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Alaves v Celta de Vigo : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 27th Jan, 20:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

The La Liga is the focus for both Alaves and Celta de Vigo on Monday night, as bosses Luis Garcia and Claudio Giráldez González go head to head at the Mendizorroza. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Alaves and Celta will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alaves are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
45%
2.90
7%
2.75
5%
Draw
25%
2.88
7%
3.20
9%
Celta
30%
2.702.62
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
5.50
8%
6.00
8%
Alaves 1-0
10%
9.00
25%
7.50
17%
Alaves 2-1
9%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Celta 1-0
8%
8.50
29%
7.00
22%
Alaves 2-0
8%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Celta 2-1
7%
11.00
10%
9.00
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
8.00
38%
7.50
25%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
30%
13.00
18%
Celta 2-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Alaves 3-1
5%
23.00
21%
17.00
13%
Alaves 3-0
4%
29.00
12%
21.00
Celta 3-1
3%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Alaves 3-2
3%
34.00
48%
23.00
21%
Celta 3-2
2%
34.00
48%
23.00
21%
Celta 3-0
2%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
2.20
27%
2.10
24%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1.67
20%
1.67
19%
Home 1st Goal
51%
2.20
15%
2.05
Away 1st Goal
45%
1.912.00
No 1st Goal
4%
8.00
38%
8.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.80
18%
1.85
16%
BTTS - No
45%
1.95
18%
1.85
18%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
6.00
26%
5.25
19%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00
7%
4.33
3%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5.50
16%
5.00
19%
Home/draw
70%
1.441.48
1%
Away/draw
55%
1.40
3%
1.44
3%
Home/away
75%
1.40
3%
1.33
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.36
13%
1.36
11%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3.20
29%
2.90
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
4.00
53%
3.70
37%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.25
17%
1.25
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
8.00
60%
7.00
46%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.08
8%
1.08
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
17.00
89%
15.00
67%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.02
5%
1.02
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.08
4%
1.07
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8.00
38%
7.50
32%
Home DNB
63%
1.91
4%
1.91
Away DNB
48%
1.80
2%
1.80
Alaves win to nil
24%
5.00
9%
-
Celta win to nil
15%
4.50
18%
-
Alaves / Alaves
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
8%
Alaves / Celta
3%
29.00
26%
23.00
21%
Alaves / Draw
6%
15.00
25%
12.00
Draw / Alaves
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw / Celta
14%
6.00
8%
5.75
Draw / Draw
17%
4.75
21%
4.40
16%
Celta / Alaves
3%
29.00
26%
23.00
10%
Celta / Celta
19%
4.334.00
3%
Celta / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Alaves have conceded 23 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Celta lay in 12th place on 24 points in the La Liga league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Celta have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Celta have played 9 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
Celta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
A.Madrid1913512244 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 16
2
Real Madrid1913422443 
Apr 13
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2A
May 4
3
Barcelona1912252938 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 2
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
4
A.Bilbao1910631236 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
Jan 19
l
 
3-1A
5
Villarreal19865330 
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
Apr 23
l
 
4-3F
6
Mallorca19937-230 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 2
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
7
R.Sociedad19847428 
Apr 23
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 14
8
Girona19847228 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
9
R.Vallecano19676025 
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
May 18
l
 
2-1A
10
Real Betis19676-225 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
Feb 9
d
 
2-2F
11
Osasuna19676-525 
May 25
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
12
Celta Away19739-224 
Jan 27
l
 
2-1F
-
-
13
Sevilla19658-723 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
May 11
l
 
1-0A
14
Las Palmas19649-522 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
Mar 30
w
 
0-1F
15
Getafe19478-319 
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 25
16
Leganes19478-1119 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 16
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
17
Alaves Home194510-1017 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Jan 27
18
Espanyol194411-1416 
Feb 23
l
 
