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Heart of Midlothian v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00 BST, Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Saturday afternoon sees Steven Naismith’s Heart of Midlothian and Derek McInnes’s Kilmarnock go head to head in a Premiership clash at the Tynecastle Park. Premiership statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 77% chance of Hearts and Kilmarnock delivering at least 2 goals in this Premiership tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hearts 49%	19/20	-
Draw 24%	13/5	-
Kilmarnock 27%	13/5	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	-
Hearts 1-0 10%	6/1	-
Hearts 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Hearts 2-0 8%	8/1	-
Kilmarnock 1-0 7%	9/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	16/1	-
Hearts 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Hearts 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-0 4%	18/1	-
Hearts 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Hearts 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/4	-
No 1st Goal 3%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	10/11	-
BTTS - No 44%	10/11	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1	-
Home/draw 73%	2/7	-
Away/draw 51%	4/5	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	9/1	-
Home DNB 66%	4/9	-
Away DNB 44%	13/8	-
Hearts win to nil 25%	12/5	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 13%	5/1	-
Hearts / Hearts 26%	9/4	-
Hearts / Kilmarnock 2%	33/1	-
Hearts / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Hearts 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Kilmarnock 10%	7/1	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
Kilmarnock / Hearts 4%	22/1	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 13%	11/2	-
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Hearts have conceded 29 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hearts have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Kilmarnock lay in 9th place on 25 points in the Premiership league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Kilmarnock have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Kilmarnock have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hearts Kilmarnock
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celtic	23	53	60	l 1-4A	l 2-0A	-	Mar 29	l 0-2A	l 4-0A	-	Apr 12
2	Rangers	22	23	44	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	Feb 16	-	w 1-0F	l 6-0A	Feb 26	-
3	Dundee Utd	23	7	37	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	Apr 5	-	d 3-3A	d 1-1A	Feb 1	-
4	Aberdeen	22	2	35	d 1-1A	l 3-2A	-	d 0-00-0	w 4-0F	l 2-0A	-	Feb 22
5	Motherwell	23	-9	31	w 1-0F	l 3-1A	-	Apr 12	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	Apr 5	-
6	Hibernian	23	-2	29	l 1-2A	d 1-1A	-	Mar 1	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	Mar 15	-
7	Dundee	23	-4	27	w 2-0F	l 3-1A	-	Feb 1	d 1-1A	w 2-3A	-	l 3-2F
8	St. Mirren	23	-11	27	w 4-0F	l 2-1A	Feb 26	-	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	-	Mar 29
9	Kilmarnock A	23	-12	25	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Jan 25	-	-	-	-	-
10	Ross County	23	-19	25	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	Mar 15	-	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	-	Mar 1
11	Hearts H	23	-6	24	-	-	-	-	w 1-0F	w 1-2A	-	Jan 25
12	St. Johnstone	23	-22	15	w 2-1F	w 1-2F	-	Feb 22	l 0-3A	l 1-0A	Feb 15	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Kilmarnock have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Hearts have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts	1 - 0	Motherwell
Hearts	1 - 2	Hibernian
Hearts	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
Hearts	2 - 0	Dundee
Hearts	1 - 1	Aberdeen
Hearts	1 - 4	Celtic
Hearts	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Hearts	4 - 0	St. Mirren
Hearts	1 - 1	Ross County
Hearts	0 - 1	Dundee Utd
Hearts	0 - 0	Rangers
Hearts	3 - 3	Rangers
Hearts	3 - 0	Dundee
Hearts	4 - 2	Livingston
Hearts	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Hearts	2 - 0	Celtic
Hearts	1 - 1	Hibernian
Hearts	2 - 0	Motherwell
Hearts	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Hearts	3 - 2	Dundee

