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Kilmarnock v St. Mirren : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock and St. Mirren go head to head at the Rugby Park on Thursday afternoon, with both Derek McInnes and Stephen Robinson hoping for success in the Premiership. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

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Kilmarnock's next match is v Ross County at 15:00 on Sunday 5th January
St. Mirren's next match is v Celtic at 15:00 on Sunday 5th January
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Kilmarnock and St. Mirren was on Thursday 2nd January 2025
Scottish Premiership
January 2nd 2025
Kilmarnock 2
0 St. Mirren
 
B. Anderson 8'
B. Anderson 65'
 
KIL
MIR
Shots On
5
1
Shots Off
3
1
Corners
4
2
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
9
21
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
KilmarnockSt. Mirren
 
R. McCrorie
R. Deas
L. Mayo
J. Wright
C. Ndaba
B. Lyons
F. Murray
L. Polworth (L. Donnelly 73')
K. Vassell (K. Magennis 44')
B. Andersonfootball iconfootball icon (D. Watson 84')
B. Wales (I. Cameron 74')
E. Balcombe
S. Tanser
A. Iacovitti
R. Taylor
M. Fraser
(M. Mandron 54') R. Idowu
(E. Bwomono 66') A. Gogić
(M. O'Hara 46') O. Smyth
K. Phillips
(G. Kiltie 74') T. Olusanya
(O. Oseni 66') J. Ayunga

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Kilmarnock and St. Mirren will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kilmarnock are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Kilmarnock
46%
2.20
7%
2.25
13%
Draw
24%
3.20
6%
3.25
10%
St. Mirren
29%
3.40
6%
3.30
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
Kilmarnock 2-1
9%
9.008.50
6%
Kilmarnock 1-0
9%
7.50
25%
7.00
18%
Kilmarnock 2-0
7%
10.00
9%
9.50
5%
St. Mirren 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
St. Mirren 1-0
7%
9.50
37%
8.50
23%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
36%
12.00
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
9.00
31%
7.50
32%
Kilmarnock 3-1
5%
19.00
27%
15.00
25%
St. Mirren 2-0
4%
17.00
19%
13.00
13%
Kilmarnock 3-0
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Kilmarnock 3-2
3%
29.00
38%
21.00
24%
St. Mirren 3-1
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
St. Mirren 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
24%
Kilmarnock 4-1
2%
41.00
41%
29.00
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
2.10
26%
2.00
21%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1.73
21%
1.73
20%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.73
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.40
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9.00
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.80
15%
1.80
15%
BTTS - No
42%
1.95
13%
1.91
15%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4.75
32%
4.40
29%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
8%
4.33
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7.00
17%
6.00
9%
Home/draw
71%
1.30
1%
1.33
2%
Away/draw
54%
1.67
3%
1.62
7%
Home/away
76%
1.36
5%
1.33
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.33
11%
1.33
11%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.40
24%
3.10
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.75
43%
3.40
36%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.29
14%
1.29
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
7.00
56%
6.50
48%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.10
8%
1.09
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
15.00
67%
13.00
63%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.03
4%
1.02
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.07
3%
1.06
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9.00
31%
8.00
27%
Home DNB
63%
1.53
6%
1.55
5%
Away DNB
46%
2.38
9%
2.30
8%
Kilmarnock win to nil
23%
3.75
6%
-
St. Mirren win to nil
14%
5.50
21%
-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
22%
3.60
11%
3.50
13%
Kilmarnock / St. Mirren
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
13%
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Kilmarnock
15%
5.505.25
5%
Draw / St. Mirren
12%
7.00
13%
7.00
7%
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
17%
4.40
16%
St. Mirren / Kilmarnock
3%
26.00
24%
21.00
24%
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
15%
5.505.25
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Kilmarnock have conceded 29 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

St. Mirren lay in 5th place on 27 points in the Premiership league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St. Mirren have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

St. Mirren have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Celtic194550 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
Apr 12
l
 
0-3A
Jan 5
Mar 1
-
2
Rangers192139 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
6-0A
Feb 26
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
Feb 22
3
Dundee Utd20934 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
Jan 11
-
4
Aberdeen20434 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 22
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
-
Jan 25
5
St. Mirren A21-727 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
-
Mar 29
-
-
-
-
6
Motherwell20-927 
Jan 8
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
-
Mar 15
7
Hibernian21-425 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
Feb 16
-
8
Kilmarnock H21-1124 
-
-
-
-
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 29
-
9
Dundee20-622 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3A
-
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
-
Apr 5
10
Ross County21-1722 
Jan 5
l
 
