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Athletic Bilbao v Leganes : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Jan, 17:30 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

Sunday evening at the San Mamés, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Athletic Bilbao and Leganes. Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and Borja Jiménez Sáez going all-out to claim victory. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. A.Bilbao and Leganes have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
59%
1.33
2%
1.35
Draw
24%
5.25
5%
4.80
Leganes
17%
8.00
7%
10.00
11%
A.Bilbao 1-0
15%
5.004.80
A.Bilbao 2-0
12%
5.005.00
Draw 1-1
11%
11.00
10%
9.00
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
10.008.50
Draw 0-0
9%
9.50
6%
8.00
6%
Leganes 1-0
7%
13.0015.00
15%
A.Bilbao 3-0
7%
7.50
6%
7.00
7%
A.Bilbao 3-1
5%
15.0012.00
Leganes 2-1
4%
23.0023.00
Draw 2-2
4%
34.0023.00
A.Bilbao 4-0
3%
15.0012.00
8%
Leganes 2-0
3%
41.0034.00
17%
A.Bilbao 4-1
2%
26.0019.00
10%
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
Leganes 3-1
1%
81.0061.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.10
5%
2.05
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.73
4%
1.70
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.22
2%
1.30
Away 1st Goal
37%
5.004.50
No 1st Goal
6%
9.50
6%
8.00
BTTS - Yes
43%
2.62
5%
2.62
BTTS - No
57%
1.44
3%
1.44
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.33
4%
4.00
BTTS - Draw
15%
8.507.00
BTTS - Away Win
7%
19.0019.00
12%
Home/draw
83%
1.08
2%
1.05
1%
Away/draw
41%
3.25
8%
3.20
3%
Home/away
76%
1.171.18
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.36
3%
1.36
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.20
7%
3.00
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.003.60
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.251.25
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8.007.00
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.081.08
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.00
11%
15.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.021.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10.00
11%
8.50
Home DNB
76%
1.121.07
1%
Away DNB
34%
6.007.00
8%
A.Bilbao win to nil
38%
1.80-
Leganes win to nil
10%
11.00-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
41%
2.00
2%
1.95
3%
A.Bilbao / Leganes
2%
51.0051.00
11%
A.Bilbao / Draw
4%
19.0019.00
Draw / A.Bilbao
22%
3.603.60
3%
Draw / Leganes
5%
17.0015.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.75
4%
Leganes / A.Bilbao
3%
26.0021.00
Leganes / Leganes
5%
19.00
12%
13.00
Leganes / Draw
4%
23.0019.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. A.Bilbao have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Leganes are in 16th position in the La Liga on 19 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Leganes have conceded 27 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Leganes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
A.Madrid1913512244 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 2
Jan 18
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid1913422443 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
l
 
0-3A
Mar 30
3
Barcelona1912252938 
May 25
l
 
2-1A
Apr 13
w
 
0-1F
4
A.Bilbao Home1910631236 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Jan 26
5
Villarreal19865330 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
l
 
2-5F
May 14
6
Mallorca19937-230 
Mar 9
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
7
R.Sociedad19847428 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
8
Girona19847228 
Feb 9
l
 
2-1A
Apr 23
l
 
4-3A
9
R.Vallecano19676025 
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
10
Real Betis19676-225 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 2
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
11
Osasuna19676-525 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
12
Celta19739-224 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 19
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
13
Sevilla19658-723 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
w
 
1-0F
May 4
14
Las Palmas19649-522 
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1F
May 18
15
Getafe19478-319 
d
 
1-1F
May 14
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
16
Leganes Away19478-1119 
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Alaves194510-1017 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
d
 
1-1F
18
Espanyol194411-1416 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 16
May 11
d
 
