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Heart of Midlothian v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

the Tynecastle Park is the setting on Thursday afternoon, as Steven Naismith's Heart of Midlothian are visited by Stuart Kettlewell's Motherwell in the Premiership. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Heart of Midlothian's next match is v Dundee Utd at 15:00 on Sunday 5th January
Motherwell's next match is v Aberdeen at 14:30 on Sunday 5th January
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Hearts and Motherwell was on Thursday 2nd January 2025
Scottish Premiership
January 2nd 2025
Hearts 1
0 Motherwell
 
M. Drammeh 7'
 
HEA
MTW
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
6
2
Corners
12
4
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
8
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
HeartsMotherwell
 
C. Gordon
C. Halkett
A. Forrester
J. Penrice
K. Rowles
B. Spittal
C. Devlin
J. Grant (Y. Dhanda 89')
J. Wilson (K. Vargas 77')
L. Boyce (B. Baningime 77')
M. Drammehfootball icon (A. Forrest 89')
A. Oxborough
E. Wilson
(S. Nicholson 46') S. Blaney
S. O'Donnell
D. Casey
L. Gordon
(D. Zdravkovski 46') H. Paton
(M. Kaleta 75') A. Halliday
(M. Ebiye 46') T. Sparrow
T. Watt
(J. Vale 75') T. Maswanhise

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner here, but good reason to think Hearts and Motherwell will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Steven Naismith or Stuart Kettlewell has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
50%
4/6
7%
7/10
6%
Draw
24%
11/4
4%
14/5
Motherwell
26%
4/1
11%
4/1
19%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Hearts 1-0
10%
6/1
7%
5/1
14%
Hearts 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Hearts 2-0
8%
7/1
11%
13/2
6%
Motherwell 1-0
7%
12/110/1
Motherwell 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/18/1
10%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Hearts 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Hearts 3-0
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Motherwell 2-0
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Hearts 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Motherwell 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Hearts 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
20/1
Motherwell 3-2
2%
40/133/1
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
6%
10/11
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
5%
5/6
6%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2/1
9%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
10/11
9%
10/11
9%
BTTS - No
45%
10/11
5%
5/6
6%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/4
4%
13/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
11%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
17/2
19%
15/2
21%
Home/draw
74%
1/6
1%
1/6
4%
Away/draw
50%
23/20
10%
23/20
8%
Home/away
76%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
23/10
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/5
6%
11/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
3/10
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
9%
5/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
2%
1/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
11/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/40
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/18/1
10%
Home DNB
67%
1/4
6%
1/4
6%
Away DNB
43%
11/4
15%
5/2
17%
Hearts win to nil
26%
7/4
15%
-
Motherwell win to nil
13%
8/1
13%
-
Hearts / Hearts
30%
13/8
9%
8/5
5%
Hearts / Motherwell
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Hearts / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / Hearts
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
4%
Draw / Motherwell
9%
9/1
11%
17/2
12%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Motherwell / Hearts
4%
20/118/1
12%
Motherwell / Motherwell
11%
15/2
21%
13/2
15%
Motherwell / Draw
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Hearts have conceded 29 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hearts have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Motherwell lay in 6th place on 27 points in the Premiership league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Motherwell have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Motherwell have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Motherwell
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Celtic194550 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
-
Mar 29
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
Feb 2
-
2
Rangers192139 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Feb 16
-
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
-
Mar 1
3
Dundee Utd20934 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
Apr 5
-
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2F
-
Feb 22
4
Aberdeen20434 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
-
Jan 12
Jan 5
l
 