2-1F
-
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
Apr 12
-
11
Hearts21-720 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
Jan 25
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
-
Feb 26
12
St. Johnstone21-1815 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
-
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-3F
Feb 1
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Kilmarnock 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock4 - 0Aberdeen
Kilmarnock1 - 0Hearts
Kilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
Kilmarnock0 - 2Celtic
Kilmarnock1 - 0Rangers
Kilmarnock3 - 3Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
Kilmarnock0 - 3St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock0 - 5Celtic
Kilmarnock0 - 0Hearts
Kilmarnock1 - 0Ross County
Kilmarnock5 - 2St. Mirren
Kilmarnock1 - 2Rangers
Kilmarnock2 - 0Aberdeen
Kilmarnock1 - 0Livingston
Kilmarnock2 - 2Hibernian
Kilmarnock2 - 2Dundee
Kilmarnock2 - 1St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock2 - 1Celtic
Kilmarnock0 - 1Hearts
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AKilmarnock0 - 1Hibernian
HKilmarnock4 - 0Aberdeen
AKilmarnock1 - 1Motherwell
HKilmarnock1 - 0Hearts
AKilmarnock1 - 1Dundee Utd
AKilmarnock0 - 6Rangers
HKilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
AKilmarnock0 - 1St. Johnstone
HKilmarnock0 - 2Celtic
AKilmarnock2 - 3Dundee
AKilmarnock2 - 1Hearts
AKilmarnock1 - 2Ross County
HKilmarnock1 - 0Rangers
AKilmarnock3 - 2Dundee
HKilmarnock3 - 3Dundee Utd
AKilmarnock2 - 2St. Mirren
HKilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
AKilmarnock0 - 2Aberdeen
HKilmarnock0 - 3St. Johnstone
AKilmarnock0 - 4Celtic
St. Mirren 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ross County1 - 2St. Mirren
St. Johnstone2 - 3St. Mirren
Dundee Utd2 - 0St. Mirren
Hibernian1 - 2St. Mirren
Rangers2 - 1St. Mirren
Hearts4 - 0St. Mirren
Motherwell2 - 1St. Mirren
Dundee2 - 2St. Mirren
Aberdeen3 - 1St. Mirren
Celtic3 - 2St. Mirren
Dundee1 - 3St. Mirren
Celtic3 - 0St. Mirren
Motherwell1 - 1St. Mirren
Kilmarnock5 - 2St. Mirren
Ross County1 - 1St. Mirren
Livingston1 - 0St. Mirren
Hibernian0 - 3St. Mirren
Aberdeen0 - 3St. Mirren
Hearts2 - 0St. Mirren
St. Johnstone1 - 0St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Dundee
HSt. Mirren2 - 1Rangers
ASt. Mirren2 - 1Ross County
ASt. Mirren3 - 2St. Johnstone
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Motherwell
ASt. Mirren0 - 2Dundee Utd
HSt. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren2 - 1Hibernian
HSt. Mirren0 - 0Ross County
HSt. Mirren3 - 1St. Johnstone
ASt. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
ASt. Mirren0 - 4Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Dundee Utd
ASt. Mirren1 - 2Motherwell
HSt. Mirren2 - 1Hearts
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Kilmarnock
ASt. Mirren2 - 2Dundee
HSt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
ASt. Mirren1 - 3Aberdeen
HSt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Kilmarnock have not lost to St. Mirren in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Kilmarnock since 2018
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
KIL
3
D
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock5 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Kilmarnock1 - 0
Kilmarnock2 - 1
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
4 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
6 / 10
KIL
6
D
2
MIR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 1Kilmarnock
0 - 2Kilmarnock
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren2 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
St. Mirren1 - 0
0 - 1Kilmarnock
1 - 2Kilmarnock
Goal Statistics

Kilmarnock's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday afternoon, not least because St. Mirren have conceded in each of their last 8 Premiership outings. A PG of 1.6 for Derek McInnes's side suggests that run should continue.

Kilmarnock's defensive record is very strong, Derek McInnes's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Premiership matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for St. Mirren makes sense in this context.

Kilmarnock 9th St. Mirren 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Kilmarnock will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+23
St. Mirren have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281992/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Kilmarnock
PG (predicted goals)
St. Mirren
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
KIL
MIR
16%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score7
6
Scored first5
10
Goals scored23
27
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
KIL
MIR
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
18
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first15
9
Goals conceded36
32
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Kilmarnock v St. Mirren Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19827
L MayoB AndersonF MurrayJ Wright
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R McCrorie GLK16
-
J Wright DEF161
5
2
L Mayo DEF20
1
-
R Deas DEF17
3
1
F Murray MID162
3
-
B Lyons MID191
3
1
L Polworth MID131
3
-
C Ndaba MID191
2
-
B Anderson MID168
-
B Wales MID1111
-
K Vassell FWD1921
1
-
Subs
K O'Hara GLK7
-
O. Bainbridge DEF6
1
-
J Burroughs MID10
-
R McKenzie MID13
-
D Watson MID1931
2
-
G Mackay-Steven  MID81
-
K Magennis MID5
1
-
L Donnelly MID11
4
2
I Cameron FWD1311
-
St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21636
E BalcombeT OlusanyaM Fraser A Gogic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Balcombe GLK211
2
-
R Taylor DEF171
4
-
A Gogic DEF201
5
1
A Iacovitti DEF91
1
-
M Fraser  MID213
1
1
K Phillips MID1821
2
-
O Smyth MID114
-
S Tanser MID1611
3
2
R Idowu MID182
2
-
J Ayunga MID141
-
T Olusanya FWD206
6
-
Subs
P Urminsky GLK
-
D John DEF4
-
E Bwomono DEF182
4
-
M O'Hara MID1622
2
-
G Kiltie MID15
5
-
C Boyd-Munce MID1311
1
-
E. Mooney MID411
-
M Mandron FWD2012
2
-