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Hearts	0 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Hearts	1 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Hearts	1 - 0	Motherwell
A	Hearts	2 - 2	Ross County
H	Hearts	1 - 2	Hibernian
H	Hearts	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
A	Hearts	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
H	Hearts	2 - 0	Dundee
H	Hearts	1 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Hearts	1 - 4	Celtic
A	Hearts	0 - 1	Rangers
A	Hearts	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
H	Hearts	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Hearts	1 - 1	Hibernian
H	Hearts	4 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Hearts	2 - 3	Aberdeen
H	Hearts	1 - 1	Ross County
A	Hearts	1 - 2	St. Mirren
A	Hearts	0 - 2	Celtic
H	Hearts	0 - 1	Dundee Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hibernian	1 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Rangers	6 - 0	Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone	1 - 0	Kilmarnock
Dundee	3 - 2	Kilmarnock
Hearts	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Ross County	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
Dundee	2 - 3	Kilmarnock
St. Mirren	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	2 - 0	Kilmarnock
Celtic	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
Dundee	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
St. Mirren	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Rangers	4 - 1	Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Hearts	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Dundee	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Celtic	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Motherwell
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Ross County
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hibernian
H	Kilmarnock	4 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Motherwell
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 6	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	St. Johnstone
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 2	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 1	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Ross County
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Rangers
A	Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 3	Dundee Utd
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hearts

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 15

11 / 15

Clean sheets

4 / 15

5 / 15

HEA

KIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Hearts	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Hearts	4 - 0
Hearts	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Hearts	5 - 0
	0 - 4	Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Hearts

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 15

8 / 15

Clean sheets

7 / 15

5 / 15

HEA

KIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Kilmarnock	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Hearts
	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Hearts
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Kilmarnock	4 - 2
Kilmarnock	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Hearts 11th	Kilmarnock 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Hearts have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	-4 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season

12%

better

HEA

KIL

view stats

Games scored	17		14
Failed to score	6		9
Scored first	8		6
Goals scored	25		25
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.4
KickOff rating		+12%

10%

better

HEA

KIL

view stats

Games conceded	17		18
Clean sheets	6		5
Conceded first	13		16
Goals conceded	31		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+10%

Hearts v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	3	9
K Rowles	J. Wilson	L Shankland	J Penrice

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Spittal MID	23	3	2	-
K Vargas FWD	23	2	1	2 -
A Forrest FWD	21	1		1 -
K Rowles DEF	20			4 -
J Penrice DEF	20	2	2	9 -
C Devlin MID	20		1	9 -
D Oyegoke DEF	19	1		3 -
M Boateng MID	19		2	-
J Grant MID	18			4 1
Y Dhanda MID	18		1	3 -
L Shankland FWD	18	3	3	6 -
F Kent DEF	13	2		1 -
B Baningime MID	13		1	1 -
M. Drammeh FWD	12	2		-
C Halkett DEF	11	1		3 -
J. Wilson FWD	11	4		1 -
L Boyce FWD	10		2	-
B McKay FWD	8			-
S Kingsley DEF	7			2 -
C. Gordon GLK	6			-
G. Taylor DEF	5			1 -
Y Oda FWD	5	1		-
Z Clark GLK	2			-
A Salazar DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	18	3	24
J. Wilson	L Shankland	L Shankland	B Spittal

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J. Wilson FWD	4	5		2
L Shankland FWD	3	18	3	10
B Spittal MID	3	9	2	24
J Penrice DEF	2	9	2	23
F Kent DEF	2	2		1
K Vargas FWD	2	6	1	12
M. Drammeh FWD	2	7		4
A Forrest FWD	1	6		6
Y Oda FWD	1	2		1
D Oyegoke DEF	1	3		4
C Halkett DEF	1	4		3
B McKay FWD				4
G. Taylor DEF				1
S Kingsley DEF				1
B Baningime MID			1	2
L Boyce FWD		3	2	6
Y Dhanda MID			1	7
J Grant MID		5		12
M Boateng MID		1	2	5
C Devlin MID		3	1	10
K Rowles DEF				3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1358	75	132
K Rowles	C Devlin	C Devlin

