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Motherwell v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Jan, 14:30 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

Aberdeen are away from home on Sunday afternoon, as manager Jimmy Thelin takes his side to visit Motherwell and Stuart Kettlewell at the Fir Park in the Premiership. For each and every Premiership match preview, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Motherwell and Aberdeen's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motherwell 39%	2.50 5%	2.50 5%
Draw 25%	3.30 6%	3.40 6%
Aberdeen 36%	2.75 10%	2.75 10%
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50 7%	6.50
Motherwell 2-1 9%	10.00	8.50 6%
Aberdeen 2-1 8%	10.00	9.00 6%
Motherwell 1-0 8%	9.50 21%	8.50 15%
Aberdeen 1-0 8%	10.00 17%	9.00 10%
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00 18%	11.00 10%
Motherwell 2-0 6%	13.00 13%	11.00 15%
Aberdeen 2-0 5%	15.00	12.00
Draw 0-0 5%	11.00 27%	10.00 9%
Motherwell 3-1 4%	19.00	15.00
Aberdeen 3-1 4%	21.00 11%	17.00 13%
Motherwell 3-2 3%	26.00 13%	19.00 12%
Motherwell 3-0 3%	23.00 12%	19.00 10%
Aberdeen 3-2 3%	29.00 26%	19.00 12%
Aberdeen 3-0 3%	29.00 12%	21.00 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	1.80 11%	1.75 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	2.00 13%	2.00 9%
Home 1st Goal 49%	1.80 10%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	2.10 17%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11.00 27%	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	1.67 9%	1.62 8%
BTTS - No 41%	2.10 12%	2.15 10%
BTTS - Home Win 21%	4.75 10%	4.33 3%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33 8%	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 19%	5.00 15%	4.60 15%
Home/draw 64%	1.40 7%	1.44 4%
Away/draw 61%	1.50 4%	1.53 3%
Home/away 75%	1.33 3%	1.30 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.25 4%	1.25 6%
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4.00 11%	3.70 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	3.20 28%	2.80 14%
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	1.36 11%	1.40 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	5.50 22%	5.00 19%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1.14 5%	1.14 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	11.00 22%	9.50 27%
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.05 2%	1.04 3%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.05 2%	1.04 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11.00 27%	10.00 9%
Home DNB 57%	1.80 2%	1.75 8%
Away DNB 53%	1.91 4%	1.95 8%
Motherwell win to nil 19%	4.50 18%	-
Aberdeen win to nil 17%	5.00 9%	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 21%	4.00 8%	3.90 7%
Motherwell / Aberdeen 3%	26.00 13%	23.00 10%
Motherwell / Draw 6%	13.00	13.00 8%
Draw / Motherwell 14%	6.00 8%	5.75 4%
Draw / Aberdeen 13%	6.50	6.50 8%
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50 8%	5.00 9%
Aberdeen / Motherwell 3%	26.00 13%	23.00 10%
Aberdeen / Aberdeen 18%	4.50 13%	4.33 11%
Aberdeen / Draw 6%	13.00	13.00 8%

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Motherwell have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 4. Motherwell have conceded 18 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Motherwell have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Aberdeen lay in 4th place on 34 points in the Premiership league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Aberdeen have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Aberdeen have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Motherwell Aberdeen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celtic	19	45	50	l 0-3A	l 4-0A	Feb 2	-	l 0-1A	d 2-2A	-	Feb 26
2	Rangers	19	21	39	d 2-2F	l 2-1A	-	Mar 1	w 2-1F	Jan 15	Apr 12	-
3	Dundee Utd	20	9	34	w 4-3F	w 1-2F	-	Feb 22	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	Mar 1	-
4	Aberdeen A	20	4	34	Jan 5	l 2-1A	-	Mar 29	-	-	-	-
5	St. Mirren	21	-7	27	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	Mar 15	-	w 3-1F	l 2-1A	Jan 25	-
6	Motherwell H	20	-9	27	-	-	-	-	w 2-1F	Jan 5	Mar 29	-
7	Hibernian	21	-4	25	l 0-3A	w 1-2F	-	Jan 11	l 1-3F	d 3-3A	-	Feb 1
8	Kilmarnock	21	-11	24	d 1-1F	Jan 8	-	Apr 5	w 2-0F	l 4-0A	Feb 22	-
9	Dundee	20	-6	22	l 0-1A	l 4-1A	Feb 26	-	w 4-1F	w 1-2F	-	Feb 15
10	Ross County	21	-17	22	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	Feb 15	-	l 1-2A	w 0-1F	-	Apr 5
11	Hearts	21	-7	20	w 3-1F	l 1-0A	Apr 12	-	w 3-2F	d 1-1F	Jan 12	-
12	St. Johnstone	21	-18	15	w 2-1F	w 1-2F	-	Jan 25	d 1-1A	w 1-2F	-	Mar 15

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Aberdeen have lost 4 consecutive league games

