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Alaves v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 17:30 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Rayo Vallecano are on the road on Saturday evening, as manager Iñigo Pérez Soto takes his team to visit Alaves and Eduardo Coudet at the Mendizorroza in the La Liga. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Eduardo Coudet and Iñigo Pérez Soto to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Alaves and R.Vallecano go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 36% chance of R.Vallecano coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
33%
13/10
8%
13/10
Draw
31%
15/8
1%
21/10
R.Vallecano
36%
5/2
13%
23/10
Draw 0-0
14%
5/15/1
R.Vallecano 1-0
14%
7/1
14%
6/1
Alaves 1-0
14%
5/119/4
Draw 1-1
14%
9/2
8%
5/1
R.Vallecano 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
12/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
Alaves 2-1
6%
9/1
9%
8/1
Alaves 2-0
6%
9/1
9%
8/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
11%
14/1
R.Vallecano 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Alaves 3-0
2%
20/1
19%
16/1
Alaves 3-1
2%
22/1
12%
16/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Alaves 3-2
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
13/8
5%
6/4
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
1/2
4%
10/21
Home 1st Goal
44%
4/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
5/1-
BTTS - Yes
39%
11/1023/20
BTTS - No
61%
4/613/20
BTTS - Home Win
10%
5/1
8%
9/2
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2
6%
6/1
Home/draw
64%
2/7
5%
1/3
Away/draw
67%
4/7
5%
3/5
Home/away
69%
2/57/20
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
8/151/2
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
6/429/20
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
4/119/5
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/61/6
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
9/1
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
25/120/1
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/1001/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/81/10
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
5/15/1
Home DNB
55%
4/7
6%
4/7
Away DNB
58%
5/4
7%
5/4
Alaves win to nil
22%
5/2
7%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
25%
4/1
15%
-
Alaves / Alaves
21%
3/1
8%
27/10
Alaves / R.Vallecano
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Alaves / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Alaves
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
20%
3/13/1
R.Vallecano / Alaves
3%
33/122/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Alaves have conceded 33 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

R.Vallecano lay in 9th place on 37 points in the La Liga league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. R.Vallecano have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

R.Vallecano have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2719354860 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid2818643260 
Apr 13
l
 
3-2A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
3
A.Madrid2816842456 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 23
4
A.Bilbao28141042252 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
l
 
1-2F
Apr 13
5
Villarreal2712871144 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Real Betis281288344 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
May 14
d
 
1-1A
7
Mallorca2811710-640 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
May 25
l
 
1-0A
8
Celta2811611039 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 18
9
R.Vallecano A289109037 
Mar 29
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
Getafe289910236 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
11
Sevilla289910-536 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
12
R.Sociedad2810513-535 
Apr 23
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
13
Girona289712-534 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Osasuna277128-633 
May 25
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
15
Espanyol277713-1328 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
16
Valencia2861012-1528 
May 14
d
 
2-2F
Apr 20
w
 
0-1F
17
Alaves Home286913-1027 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
18
Leganes286913-1727 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
19
Las Palmas286715-1525 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 11
20
Valladolid284420-4516 
l
 
2-3F
May 18
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves0 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 1Getafe
Alaves1 - 1Celta
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Alaves1 - 0Mallorca
Alaves2 - 3Valladolid
Alaves0 - 3Barcelona
Alaves2 - 1Sevilla
Alaves2 - 0Las Palmas
Alaves0 - 0Real Betis
Alaves1 - 0Getafe
Alaves2 - 2Girona
Alaves3 - 0Celta
Alaves2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 1R.Sociedad
Alaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 1Mallorca
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlaves2 - 2Las Palmas
HAlaves1 - 0Villarreal
AAlaves1 - 1Mallorca
HAlaves0 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves3 - 3Leganes
HAlaves0 - 1Getafe
AAlaves0 - 1Barcelona
HAlaves1 - 1Celta
AAlaves3 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves0 - 1Girona
AAlaves2 - 2Valencia
HAlaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
AAlaves2 - 2Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 1Leganes
AAlaves1 - 2A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 3Villarreal
HAlaves1 - 0Mallorca
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves2 - 3Valladolid
HAlaves0 - 3Barcelona
R.Vallecano 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
Osasuna1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 0R.Vallecano
Mallorca1 - 0R.Vallecano
Valladolid1 - 2R.Vallecano
Girona0 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol2 - 1R.Vallecano
Getafe0 - 0R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad1 - 2R.Vallecano
Barcelona3 - 0R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta0 - 0R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
Girona3 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Leganes
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Osasuna
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Villarreal
HR.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Valencia
HR.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Mallorca
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Valladolid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2019
Alaves
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
ALV
2
VAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Alaves1 - 0
Alaves1 - 0
0 - 1R.Vallecano
League games at R.Vallecano since 2018
R.Vallecano
Alaves
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
ALV
1
VAL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
R.Vallecano1 - 0
R.Vallecano2 - 0
R.Vallecano2 - 0
1 - 5Alaves
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Rayo Vallecano of late. It has been 6 La Liga games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Alaves.

Alaves 17th R.Vallecano 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Alaves scoring 1 goal or less
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Alaves have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-42
R.Vallecano have scored 42% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278431/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
0.9
1
Attack rating
ALV
VAL
5%
better
view stats
Games scored19
22
Failed to score9
6
Scored first12
15
Goals scored32
31
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
ALV
VAL
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
22
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded42
31
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%

Alaves v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2611311
C VicenteK GarcíaC VicenteA Abqar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Vicente FWD2733
1
-
A Abqar DEF261
11
-
K García FWD2611
4
1
N Tenaglia DEF2511
9
-
A Guevara MID251
1
-
A Blanco MID251
7
1
M Sánchez DEF241
6
-
J Guridi MID243
4
-
A Sivera GLK23
4
1
M Diarra DEF22
6
-
T Martínez FWD224
1
-
C Martín FWD1922
2
-
S Mouriño DEF171
3
-
J Jordán MID1742
2
-
T Conechny FWD141
4
-
A Villalibre FWD1411
3
-
C Benavídez MID1111
2
-
A. Hernández Hernández DEF8
1
-
A Sedlar DEF7
1
1
J Owono GLK5
-
C Aleñá MID52
1
-
H Novoa FWD5
-
F Garcés DEF3
-
P. Cabanes De La Torre FWD3
-
A Adrián GLK2
1
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28458
F LejeuneJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaU López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF282
5
-
Óscar Valentín MID27
2
-
A Rațiu DEF2623
4
-
Álvaro García MID2635
4
-
J Frutos FWD2643
2
1
A Embarba FWD2611
4
-
I Palazón MID2533
4
-
A Mumin DEF2421
6
1
P Chavarría DEF241
1
-
P Ciss MID2421
7
-
A Batalla GLK23
3
-
S Camello FWD2332
2
-
U López MID223
7
1
R Nteka MID203
5
-
I Balliu DEF19
2
-
P Díaz MID162
1
-
G Gumbau MID151
4
-
Óscar Trejo MID141
1
-
S Guardiola FWD12
1
-
A Espino DEF8
4
-
A Hernández DEF7
-
D Cárdenas GLK5
-
E. Eto'o Pineda FWD2
-