141
B Díaz MID	529	20	66
D Alaba DEF	183	1	4
Endrick FWD	41	1	13
F. González Pérez GLK	17
Vallejo DEF	14

Spanish La Liga match betting previews, predictions and odds

A.Bilbao v R.Vallecano

Sun 13th Apr, 20:00

A.Madrid v Valladolid

Mon 14th Apr, 20:00

Espanyol v Getafe

Fri 18th Apr, 20:00

R.Vallecano v Valencia

Las Palmas v A.Madrid

Sat 19th Apr, 20:00

Valladolid v Osasuna

Sun 20th Apr, 13:00

Villarreal v R.Sociedad

Sun 20th Apr, 15:15

Sevilla v Alaves

Sun 20th Apr, 17:30

Real Madrid v A.Bilbao

A.Bilbao v Las Palmas

Real Betis v Valladolid

Thu 24th Apr, 20:30

A.Madrid v R.Vallecano

Thu 24th Apr, 20:30

Villarreal v Espanyol

Sun 27th Apr, 15:15

Alaves v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Alaves v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

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