Aberdeen have not won in 9 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motherwell	2 - 2	Rangers
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	4 - 3	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	0 - 1	Dundee
Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Mirren
Motherwell	3 - 1	Hearts
Motherwell	0 - 0	Ross County
Motherwell	1 - 2	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	4 - 1	Livingston
Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
Motherwell	1 - 1	St. Mirren
Motherwell	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	5 - 0	Ross County
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 1	Livingston
Motherwell	0 - 2	Rangers

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Hearts
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	Rangers
A	Motherwell	0 - 4	Celtic
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
H	Motherwell	4 - 3	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	1 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Motherwell	1 - 4	Dundee
H	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Ross County
H	Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Motherwell	0 - 3	Celtic
H	Motherwell	0 - 1	Dundee
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
H	Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Mirren
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Aberdeen
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
H	Motherwell	3 - 1	Hearts
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Rangers
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Ross County

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	4 - 0	Aberdeen
Hearts	1 - 1	Aberdeen
Hibernian	3 - 3	Aberdeen
St. Mirren	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Celtic	2 - 2	Aberdeen
Dundee	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Ross County	0 - 1	Aberdeen
St. Johnstone	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Ross County	2 - 2	Aberdeen
Hibernian	0 - 4	Aberdeen
Livingston	0 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Dundee	1 - 0	Aberdeen
St. Mirren	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Rangers	2 - 1	Aberdeen
Hearts	2 - 0	Aberdeen
St. Johnstone	1 - 1	Aberdeen
Ross County	0 - 3	Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Aberdeen	1 - 2	Ross County
A	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Dundee Utd
A	Aberdeen	0 - 4	Kilmarnock
H	Aberdeen	1 - 3	Hibernian
H	Aberdeen	1 - 1	St. Johnstone
H	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Celtic
A	Aberdeen	1 - 1	Hearts
A	Aberdeen	3 - 3	Hibernian
A	Aberdeen	1 - 2	St. Mirren
H	Aberdeen	4 - 1	Dundee
H	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Rangers
H	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Aberdeen	2 - 2	Celtic
H	Aberdeen	3 - 2	Hearts
A	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Dundee
H	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Ross County
H	Aberdeen	2 - 0	Kilmarnock
H	Aberdeen	3 - 1	St. Mirren
A	Aberdeen	2 - 1	St. Johnstone

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Aberdeen have beaten Motherwell in 3 consecutive league meetings

Aberdeen have not lost to Motherwell in 7 consecutive league meetings

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 16

13 / 16

Clean sheets

3 / 16

6 / 16

MTW

ABD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
	2 - 4	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Aberdeen
Motherwell	3 - 0
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
	1 - 3	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 20

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

6 / 20

MTW

ABD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Aberdeen	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Motherwell
	0 - 2	Motherwell
Aberdeen	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
Aberdeen	3 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Motherwell
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	7 - 2
Aberdeen	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell

Goal Statistics

Motherwell's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Aberdeen have conceded in each of their last 10 Premiership matches. A PG of 1.5 for S. Kettlewell's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Aberdeen of late. It has been 6 Premiership games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Motherwell.

	Motherwell 6th	Aberdeen 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Aberdeen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Motherwell’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-5 Aberdeen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season

MTW

ABD

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		17
Failed to score	6		3
Scored first	9		12
Goals scored	25		32
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	15		19
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+22%

MTW

ABD

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		17
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	10		8
Goals conceded	34		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.7
KickOff rating		+16%

Motherwell v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	5	6	4
A Oxborough	A Stamatelopoulos	L Miller	D Casey

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Oxborough GLK	20			-
A Halliday MID	20	2	1	2 -
D Casey DEF	19	1	2	2 2
L Miller MID	19	2	6	3 -
L Gordon DEF	17	1		1 1
M Ebiye FWD	17	2		-
M. Kaleta DEF	16		2	1 -
T Maswanhise FWD	16	4	3	1 -
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	16	5	1	3 -
T Watt FWD	15	1		3 -
T Sparrow MID	14	3		3 -
D Zdravkovski MID	14			2 -
S O'Donnell DEF	13	1		3 -
Z Robinson FWD	12	1		1 -
S Seddon DEF	10			2 -
K Balmer DEF	10		1	2 -
H Paton MID	10		1	2 -
S Blaney DEF	8			2 -
P McGinn DEF	7	1		1 -
J Tavares FWD	7			-
S Nicholson MID	4			1 -
J Vale FWD	3			1 -
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1			-
R Callachan MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	6	23
A Stamatelopoulos	A Stamatelopoulos	L Miller	L Miller

