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Hamilton Academical v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Old Stadium, Phnom Penh, Phnom Penh

Ayr United are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Scott Brown takes his team to visit Hamilton Academical and John Rankin at the Old Stadium, Phnom Penh in the Championship. Recent form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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Hamilton Academical's next match is v Queen's Park at 15:00 on Saturday 15th February
Ayr United's next match is v Falkirk at 15:00 on Saturday 15th February
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Hamilton and Ayr United was on Saturday 1st February 2025
Scottish Championship
February 1st 2025
Hamilton 0
2 Ayr United
 
80' M. McKenzie
84' G. Stanger
 
HAM
AYR
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
3
Corners
2
7
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
15
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
HamiltonAyr United
 
D. Lyness
J. Longridge (R. Lamie 82')
S. Hendrie (S. McKinstry 85')
S. McGinty
D. McGowan
C. Smith
K. MacDonald
B. Maguire
S. Bradley (R. Tumilty 82')
K. O'Hara (E. Henderson 85')
N. Todorov (O. Shaw 72')
H. Stone
S. McMann
(M. McKenzie 56') D. Watret
football iconG. Stanger
L. Agbaire
(J. Hastie 77') P. Reading
(M. Rus 56') J. Henderson
(C. McKinnon 56') J. Murphy
B. Dempsey
C. McLennan
G. Oakley

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Ayr United coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamilton
29%
10/3
31%
17/5
38%
Draw
26%
29/10
15%
27/10
14%
Ayr United
45%
13/20
18%
8/13
19%
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
8%
Ayr United 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
11/2
Ayr United 2-1
9%
15/2
11%
13/2
6%
Hamilton 1-0
9%
12/1
37%
10/1
29%
Ayr United 2-0
8%
7/1
16%
13/2
12%
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1
33%
17/2
19%
Hamilton 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
12/1
30%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Hamilton 2-0
5%
22/1
35%
18/1
46%
Ayr United 3-1
4%
12/1
32%
10/1
15%
Ayr United 3-0
4%
12/1
24%
10/1
27%
Hamilton 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Ayr United 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Hamilton 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Hamilton 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
33/1
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
17/20
11%
3/4
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
19/20
13%
10/11
14%
Home 1st Goal
45%
2/1
20%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/9
14%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
33%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
5/6
4%
5/6
4%
BTTS - No
49%
5/6
2%
10/11
4%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2
10%
4/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
11/4
21%
12/5
21%
Home/draw
55%
6/5
32%
23/20
24%
Away/draw
71%
1/5
4%
2/11
9%
Home/away
74%
1/41/4
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/4
6%
1/4
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4
15%
12/5
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2/1
20%
15/8
18%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
4/11
9%
1/3
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/2
21%
4/1
23%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/8
4%
1/9
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/1
14%
17/2
21%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25
2%
1/66
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/66
3%
1/33
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/1
33%
8/1
20%
Home DNB
47%
5/2
40%
5/2
43%
Away DNB
63%
2/7
14%
1/4
17%
Hamilton win to nil
16%
7/1
45%
-
Ayr United win to nil
25%
7/4
19%
-
Hamilton / Hamilton
11%
13/2
36%
13/2
43%
Hamilton / Ayr United
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Hamilton / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Hamilton
9%
17/2
27%
17/2
36%
Draw / Ayr United
18%
7/2
10%
10/3
10%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
20%
9/2
15%
Ayr United / Hamilton
2%
40/128/1
12%
Ayr United / Ayr United
31%
8/5
20%
6/4
23%
Ayr United / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Hamilton have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Hamilton have conceded 33 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamilton have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Ayr United lay in 3rd place on 44 points in the Championship league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ayr United have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Ayr United have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamilton
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Ayr United A232047 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
-
-
-
-
2
Falkirk222146 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
May 2
w
 
5-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
Feb 15
3
Livingston231545 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
Apr 19
4
Partick23636 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
5
Queen's Park23-129 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
Feb 15
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Mar 4
6
Greenock 21-427 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
Feb 18
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
7
Raith Rovers22-827 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3F
Mar 29
Feb 22
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
8
Dunfermline23-822 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
Feb 25
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
w
 
0-2F
9
Hamilton H22-1521 
-
-
-
-
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
10
Airdrieonians22-2612 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-2F
Mar 8
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
May 2
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Hamilton have lost 3 consecutive league games
3
Ayr United have won 3 consecutive league games
6
Ayr United have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Hamilton 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Ayr United 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Ayr United have beaten Hamilton in 5 consecutive league meetings
10
Ayr United have not lost to Hamilton in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Hamilton since 2021
Hamilton
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
3
10
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
D
1
AYR
4
League games at Ayr United since 2021
Ayr United
Hamilton
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
D
3
AYR
2
Goal Statistics

Ayr United's defensive record is very strong, S. Brown's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Hamilton Academical makes sense in this context.

Ayr United's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Hamilton Academical have conceded in each of their last 9 Championship matches. A PG of 1.5 for S. Brown's side suggests that run should continue.

Hamilton 9th Ayr United 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Hamilton will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Ayr United will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Hamilton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Ayr United have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282181/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hamilton
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
HAM
AYR
11%
better
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score5
4
Scored first9
12
Goals scored27
34
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
HAM
AYR
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded34
17
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+32%

Hamilton v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamilton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211028
S McGintyO ShawS HendrieS Martin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Lyness GLK5
-
D McGowan DEF61
1
-
S McGinty DEF1911
4
-
J Longridge DEF13
1
-
S Hendrie DEF162
4
-
S Bradley MID152
1
-
C Smith MID1422
2
-
K MacDonald MID101
2
-
B Maguire MID13
4
-
N Todorov FWD15
3
-
K O'Hara FWD184
3
-
Subs
C Albinson GLK14
1
-
R Lamie DEF3
-
S Martin MID171
7
1
R Tumilty MID1721
5
-
S McKinstry MID811
-
T Gallacher MID
-
E Henderson FWD1911
-
O Shaw FWD1810
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231168
G StangerG OakleyJ HendersonB Dempsey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Stone GLK7
-
G Stanger DEF1921
5
-
L. Agbaire DEF1
1
-
S McMann DEF141
2
-
D Watret DEF1422
2
-
P Reading DEF16
1
-
C McLennan MID1022
4
-
B Dempsey MID1821
8
-
J Murphy MID1411
1
-
J Henderson MID1966
-
G Oakley FWD19111
4
-
Subs
R Mutch GLK
-
F Musonda DEF121
3
-
M Devlin  DEF6
4
-
K. Mitchell DEF
-
J Hastie MID131
1
-
M McKenzie MID162
-
M Rus MID1513
4
-
C McKinnon MID2
-