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Athletic Bilbao v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Apr, 20:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano are away from home on Sunday night, as manager Iñigo Pérez Soto takes his team to visit Athletic Bilbao and Ernesto Valverde Tejedor at the San Mamés in the La Liga. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and Iñigo Pérez Soto to park the bus here, but we certainly don't expect to see a deluge of goals as A.Bilbao and R.Vallecano go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.67 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
55%
1.80
8%
-
Draw
27%
3.20
9%
-
R.Vallecano
18%
5.25
13%
-
A.Bilbao 1-0
17%
5.50-
A.Bilbao 2-0
12%
7.50
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
Draw 0-0
11%
7.00
13%
-
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
9.00-
R.Vallecano 1-0
8%
11.00
8%
-
A.Bilbao 3-0
6%
15.00
25%
-
A.Bilbao 3-1
4%
17.00
13%
-
R.Vallecano 2-1
4%
17.00
11%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
19.00-
R.Vallecano 2-0
3%
23.00
21%
-
A.Bilbao 4-0
2%
34.00
31%
-
A.Bilbao 4-1
2%
41.00
21%
-
A.Bilbao 3-2
1%
34.00-
R.Vallecano 3-1
1%
41.00
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
2.50
14%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
1.53
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.53
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
3.20
6%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
7.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
2.10-
BTTS - No
61%
1.67-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4.75
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12.00
8%
-
Home/draw
82%
1.17
4%
-
Away/draw
45%
1.95
9%
-
Home/away
73%
1.36
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1.44
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
2.75
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
4.50
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1.20
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10.00
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1.06
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
21.00
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.01
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1.10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7.00
13%
-
Home DNB
74%
1.29
6%
-
Away DNB
37%
3.50
13%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
38%
2.62
5%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
12%
7.00
22%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
27%
3.00
15%
-
A.Bilbao / R.Vallecano
2%
41.00-
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / A.Bilbao
19%
4.33-
Draw / R.Vallecano
9%
9.00
18%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
4.50
10%
-
R.Vallecano / A.Bilbao
3%
26.00
13%
-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
10%
8.00
16%
-
R.Vallecano / Draw
5%
17.00-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 12 and lost 1 match. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Bilbao have outscored their opponents by 46 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 10th position in the La Liga on 40 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 2. R.Vallecano have conceded 19 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3122455570 
May 25
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3120653366 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
3
A.Madrid3017942560 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 24
4
A.Bilbao Home30141242254 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Apr 13
5
Villarreal3014971351 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
6
Real Betis311399348 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 14
d
 
1-1A
7
Celta3112712-143 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
May 18
8
Mallorca3112712-643 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
l
 
1-0A
9
R.Sociedad3112514-441 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
10
R.Vallecano A30101010-240 
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
-
-
11
Getafe3110912339 
d
 
1-1F
May 14
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
12
Osasuna318149-838 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
13
Valencia3191012-1237 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
14
Sevilla319913-836 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
15
Espanyol309813-735 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1F
16
Girona319715-1034 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Alaves317915-1230 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Las Palmas317816-1529 
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3A
May 11
19
Leganes3161015-1928 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Valladolid304422-5016 
w
 
7-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
12
A.Bilbao have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
3
A.Bilbao have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao0 - 0Osasuna
A.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
A.Bilbao7 - 1Valladolid
A.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
A.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
A.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
A.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
A.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
A.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
A.Bilbao1 - 1Getafe
A.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
A.Bilbao2 - 2Osasuna
A.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
A.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
10
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
AA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao7 - 1Valladolid
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
AA.Bilbao2 - 2Real Betis
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Mallorca
R.Vallecano 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
Osasuna1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 0R.Vallecano
Mallorca1 - 0R.Vallecano
Valladolid1 - 2R.Vallecano
Girona0 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol2 - 1R.Vallecano
Getafe0 - 0R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad1 - 2R.Vallecano
Barcelona3 - 0R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta0 - 0R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
AR.Vallecano2 - 0Alaves
HR.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Leganes
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Osasuna
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Villarreal
HR.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Valencia
HR.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Bilbao have beaten R.Vallecano in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
A.Bilbao have not lost to R.Vallecano in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
ATH
5
VAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao4 - 0
A.Bilbao3 - 2
1 - 2R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao3 - 2
A.Bilbao1 - 0
A.Bilbao1 - 0
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
3 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
4 / 7
ATH
4
D
2
VAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
1 - 2A.Bilbao
0 - 1A.Bilbao
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1A.Bilbao
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano2 - 1
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.7, Rayo Vallecano look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Athletic Bilbao haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive La Liga matches, and it could be a long night for I. Pérez Soto's men.

A.Bilbao 4th R.Vallecano 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-32
R.Vallecano have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278452/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
14%
better
ATH
VAL
view stats
Games scored24
23
Failed to score6
7
Scored first15
16
Goals scored46
33
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for15
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
16%
better
ATH
VAL
view stats
Games conceded20
23
Clean sheets10
7
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded24
35
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%

A.Bilbao v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271386
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK13
-
A Gorosabel DEF162
4
-
D Vivian DEF243
2
-
A Paredes DEF183
3
1
A. Boiro Boiro DEF13
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID2721
4
1
B Prados MID241
6
-
Álvaro Djaló MID131
-
U Gómez MID2512
1
-
Álex Berenguer MID2957
4
-
G Guruzeta FWD2962
2
-
Subs
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
Y Álvarez DEF181
4
-
U Núñez DEF8
3
-
I Lekue DEF11
1
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF224
-
M Vesga MID20
1
-
O Sancet MID22131
2
-
I Galarreta MID192
4
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID6
-
I Williams FWD2958
-
N Williams FWD2645
1
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD81
-
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29458
F LejeuneJ FrutosÁlvaro GarcíaP Ciss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK25
4
-
A Rațiu DEF2823
4
-
F Lejeune DEF292
5
-
A Hernández DEF9
1
-
A Espino DEF10
4
-
P Ciss MID2631
8
-
G Gumbau MID151
4
-
J Frutos MID2843
2
1
P Díaz MID183
1
-
P Chavarría MID261
2
-
Álvaro García FWD2835
4
-
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK5
-
P. Fernández Balboa DEF1
1
-
I Balliu DEF20
2
-
I Palazón MID2733
4
-
Óscar Trejo MID161
1
-
R Nteka MID223
6
-
U López MID2431
7
1
Óscar Valentín MID27
3
-
A Embarba FWD2811
4
-
R Tomás FWD1
-
S Guardiola FWD12
1
-