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Livingston v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 18th Apr, 19:45 BST, Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

David Martindale welcomes Scott Brown to the Tony Macaroni Arena on Friday evening, as their Livingston and Ayr United sides go head to head in the Championship. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we're not predicting a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Livingston and Ayr United both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Livingston are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Livingston
48%
19/20
3%
-
Draw
27%
9/4-
Ayr United
24%
11/4
7%
-
Livingston 1-0
14%
6/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
8/1
5%
-
Livingston 2-0
10%
8/1
5%
-
Ayr United 1-0
9%
10/1-
Livingston 2-1
9%
8/1-
Ayr United 2-1
6%
12/1-
Livingston 3-0
5%
16/1-
Ayr United 2-0
4%
18/1-
Livingston 3-1
4%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Livingston 3-2
2%
28/1-
Ayr United 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Livingston 4-0
2%
33/1-
Livingston 4-1
1%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
11/10
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
7/10
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
5/6
2%
-
BTTS - No
56%
5/6
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
7/1
14%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/4
3%
-
Away/draw
52%
4/5
4%
-
Home/away
73%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/3
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
9/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/4
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6/1
17%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19/2
5%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
13/2
21%
-
Home DNB
68%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
43%
7/4
5%
-
Livingston win to nil
31%
9/4
7%
-
Ayr United win to nil
15%
11/2-
Livingston / Livingston
27%
21/10
5%
-
Livingston / Ayr United
2%
40/1
21%
-
Livingston / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Livingston
17%
4/1-
Draw / Ayr United
10%
7/1
7%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
-
Ayr United / Livingston
3%
25/1-
Ayr United / Ayr United
14%
5/1
9%
-
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Livingston have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 9 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 54 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

Livingston have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Ayr United are in 3rd position in the Championship on 59 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Ayr United have conceded 11 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Livingston
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk334070 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
5-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
2
Livingston H332164 
-
-
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
Apr 18
3
Ayr United A332259 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 18
w
 
1-2F
-
-
-
-
4
Partick33348 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
5
Raith Rovers33-246 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
Greenock 33-941 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
7
Hamilton33-2135 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
8
Dunfermline33-1333 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
9
Queen's Park33-1533 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
2-3A
10
Airdrieonians33-2628 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
May 2
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Ayr United have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Livingston have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
3
Livingston have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Livingston 2ND
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Livingston3 - 0Queen's Park
Livingston1 - 0Falkirk
Livingston0 - 0Raith Rovers
Livingston3 - 2Greenock
Livingston0 - 0Dunfermline
Livingston3 - 0Hamilton
Livingston2 - 1Airdrieonians
Livingston0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston2 - 0Partick
Livingston1 - 0Falkirk
Livingston1 - 1Queen's Park
Livingston2 - 1Raith Rovers
Livingston2 - 1Airdrieonians
Livingston3 - 0Hamilton
Livingston1 - 1Greenock
Livingston2 - 0Dunfermline
Livingston1 - 1Hibernian
Livingston2 - 1St. Johnstone
Livingston2 - 0Ross County
Livingston0 - 0Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALivingston2 - 1Greenock
HLivingston3 - 0Queen's Park
ALivingston0 - 1Dunfermline
HLivingston1 - 0Falkirk
ALivingston3 - 3Airdrieonians
HLivingston0 - 0Raith Rovers
ALivingston1 - 1Partick
HLivingston3 - 2Greenock
ALivingston2 - 1Ayr United
HLivingston0 - 0Dunfermline
ALivingston2 - 1Falkirk
HLivingston3 - 0Hamilton
HLivingston2 - 1Airdrieonians
ALivingston0 - 2Queen's Park
ALivingston1 - 2Raith Rovers
HLivingston0 - 1Ayr United
ALivingston3 - 0Airdrieonians
HLivingston2 - 0Partick
ALivingston0 - 0Greenock
HLivingston1 - 0Falkirk
Ayr United 3RD
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Queen's Park2 - 3Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 2Ayr United
Livingston0 - 1Ayr United
Partick1 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 0Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 0Ayr United
Queen's Park1 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline1 - 1Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Partick0 - 0Ayr United
Dundee Utd1 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 1Ayr United
Inverness1 - 2Ayr United
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United1 - 1Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
HAyr United3 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Hamilton
AAyr United0 - 2Partick
AAyr United1 - 2Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
HAyr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Livingston
AAyr United2 - 2Falkirk
AAyr United2 - 0Hamilton
HAyr United2 - 1Partick
AAyr United2 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 0Greenock
AAyr United1 - 0Livingston
HAyr United5 - 2Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
Goal Statistics
Livingston 2nd Ayr United 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Livingston will score no more than 1 goal
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Livingston’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Ayr United have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282237/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Livingston
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
LIV
AYR
12%
better
view stats
Games scored24
27
Failed to score9
6
Scored first19
18
Goals scored47
54
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
19%
better
LIV
AYR
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets14
12
Conceded first9
14
Goals conceded26
32
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+19%

Livingston v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Livingston Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3210410
R McGowanR MuirheadS PittmanJ Brandon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R McGowan DEF271
5
-
J Brandon DEF2711
10
-
S Pittman FWD2644
5
-
A Shinnie FWD2532
6
-
J Prior GLK24
4
-
D Finlayson DEF242
4
-
S May FWD2452
6
-
R Muirhead FWD24103
7
-
S Kelly MID2343
4
-
T Yengi FWD2132
6
-
M Nottingham DEF201
5
-
R McAlear MID1911
1
-
L Smith MID1834
4
-
M Clarke DEF1621
5
-
C Montano DEF1611
2
-
D Wilson DEF144
5
1
L Sole MID111
2
-
M Tait MID11
1
-
R Fraser DEF1011
2
-
M. Ubochioma FWD41
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID2
-
S. Culbert FWD1
1
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321389
G StangerG OakleyJ HendersonB Dempsey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Stanger DEF2831
6
-
J Henderson MID2878
-
G Oakley FWD28132
6
-
B Dempsey MID2731
9
-
M Rus MID2436
6
-
S McMann DEF231
4
-
M McKenzie FWD232
1
-
P Reading DEF201
1
-
D Watret DEF1923
2
-
J Hastie FWD191
1
-
J Murphy MID1821
1
-
C McLennan FWD1833
5
-
N McAllister DEF172
8
1
E Walker FWD163
2
-
F Musonda DEF151
3
-
L. Russell GLK11
-
C Main FWD104
-
H Stone GLK9
-
C McKinnon MID81
1
-
L. Agbaire DEF6
1
-
M Devlin  DEF6
4
-
A Dowds FWD65
-
R Mutch GLK1
-
D. Craig MID1
-