3-2A
Apr 13
l
 
3-1A
19
Valladolid194312-2415 
l
 
2-3F
May 18
w
 
3-1F
Mar 16
20
Valencia192710-1113 
May 14
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
Feb 2
Win / draw / win form
3
Celta have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
Celta have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Alaves 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Alaves1 - 0Mallorca
Alaves2 - 3Valladolid
Alaves0 - 3Barcelona
Alaves2 - 1Sevilla
Alaves2 - 0Las Palmas
Alaves0 - 0Real Betis
Alaves1 - 0Getafe
Alaves2 - 2Girona
Alaves3 - 0Celta
Alaves2 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves0 - 1R.Sociedad
Alaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 1Mallorca
Alaves1 - 1Villarreal
Alaves1 - 3Barcelona
Alaves1 - 0Cadiz
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlaves0 - 1Girona
AAlaves2 - 2Valencia
HAlaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
AAlaves2 - 2Osasuna
HAlaves1 - 1Leganes
AAlaves1 - 2A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 3Villarreal
HAlaves1 - 0Mallorca
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves2 - 3Valladolid
HAlaves0 - 3Barcelona
AAlaves0 - 2Getafe
AAlaves2 - 3Real Madrid
HAlaves2 - 1Sevilla
AAlaves2 - 3Espanyol
HAlaves2 - 0Las Palmas
AAlaves2 - 1R.Sociedad
HAlaves0 - 0Real Betis
AAlaves1 - 2Celta
AAlaves1 - 1Las Palmas
Celta 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
Sevilla1 - 0Celta
Espanyol3 - 1Celta
Real Betis2 - 2Celta
Leganes3 - 0Celta
Las Palmas0 - 1Celta
A.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
Osasuna3 - 2Celta
Villarreal4 - 3Celta
Granada1 - 2Celta
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
Alaves3 - 0Celta
Real Betis2 - 1Celta
Sevilla1 - 2Celta
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Cadiz2 - 2Celta
Getafe3 - 2Celta
Osasuna0 - 3Celta
Mallorca1 - 1Celta
Villarreal3 - 2Celta
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACelta1 - 2R.Vallecano
HCelta2 - 0R.Sociedad
ACelta0 - 1Sevilla
HCelta2 - 0Mallorca
ACelta1 - 3Espanyol
HCelta2 - 2Barcelona
ACelta2 - 2Real Betis
HCelta1 - 0Getafe
ACelta0 - 3Leganes
HCelta1 - 2Real Madrid
ACelta1 - 0Las Palmas
HCelta1 - 1Girona
HCelta0 - 1A.Madrid
ACelta1 - 3A.Bilbao
HCelta3 - 1Valladolid
ACelta2 - 3Osasuna
ACelta3 - 4Villarreal
HCelta3 - 1Valencia
HCelta2 - 1Alaves
HCelta2 - 2Valencia
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Celta
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
ALV
4
D
1
CEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Alaves3 - 0
1 - 2Celta
1 - 3Celta
Alaves2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves2 - 1
Alaves3 - 1
League games at Celta since 2017
Celta
Alaves
Goals: Scored
17
3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
ALV
1
D
1
CEL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
Celta2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Celta4 - 0
Celta2 - 0
Celta6 - 0
0 - 1Alaves
Celta1 - 0
Celta1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Alaves 17th Celta 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Alaves will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Alaves have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Celta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278362/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Celta
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
ALV
CEL
17%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score6
3
Scored first8
7
Goals scored21
28
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
ALV
CEL
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first10
12
Goals conceded31
30
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against20%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%

Alaves v Celta La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18527
A SiveraK GarcíaJ JordánA Abqar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK18
3
-
A Abqar DEF181
7
-
A Blanco MID181
4
-
K García FWD185
3
1
C Vicente FWD1831
1
-
A Guevara MID171
1
-
J Guridi MID172
4
-
N Tenaglia DEF1611
5
-
M Sánchez DEF15
5
-
Stoichkov FWD151
1
-
M Diarra DEF14
2
-
T Martínez FWD143
-
C Martín FWD1321
2
-
J Jordán MID1222
1
-
T Conechny FWD111
3
-
S Mouriño DEF10
1
-
A Rebbach FWD8
1
-
A Villalibre FWD81
-
A Sedlar DEF7
1
1
A. Hernández Hernández DEF7
1
-
C Benavídez MID711
1
-
L Romero FWD6
-
H Novoa FWD4
-
J Owono GLK2
-
Celta La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18655
Óscar MinguezaI AspasÓscar MinguezaJ. Rodríguez Galiano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Álvarez MID1931
4
-
B Iglesias FWD195
-
C Starfelt DEF181
4
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF1825
3
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF1712
5
-
W Swedberg MID1723
1
-
A Douvikas FWD1731
2
-
I Moriba MID161
4
1
I Aspas FWD1663
3
1
V Guaita GLK15
-
M Alonso DEF15
4
1
F Beltrán MID151
1
-
H Sotelo MID13
4
-
J Bamba FWD121
1
-
A González FWD1211
1
D Rodríguez MID11
2
-
J Manquillo DEF9
1
-
P Durán FWD921
2
-
C Domínguez DEF8
-
S Carreira DEF6
-
Jailson  MID6
-
I Villar GLK4
-
M Ristić DEF4
-
F Cervi MID2
1
-
J Aidoo DEF1
-
L Torre MID1
-
T Allende FWD1
1
-