1-1A
19
Valladolid194312-2415 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
20
Valencia192710-1113 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 9
Win / draw / win form
3
A.Bilbao have won 3 consecutive home league games
7
A.Bilbao have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
A.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
A.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
A.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
A.Bilbao1 - 1Getafe
A.Bilbao2 - 0Sevilla
A.Bilbao2 - 2Osasuna
A.Bilbao1 - 1Granada
A.Bilbao1 - 1Villarreal
A.Bilbao2 - 0Alaves
A.Bilbao0 - 0Barcelona
A.Bilbao3 - 2Girona
A.Bilbao4 - 0Mallorca
A.Bilbao2 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Mallorca
HA.Bilbao4 - 1Espanyol
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Girona
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Sevilla
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Las Palmas
HA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Barcelona
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Getafe
AA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Espanyol1 - 1Leganes
Barcelona0 - 1Leganes
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Girona4 - 3Leganes
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
R.Vallecano1 - 1Leganes
Getafe1 - 1Leganes
Real Betis2 - 0Leganes
Valladolid0 - 0Leganes
Osasuna1 - 1Leganes
Racing Ferrol2 - 2Leganes
Albacete1 - 0Leganes
Eldense1 - 2Leganes
Tenerife0 - 0Leganes
Huesca0 - 0Leganes
Villarreal II1 - 2Leganes
Amorebieta0 - 1Leganes
R.Santander2 - 1Leganes
Levante0 - 0Leganes
Real Oviedo1 - 0Leganes
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeganes1 - 1Espanyol
HLeganes2 - 5Villarreal
ALeganes1 - 0Barcelona
HLeganes0 - 3R.Sociedad
ALeganes1 - 1Alaves
HLeganes0 - 3Real Madrid
HLeganes1 - 0Sevilla
ALeganes3 - 4Girona
HLeganes3 - 0Celta
ALeganes1 - 3A.Madrid
HLeganes0 - 0Valencia
ALeganes1 - 1R.Vallecano
ALeganes1 - 1Getafe
HLeganes0 - 2A.Bilbao
ALeganes0 - 2Real Betis
HLeganes0 - 1Mallorca
ALeganes0 - 0Valladolid
HLeganes2 - 1Las Palmas
ALeganes1 - 1Osasuna
HLeganes2 - 0Elche
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Bilbao since 2017
A.Bilbao
Leganes
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
ATH
2
D
1
LGN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
0 - 2Leganes
A.Bilbao2 - 1
A.Bilbao2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Leganes since 2017
Leganes
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
ATH
2
D
2
LGN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leganes
0 - 2A.Bilbao
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A.Bilbao
Leganes1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive La Liga outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Leganes on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Bilbao 4th Leganes 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Leganes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Leganes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278363/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Leganes
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
31%
better
ATH
LGN
view stats
Games scored17
12
Failed to score2
7
Scored first11
9
Goals scored29
18
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
16%
better
ATH
LGN
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded17
29
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.8
KickOff rating
+16%

A.Bilbao v Leganes La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17766
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Guruzeta FWD1852
2
-
I Williams FWD1846
-
Álex Berenguer FWD1844
2
-
U Gómez MID1711
1
-
N Williams FWD1713
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF16
3
-
D Vivian DEF162
1
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID161
3
1
O Sancet MID1671
2
-
B Prados DEF151
6
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF154
-
I Galarreta MID152
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
A Paredes DEF122
3
1
M Vesga MID12
1
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD121
-
Y Álvarez DEF10
2
-
A Herrera MID8
2
-
I Lekue DEF7
1
-
A Gorosabel DEF71
1
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF7
1
-
?. Padilla Pérez GLK5
-
U Núñez DEF3
1
-
J Martón FWD3
1
-
N Serrano  FWD3
-
U Simón GLK2
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID1
-
Leganes La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18437
S GonzálezJ CruzM FuenteY Neyou
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S González DEF192
2
-
M Fuente FWD1813
3
-
J Cruz FWD1841
1
-
R Tapia MID171
3
-
S Cissé MID172
3
-
V Rosier DEF161
5
-
J Hernández DEF161
2
-
D Brasanac MID1512
1
-
Y Neyou MID1511
7
-
M Nastasić DEF14
2
-
M Dmitrović GLK13
-
Óscar Rodríguez MID1313
3
1
E Franquesa DEF121
1
-
D García FWD121
-
M Haddadi FWD111
1
-
D Raba FWD1113
1
-
A Altimira DEF10
2
-
J Sáenz DEF101
2
1
R López MID101
-
S Haller  FWD8
-
J Chicco MID7
-
J Soriano GLK6
1
1