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Athletic Bilbao v Real Valladolid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Feb, 13:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

the San Mamés crowd welcome Real Valladolid's fans on Sunday afternoon, as Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's Athletic Bilbao clash with Marco Mariotti's troops in the La Liga. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: A.Bilbao to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this La Liga clash, a bet on win / draw / win for A.Bilbao to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they'll have too much for Valladolid, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but A.Bilbao winning is the bet come Sunday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
71%
2/9
2%
2/9
Draw
18%
11/2
8%
11/2
Valladolid
10%
10/1
10%
12/1
A.Bilbao 2-0
14%
9/24/1
A.Bilbao 1-0
13%
5/19/2
A.Bilbao 3-0
10%
11/2
7%
11/2
8%
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
9/115/2
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
8%
10/1
A.Bilbao 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
10/1
A.Bilbao 4-0
5%
10/1
8%
17/2
Valladolid 1-0
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
A.Bilbao 4-1
3%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
3%
33/125/1
Valladolid 2-1
3%
28/128/1
A.Bilbao 5-0
2%
20/1
9%
14/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
40/128/1
A.Bilbao 5-1
1%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11
4%
8/11
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10
5%
1/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
62%
1/6-
Away 1st Goal
34%
5/1
9%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/48/5
1%
BTTS - No
58%
1/24/9
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/513/5
BTTS - Draw
12%
17/2
6%
15/2
BTTS - Away Win
4%
22/1
10%
20/1
Home/draw
90%
1/20
1%
1/33
1%
Away/draw
29%
3/1
7%
16/5
Home/away
82%
1/9
1%
1/9
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/111/4
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1
6%
9/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/5
3%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/1
9%
4/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/6
3%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
8%
Home DNB
84%
1/16
1%
1/25
Away DNB
23%
9/1
11%
9/1
A.Bilbao win to nil
46%
8/11-
Valladolid win to nil
6%
16/1
13%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
47%
8/11
4%
7/10
3%
A.Bilbao / Valladolid
1%
66/1
31%
55/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
4%
20/120/1
Draw / A.Bilbao
22%
13/527/10
5%
Draw / Valladolid
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
10%
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
Valladolid / A.Bilbao
4%
20/1
9%
20/1
Valladolid / Valladolid
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Valladolid / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 8 and lost 1 match. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. A.Bilbao have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 12 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Valladolid are in 20th position in the La Liga on 15 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Valladolid have conceded 48 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Valladolid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid2315532950 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
2
A.Madrid2314722349 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
l
 
0-5A
Apr 13
3
Barcelona2315353948 
May 25
l
 
2-1A
May 4
l
 
7-0A
4
A.Bilbao Home2312831644 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 23
5
Villarreal2311751240 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
6
R.Vallecano23986335 
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
7
R.Sociedad239410031 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
8
Girona249411-331 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
May 14
l
 
3-0A
9
Osasuna237106-431 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
Apr 20
l
 
1-0A
10
Mallorca239410-931 
Mar 9
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
May 11
11
Getafe24798230 
d
 
1-1F
May 14
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
12
Real Betis23788-429 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 23
13
Celta238411-328 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 16
l
 
3-1A
14
Sevilla23779-928 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
15
Leganes245910-1324 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
16
Las Palmas236512-1023 
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
17
Espanyol236512-1323 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 16
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
18
Alaves245712-1022 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
May 18
w
 