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	5	12	1	10
T Maswanhise FWD	4	7	3	6
T Sparrow MID	3	4		2
L Miller MID	2	5	6	23
M Ebiye FWD	2	6		4
A Halliday MID	2	5	1	9
S O'Donnell DEF	1	2		3
P McGinn DEF	1	1		1
D Casey DEF	1	5	2	7
L Gordon DEF	1	6		1
T Watt FWD	1	6		6
Z Robinson FWD	1	3		1
J Vale FWD				3
S Nicholson MID				1
J Tavares FWD				3
H Paton MID		1	1	2
K Balmer DEF			1	5
S Seddon DEF		3		4
D Zdravkovski MID				1
M. Kaleta DEF		1	2	6

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
685	36	106
L Miller	D Casey	L Gordon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Miller MID	685	32	103
D Casey DEF	611	36	88
L Gordon DEF	561	21	106
A Oxborough GLK	549		14
A Halliday MID	374	21	66
S O'Donnell DEF	349	15	50
K Balmer DEF	304	22	52
D Zdravkovski MID	292	14	47
S Seddon DEF	224	13	34
P McGinn DEF	204	9	27
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	195	12	66
M. Kaleta DEF	194	23	62
T Watt FWD	194	15	75
S Blaney DEF	173	9	36
H Paton MID	150	12	26
T Maswanhise FWD	126	11	60
T Sparrow MID	122	11	24
M Ebiye FWD	87	5	25
Z Robinson FWD	74	6	35
J Tavares FWD	36		6
J Vale FWD	34	1	3
S Nicholson MID	21	1	6
R Callachan MID	5
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	6	7
N Devlin	P Gueye	J McGrath	S Rubezic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Devlin DEF	20	4		3 -
S Morris FWD	20	1	5	-
G Molloy DEF	19			3 -
J McGrath FWD	19	4	6	3 -
S Rubezic DEF	18			7 -
S Nilsen MID	18		1	7 -
G Shinnie MID	18	1	3	4 -
T Keskinen FWD	18	4	2	3 -
J MacKenzie DEF	17		1	3 -
E Sokler FWD	17	2	1	2 -
D Mitov GLK	16			2 -
L Clarkson MID	16	2	1	1 -
A Palaversa MID	14	2		6 -
K Nisbet FWD	14	4	2	3 -
Duk FWD	14		2	4 -
P Ambrose FWD	12	1		1 -
V Besuijen FWD	11	2		2 -
J Milne DEF	6			1 -
R Doohan GLK	5			-
P Gueye FWD	5	5		1 -
J McGarry DEF	4			1 -
A MacDonald DEF	4			-
D Polvara MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	6	20
P Gueye	Duk	J McGrath	J McGrath

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Gueye FWD	5	5		2
N Devlin DEF	4	7		4
J McGrath FWD	4	7	6	20
K Nisbet FWD	4	7	2	5
T Keskinen FWD	4	7	2	12
E Sokler FWD	2	7	1	5
V Besuijen FWD	2	2		2
A Palaversa MID	2	4		7
L Clarkson MID	2	6	1	11
S Morris FWD	1	3	5	13
G Shinnie MID	1	2	3	10
P Ambrose FWD	1	1		1
J MacKenzie DEF		2	1	10
D Mitov GLK				1
S Nilsen MID		4	1	13
Duk FWD		10	2	8
S Rubezic DEF		1		1
J McGarry DEF				1
A MacDonald DEF		1
D Polvara MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1106	56	127
G Molloy	G Shinnie	G Shinnie

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Molloy DEF	1106	22	100
S Nilsen MID	1005	32	86
S Rubezic DEF	855	29	117
G Shinnie MID	843	56	127
J MacKenzie DEF	655	33	80
N Devlin DEF	627	27	88
J McGrath FWD	557	41	117
D Mitov GLK	513		15
A Palaversa MID	456	15	37
L Clarkson MID	405	15	27
T Keskinen FWD	213	13	43
A MacDonald DEF	178	3	20
S Morris FWD	160	17	55
E Sokler FWD	155	2	27
Duk FWD	145	13	60
K Nisbet FWD	134	2	33
R Doohan GLK	127		2
J McGarry DEF	116	8	9
P Gueye FWD	93	7	34
V Besuijen FWD	64	1	7
J Milne DEF	56	10	15
P Ambrose FWD	47	5	20
D Polvara MID	31		3

Scottish Premiership match betting previews, predictions and odds

Hibernian v Rangers

Sun 5th Jan, 12:00

Motherwell v Aberdeen

Sun 5th Jan, 14:30

Celtic v St. Mirren

Sun 5th Jan, 15:00

St. Johnstone v Dundee

Sun 5th Jan, 15:00

Dundee Utd v Hearts

Sun 5th Jan, 15:00

Kilmarnock v Ross County

Sun 5th Jan, 15:00

Celtic v Dundee Utd

Wed 8th Jan, 19:45

Kilmarnock v Motherwell

Hibernian v Motherwell

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00

St. Mirren v Dundee Utd

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00

Rangers v St. Johnstone

Motherwell v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Motherwell have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Aberdeen lay in 4th place on 34 points in the Premiership league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Motherwell v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

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