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Heart of Midlothian v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Dec, 15:00 BST, Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Jimmy Thelin guides his Aberdeen team to the Tynecastle Park in the Premiership on Sunday afternoon, with Steven Naismith's Heart of Midlothian waiting for them. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
37%
6/46/4
Draw
27%
23/105/2
Aberdeen
36%
17/1013/8
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
Hearts 1-0
10%
17/215/2
Aberdeen 1-0
10%
9/115/2
Hearts 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Aberdeen 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
8%
10/19/1
Hearts 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Aberdeen 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Hearts 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Aberdeen 3-1
3%
20/114/1
Hearts 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Aberdeen 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Hearts 3-2
2%
25/118/1
Aberdeen 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
4/54/5
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
48%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/417/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
4/118/5
Home/draw
64%
4/910/21
Away/draw
63%
1/21/2
Home/away
73%
1/32/7
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/113/5
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/519/10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/72/15
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Home DNB
56%
4/54/5
Away DNB
55%
10/1110/11
Hearts win to nil
21%
7/2-
Aberdeen win to nil
20%
4/1-
Hearts / Hearts
20%
3/129/10
Hearts / Aberdeen
3%
25/120/1
Hearts / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Hearts
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Aberdeen
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Aberdeen / Hearts
3%
25/120/1
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
19%
10/316/5
Aberdeen / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Hearts have conceded 19 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hearts have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Aberdeen lay in 2nd place on 31 points in the Premiership league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Aberdeen have conceded 10 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Aberdeen have played 5 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Aberdeen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Celtic112831 
Nov 23
l
 
2-0A
-
Mar 29
Dec 4
d
 
2-2A
-
Feb 26
2
Aberdeen 121331 
Dec 1
l
 
3-2A
-
Jan 12
-
-
-
-
3
Rangers12823 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
-
w
 
2-1F
Jan 15
Apr 12
-
4
Dundee Utd13520 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
Apr 5
-
w
 
1-0F
Dec 29
Mar 1
-
5
Motherwell12019 
Jan 2
l
 
3-1A
-
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
Jan 5
Mar 29
-
6
St. Mirren14-418 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
Feb 26
-
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
Jan 25
-
7
Ross County14-1015 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 29
Mar 15
-
Jan 2
w
 
0-1F
-
Apr 5
8
St. Johnstone14-1013 
Dec 22
w
 
1-2F
-
Feb 22
Dec 7
w
 
1-2F
-
Mar 15
9
Dundee12-612 
Dec 7
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 1
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
-
Feb 15
10
Kilmarnock13-1112 
l
 