2-3A
19
Valencia235711-1322 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
20
Valladolid Away234316-3315 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
-
-
Win / draw / win form
7
Valladolid have lost 7 consecutive away league games
9
A.Bilbao have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
7
Valladolid have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
3
A.Bilbao have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
A.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
A.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
A.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
A.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
A.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
A.Bilbao1 - 1Getafe
A.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
A.Bilbao2 - 2Osasuna
A.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
A.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 0Barcelona
A.Bilbao3 - 2Girona
A.Bilbao4 - 0Mallorca
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
AA.Bilbao2 - 2Real Betis
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Mallorca
HA.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Girona
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
Valladolid 20TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
Villarreal5 - 1Valladolid
Espanyol2 - 1Valladolid
Girona3 - 0Valladolid
Las Palmas2 - 1Valladolid
Getafe2 - 0Valladolid
Osasuna1 - 0Valladolid
Alaves2 - 3Valladolid
Sevilla2 - 1Valladolid
Celta3 - 1Valladolid
Barcelona7 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Tenerife2 - 1Valladolid
Alcorcon1 - 1Valladolid
Mirandes0 - 1Valladolid
Amorebieta0 - 3Valladolid
Cartagena0 - 2Valladolid
Racing Ferrol2 - 0Valladolid
FC Andorra2 - 1Valladolid
S.Gijon1 - 1Valladolid
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AValladolid0 - 1R.Vallecano
AValladolid1 - 5Villarreal
HValladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
AValladolid1 - 2Espanyol
HValladolid1 - 0Real Betis
AValladolid0 - 3Girona
HValladolid1 - 0Valencia
AValladolid1 - 2Las Palmas
HValladolid0 - 5A.Madrid
AValladolid0 - 2Getafe
HValladolid1 - 1A.Bilbao
AValladolid0 - 1Osasuna
HValladolid1 - 2Villarreal
AValladolid3 - 2Alaves
HValladolid1 - 2R.Vallecano
HValladolid1 - 2Mallorca
AValladolid1 - 2Sevilla
HValladolid0 - 0R.Sociedad
AValladolid1 - 3Celta
AValladolid0 - 7Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Bilbao since 2018
A.Bilbao
Valladolid
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
ATH
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Valladolid since 2019
Valladolid
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
ATH
2
D
1
VLD
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valladolid
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3A.Bilbao
Valladolid2 - 1
1 - 4A.Bilbao
Valladolid1 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Athletic Bilbao in their clash with Real Valladolid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 16 consecutive La Liga outings.

A truly awful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Real Valladolid fans, as should a 13 La Liga games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

A.Bilbao 4th Valladolid 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that A.Bilbao will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Valladolid will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Valladolid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278397/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Valladolid
2.1
0.7
Attack rating
49%
better
ATH
VLD
view stats
Games scored20
13
Failed to score3
10
Scored first13
5
Goals scored36
15
Avg. goals scored1.6
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
36%
better
ATH
VLD
view stats
Games conceded16
18
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first8
16
Goals conceded20
48
Avg. goals conceded0.9
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1
1.8
KickOff rating
+36%

A.Bilbao v Valladolid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211176
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Guruzeta FWD2252
2
-
I Williams FWD2247
-
Álex Berenguer FWD2256
3
-
D Vivian DEF203
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID201
4
1
U Gómez MID2012
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF19
3
-
O Sancet MID19111
2
-
N Williams FWD1913
1
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF184
-
B Prados MID181
6
-
I Galarreta MID162
2
-
M Vesga MID16
1
-
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
A Paredes DEF133
3
1
Y Álvarez DEF13
2
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD131
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF11
1
-
A Gorosabel DEF101
1
-
I Lekue DEF8
1
-
U Simón GLK6
-
U Núñez DEF3
1
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID3
-
E. Bujan de Rueda FWD1
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD1
-
Valladolid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23326
K HeinR MoroM SyllaM Martín
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Hein GLK23
-
L Pérez DEF22
1
-
I Sánchez MID2011
4
-
M Martín MID191
4
2
S Juric MID19
5
-
R Moro FWD1931
1
-
J Sánchez DEF171
3
-
E Cömert DEF16
5
-
M Sylla FWD1622
1
-
M André FWD1611
5
-
J Latasa FWD16
4
1
S Amallah  MID1531
4
-
D Torres DEF14
4
-
Anuar  MID142
3
-
A Ndiaye FWD91
1
-
D Machís FWD8
-
I. San José Cantalejo MID7
1
-
C Özkacar DEF4
-
R. Chasco Ruiz DEF2
-
T. Nikitscher MID2
-
Kenedy MID2
-
A Candela DEF1
-
A. Aznou Ben Cheikh DEF1
1
-
J Aidoo DEF1
-
F Grillitsch  MID1
-
M Maroto MID11
-
A. Arnuncio Baquerin FWD1
-