2-1A
-
Mar 29
5
St. Mirren21-727 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
Feb 26
-
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 15
-
6
Motherwell A20-927 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
-
Apr 12
-
-
-
-
7
Hibernian21-425 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
-
Mar 1
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
-
Jan 11
8
Kilmarnock21-1124 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 8
-
Apr 5
9
Dundee20-622 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 1
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
Feb 26
-
10
Ross County21-1722 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Feb 15
-
11
Hearts H21-720 
-
-
-
-
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
-
12
St. Johnstone21-1815 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
-
Feb 22
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
-
Jan 25
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Hearts 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts1 - 2Hibernian
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts2 - 0Dundee
Hearts1 - 1Aberdeen
Hearts1 - 4Celtic
Hearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts4 - 0St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 1Ross County
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts0 - 0Rangers
Hearts3 - 3Rangers
Hearts3 - 0Dundee
Hearts4 - 2Livingston
Hearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
Hearts2 - 0Celtic
Hearts1 - 1Hibernian
Hearts2 - 0Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts3 - 2Dundee
Hearts2 - 2Ross County
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHearts2 - 2Ross County
HHearts1 - 2Hibernian
HHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
AHearts0 - 1Kilmarnock
HHearts2 - 0Dundee
HHearts1 - 1Aberdeen
HHearts1 - 4Celtic
AHearts0 - 1Rangers
AHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
HHearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
AHearts1 - 1Hibernian
HHearts4 - 0St. Mirren
AHearts2 - 3Aberdeen
HHearts1 - 1Ross County
AHearts1 - 2St. Mirren
AHearts0 - 2Celtic
HHearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
AHearts1 - 3Motherwell
AHearts1 - 3Dundee
HHearts0 - 0Rangers
Motherwell 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celtic4 - 0Motherwell
St. Mirren0 - 1Motherwell
Dundee4 - 1Motherwell
Ross County2 - 1Motherwell
Dundee Utd1 - 2Motherwell
Hibernian1 - 2Motherwell
Aberdeen2 - 1Motherwell
St. Johnstone1 - 2Motherwell
Rangers2 - 1Motherwell
Hibernian3 - 0Motherwell
Ross County1 - 5Motherwell
Aberdeen1 - 0Motherwell
Dundee2 - 3Motherwell
Rangers1 - 2Motherwell
Livingston1 - 3Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Motherwell
Aberdeen3 - 3Motherwell
St. Johnstone1 - 1Motherwell
Hibernian2 - 2Motherwell
St. Mirren0 - 0Motherwell
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMotherwell2 - 2Rangers
AMotherwell0 - 4Celtic
HMotherwell1 - 1Kilmarnock
HMotherwell4 - 3Dundee Utd
AMotherwell1 - 0St. Mirren
AMotherwell1 - 4Dundee
HMotherwell0 - 3Hibernian
AMotherwell1 - 2Ross County
HMotherwell2 - 1St. Johnstone
AMotherwell2 - 1Dundee Utd
HMotherwell0 - 3Celtic
HMotherwell0 - 1Dundee
AMotherwell2 - 1Hibernian
HMotherwell2 - 1St. Mirren
AMotherwell1 - 2Aberdeen
AMotherwell2 - 1St. Johnstone
HMotherwell3 - 1Hearts
AMotherwell1 - 2Rangers
HMotherwell0 - 0Ross County
HMotherwell1 - 2St. Johnstone
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hearts since 2014
Hearts
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
26
9
Games: Scored
12 / 14
6 / 14
Clean sheets
8 / 14
2 / 14
HEA
9
D
2
MTW
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Hearts2 - 0
0 - 1Motherwell
Hearts3 - 2
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Motherwell
Hearts1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts1 - 0
Hearts3 - 0
Hearts6 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
0 - 1Motherwell
League games at Motherwell since 2013
Motherwell
Hearts
Goals: Scored
25
20
Games: Scored
13 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
3 / 16
HEA
5
D
1
MTW
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Motherwell3 - 1
1 - 2Hearts
Motherwell2 - 0
0 - 3Hearts
Motherwell2 - 1
Motherwell2 - 0
Motherwell1 - 0
Motherwell2 - 1
0 - 1Hearts
Motherwell2 - 1
0 - 3Hearts
1 - 3Hearts
Motherwell1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Motherwell4 - 1
Motherwell2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Hearts 11th Motherwell 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Motherwell will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Hearts have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+31
Motherwell have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281991/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Motherwell
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
HEA
MTW
8%
better
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score5
5
Scored first6
9
Goals scored23
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
0%
better
HEA
MTW
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded31
33
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
0%

Hearts v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19428
C Gordon J. WilsonJ PenriceJ Penrice
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Gordon  GLK19
1
-
C Halkett  DEF91
2
-
K Rowles DEF19
4
-
J Penrice DEF1812
8
-
A. Forrester DEF101
2
-
J Grant MID16
4
1
C Devlin MID181
8
-
B Spittal MID2132
-
L Boyce  MID91
-
M. Drammeh MID102
-
J. Wilson FWD94
-
Subs
Z Clark GLK2
-
D Oyegoke DEF181
3
-
L Neilson DEF
-
B Baningime  MID121
1
-
M Boateng MID182
-
Y Dhanda MID171
3
-
M Tait MID
-
A Forrest FWD191
-
K Vargas FWD2121
2
-
Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20434
A OxboroughT MaswanhiseT MaswanhiseD Casey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Oxborough GLK20
-
L Gordon DEF171
1
1
D Casey DEF1912
2
2
S Blaney DEF8
2
-
T Maswanhise MID1643
1
-
S O'Donnell MID131
3
-
T Sparrow MID143
3
-
A Halliday  MID2021
2
-
H Paton MID101
2
-
E Wilson MID20
2
-
T Watt FWD151
3
-
Subs
K Hegyi GLK
-
K Balmer DEF101
2
-
P McGinn DEF71
1
-
M. Kaleta DEF162
1
-
J. Koutroumbis DEF1
-
D Zdravkovski MID14
2
-
S Nicholson MID4
1
-
J Vale FWD3
1
-
M Ebiye FWD172
-