1-2F
Dec 15
Jan 25
-
w
 
2-0F
Dec 26
Feb 22
-
11
Hearts 13-69 
-
-
-
-
w
 
3-2F
Dec 1
Jan 12
-
12
Hibernian12-78 
Dec 26
d
 
1-1A
-
Mar 1
Dec 21
Nov 26
-
Feb 1
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Hearts 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
Hearts4 - 0St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 1Ross County
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts0 - 0Rangers
Hearts3 - 3Rangers
Hearts3 - 0Dundee
Hearts4 - 2Livingston
Hearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
Hearts2 - 0Celtic
Hearts1 - 1Hibernian
Hearts2 - 0Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts3 - 2Dundee
Hearts2 - 2Ross County
Hearts2 - 0St. Mirren
Hearts0 - 1Rangers
Hearts1 - 0St. Johnstone
Hearts1 - 0Livingston
Hearts1 - 4Celtic
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHearts0 - 1Rangers
AHearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
HHearts1 - 2Kilmarnock
AHearts1 - 1Hibernian
HHearts4 - 0St. Mirren
AHearts2 - 3Aberdeen
HHearts1 - 1Ross County
AHearts1 - 2St. Mirren
AHearts0 - 2Celtic
HHearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
AHearts1 - 3Motherwell
AHearts1 - 3Dundee
HHearts0 - 0Rangers
HHearts3 - 3Rangers
AHearts2 - 2St. Mirren
HHearts3 - 0Dundee
AHearts0 - 3Celtic
AHearts0 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts4 - 2Livingston
AHearts2 - 1St. Mirren
Aberdeen 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celtic2 - 2Aberdeen
Dundee1 - 2Aberdeen
Ross County0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Johnstone1 - 2Aberdeen
Ross County2 - 2Aberdeen
Hibernian0 - 4Aberdeen
Livingston0 - 0Aberdeen
Motherwell0 - 1Aberdeen
Dundee1 - 0Aberdeen
St. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
Kilmarnock2 - 0Aberdeen
Rangers2 - 1Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
St. Johnstone1 - 1Aberdeen
Ross County0 - 3Aberdeen
Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
Celtic6 - 0Aberdeen
Motherwell2 - 4Aberdeen
Kilmarnock2 - 0Aberdeen
Rangers1 - 3Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAberdeen4 - 1Dundee
HAberdeen2 - 1Rangers
HAberdeen1 - 0Dundee Utd
AAberdeen2 - 2Celtic
HAberdeen3 - 2Hearts
AAberdeen2 - 1Dundee
HAberdeen2 - 1Motherwell
AAberdeen1 - 0Ross County
HAberdeen2 - 0Kilmarnock
HAberdeen3 - 1St. Mirren
AAberdeen2 - 1St. Johnstone
AAberdeen2 - 2Ross County
HAberdeen5 - 1Livingston
AAberdeen4 - 0Hibernian
HAberdeen1 - 0St. Johnstone
HAberdeen1 - 0Motherwell
HAberdeen0 - 0Dundee
AAberdeen0 - 0Livingston
HAberdeen2 - 1Ross County
AAberdeen1 - 0Motherwell
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Hearts have beaten Aberdeen in 5 consecutive home league meetings
11
Hearts have not lost to Aberdeen in 11 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
28
14
Games: Scored
15 / 17
11 / 17
Clean sheets
6 / 17
2 / 17
HEA
10
D
4
ABD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts2 - 1
Hearts5 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts2 - 1
Hearts2 - 1
Hearts2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Aberdeen
0 - 1Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 1
1 - 3Aberdeen
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts2 - 1
League games at Aberdeen since 2013
Aberdeen
Hearts
Goals: Scored
25
11
Games: Scored
12 / 15
7 / 15
Clean sheets
8 / 15
3 / 15
HEA
2
D
2
ABD
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen3 - 2
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen3 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen3 - 2
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen2 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Aberdeen2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Hearts
Aberdeen1 - 0
1 - 3Hearts
Goal Statistics
Hearts 11th Aberdeen 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Hearts will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Aberdeen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Aberdeen have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281950/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Aberdeen
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
HEA
ABD
47%
better
view stats
Games scored9
11
Failed to score4
0
Scored first3
10
Goals scored14
24
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
4
Conversion rate for14
25
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
HEA
ABD
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first9
1
Goals conceded20
10
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against19%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+41%

Hearts v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13235
L ShanklandB SpittalL ShanklandL Shankland
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Dhanda MID131
3
-
B Spittal MID1322
-
L Shankland FWD1313
5
-
K Vargas FWD132
1
-
M Boateng MID122
-
A Forrest FWD121
-
K Rowles DEF11
3
-
D Oyegoke DEF111
3
-
J Penrice DEF11
5
-
F Kent DEF112
1
-
C Devlin MID111
5
-
J Grant MID10
3
1
B McKay FWD8
-
B Baningime  MID71
1
-
S Kingsley DEF6
2
-
G. Taylor DEF5
1
-
Y Oda FWD51
-
L Boyce  FWD4
-
C Halkett  DEF31
-
J. Wilson FWD32
-
Z Clark GLK2
-
M. Drammeh FWD2
-
A Salazar DEF1
1
-
Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11564
D MitovP GueyeJ McGrathS Rubezic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK11
2
-
N Devlin DEF113
2
-
J MacKenzie DEF111
3
-
G Molloy DEF11
1
-
S Rubezic DEF11
4
-
S Morris FWD1112
-
G Shinnie MID1013
-
S Nilsen MID101
4
-
E Sokler FWD1011
1
-
J McGrath FWD1026
1
-
T Keskinen FWD932
1
-
P Ambrose FWD91
1
-
A Palaversa MID82
4
-
V Besuijen FWD82
2
-
L Clarkson MID7
1
-
K Nisbet FWD731
-
Duk FWD5
1
-
P Gueye FWD55
1
-
J Milne DEF3
-