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Rowles DEF	1358	25	95
B Spittal MID	882	19	74
C Devlin MID	861	75	132
F Kent DEF	777	15	76
J Penrice DEF	776	47	100
M Boateng MID	723	24	80
D Oyegoke DEF	652	33	79
C Halkett DEF	643	15	85
J Grant MID	501	27	62
L Shankland FWD	391	14	72
B Baningime MID	366	36	62
S Kingsley DEF	282	8	18
Y Dhanda MID	276	11	37
A Forrest FWD	240	15	30
K Vargas FWD	199	20	44
C. Gordon GLK	157		2
M. Drammeh FWD	127	9	51
L Boyce FWD	112		22
G. Taylor DEF	110	17	29
B McKay FWD	109	8	15
J. Wilson FWD	89	8	20
A Salazar DEF	56	1	3
Z Clark GLK	45		1
Y Oda FWD	40	2	5

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	8	4	7
L Mayo	B Anderson	D Armstrong	D Armstrong

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Mayo DEF	22			1 -
C Ndaba DEF	21	1		3 -
B Lyons MID	21		1	4 1
D Watson MID	20	3	1	2 -
D Armstrong FWD	20		4	5 2
K Vassell FWD	19	2	1	1 -
R McCrorie GLK	18			-
J Wright DEF	18		1	5 2
R Deas DEF	18			3 1
F Murray MID	18		2	3 -
B Anderson FWD	18	8		-
M Watkins FWD	17	3		2 -
L Polworth MID	14	1		3 -
I Cameron FWD	14	1	1	-
B Wales FWD	13	1	1	-
R McKenzie FWD	13			-
L Donnelly MID	12			4 2
M Kennedy FWD	12	4	1	4 -
J Burroughs MID	11			-
S Findlay DEF	9			-
G Mackay-Steven MID	9		1	-
K O'Hara GLK	7			-
K Magennis MID	7			2 -
O. Bainbridge DEF	6			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	12	4	20
B Anderson	B Anderson	D Armstrong	F Murray

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Anderson FWD	8	12		3
M Kennedy FWD	4	9	1	15
D Watson MID	3	7	1	11
M Watkins FWD	3	9		11
K Vassell FWD	2	9	1	10
L Polworth MID	1	1		12
C Ndaba DEF	1	6		7
I Cameron FWD	1	4	1	3
B Wales FWD	1	3	1	6
L Donnelly MID		3		3
K Magennis MID		1		3
G Mackay-Steven MID		1	1	1
S Findlay DEF		1
J Burroughs MID				2
L Mayo DEF				1
R McKenzie FWD				2
F Murray MID		6	2	20
R Deas DEF		2		6
J Wright DEF		4	1	4
R McCrorie GLK				1
D Armstrong FWD		3	4	16
B Lyons MID		3	1	17

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
819	39	131
L Mayo	B Lyons	J Wright

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Mayo DEF	819	35	102
B Lyons MID	771	39	126
C Ndaba DEF	769	35	128
R Deas DEF	606	30	114
L Polworth MID	534	14	40
J Wright DEF	467	21	131
R McCrorie GLK	429	2	12
D Armstrong FWD	383	16	67
D Watson MID	325	14	59
K Vassell FWD	280	8	111
F Murray MID	257	15	47
L Donnelly MID	256	17	47
M Kennedy FWD	242	10	46
S Findlay DEF	212	9	43
M Watkins FWD	211	17	64
K O'Hara GLK	160		4
J Burroughs MID	132	15	29
B Anderson FWD	122	4	45
B Wales FWD	117	3	33
I Cameron FWD	98	2	44
K Magennis MID	84	6	16
R McKenzie FWD	68	3	4
G Mackay-Steven MID	49	7	13
O. Bainbridge DEF	28	1	3

Scottish Premiership match betting previews, predictions and odds

St. Johnstone v Motherwell

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Aberdeen v St. Mirren

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Hearts v Kilmarnock

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Ross County v Hibernian

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Dundee Utd v Rangers

Sun 26th Jan, 12:00

Heart of Midlothian v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Hearts have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Kilmarnock lay in 9th place on 25 points in the Premiership league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Hearts v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

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