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Ayr United v Falkirk : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Dec, 15:00 BST, Somerset Park, Ayr

Scott Brown's Ayr United side enjoy home advantage in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as John McGlynn's Falkirk travel to the Somerset Park. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 73% chance of Ayr United and Falkirk scoring at least a couple of goals in this Championship match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ayr United are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 4.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ayr United
35%
10/3
8%
3/1
3%
Draw
26%
5/2
13%
5/2
Falkirk
39%
7/10
11%
8/11
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Falkirk 1-0
10%
11/2
8%
5/1
Ayr United 1-0
9%
11/1
20%
17/2
Falkirk 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
13/2
Ayr United 2-1
8%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
36%
15/2
Falkirk 2-0
7%
7/113/2
Ayr United 2-0
6%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Falkirk 3-1
4%
14/1
21%
11/1
Ayr United 3-1
3%
40/125/1
13%
Falkirk 3-0
3%
12/1
13%
11/1
Ayr United 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
28/1
Falkirk 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
18/1
Ayr United 3-2
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
15%
10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
15%
8/11
Home 1st Goal
47%
15/8-
Away 1st Goal
49%
1/2
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/11
9%
10/11
BTTS - No
47%
4/5
8%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
16%
8/1
10%
7/1
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
18%
3/1
20%
14/5
Home/draw
61%
19/20
13%
1/1
3%
Away/draw
65%
1/7
3%
1/5
2%
Home/away
74%
2/9
5%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10
7%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
24%
2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2
19%
9/4
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/7
8%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
19%
5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
4%
1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/1
17%
10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
2%
1/100
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/1
14%
7/1
Home DNB
53%
12/5
13%
21/10
3%
Away DNB
57%
3/10
4%
3/10
2%
Ayr United win to nil
19%
7/1
23%
-
Falkirk win to nil
21%
7/4-
Ayr United / Ayr United
12%
13/2
15%
11/2
Ayr United / Falkirk
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
Ayr United / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Ayr United
9%
8/1
13%
15/2
Draw / Falkirk
18%
7/217/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
22%
4/1
Falkirk / Ayr United
2%
40/128/1
Falkirk / Falkirk
29%
7/4
11%
7/4
2%
Falkirk / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ayr United have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Ayr United have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 2 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won zero. Ayr United have conceded 4 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ayr United have played 8 games at home, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Falkirk lay in 1st place on 38 points in the Championship league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 31 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Falkirk have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Falkirk have played 8 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ayr United
Falkirk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk A162238 
Dec 14
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
Feb 15
-
-
-
-
2
Livingston15930 
l
 
1-2A
Dec 21
Feb 22
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
Mar 29
3
Ayr United H16828 
-
-
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Dec 14
Feb 15
Apr 12
4
Partick15926 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
Mar 15
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 25
Apr 26
5
Queen's Park16225 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Feb 25
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
Jan 11
Mar 15
6
Dunfermline16-415 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
Jan 11
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
Dec 27
7
Hamilton15-715 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
Feb 1
Dec 21
w
 
1-3F
May 2
Mar 1
8
Raith Rovers15-815 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
Jan 4
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
Jan 25
9
Greenock 15-815 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Dec 28
Mar 8
w
 
6-0F
w
 
2-3A
Apr 5
Feb 22
10
Airdrieonians15-235 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
May 2
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
Jan 3
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ayr United 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United1 - 0Dunfermline
Ayr United3 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United1 - 2Livingston
Ayr United1 - 0Greenock
Ayr United1 - 1Partick
Ayr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
Ayr United3 - 2Hamilton
Ayr United5 - 0Airdrieonians
Ayr United3 - 3Dunfermline
Ayr United5 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United1 - 1Greenock
Ayr United2 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United1 - 2Queen's Park
Ayr United4 - 3Partick
Ayr United1 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 2Dundee Utd
Ayr United2 - 0Arbroath
Ayr United1 - 3Inverness
Ayr United2 - 2Dunfermline
Ayr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United0 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Livingston
AAyr United0 - 2Falkirk
HAyr United1 - 0Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
HAyr United3 - 2Hamilton
HAyr United5 - 0Airdrieonians
AAyr United2 - 0Hamilton
HAyr United3 - 3Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United0 - 1Dundee Utd
HAyr United5 - 0Arbroath
Falkirk 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queen's Park0 - 1Falkirk
Livingston1 - 0Falkirk
Hamilton1 - 3Falkirk
Partick1 - 1Falkirk
Raith Rovers1 - 0Falkirk
Airdrieonians0 - 2Falkirk
Greenock 2 - 3Falkirk
Dunfermline0 - 2Falkirk
Dundee Utd2 - 0Falkirk
Dunfermline0 - 1Falkirk
Queen'South1 - 1Falkirk
Inverness0 - 0Falkirk
Ross County2 - 1Falkirk
Greenock 1 - 1Falkirk
Alloa Athletic1 - 2Falkirk
Partick1 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United0 - 1Falkirk
Dundee Utd2 - 1Falkirk
Inverness2 - 3Falkirk
Dunfermline0 - 1Falkirk
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFalkirk3 - 0Raith Rovers
AFalkirk1 - 0Queen's Park
AFalkirk0 - 1Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
HFalkirk6 - 0Greenock
HFalkirk2 - 1Dunfermline
AFalkirk3 - 1Hamilton
AFalkirk1 - 1Partick
HFalkirk0 - 0Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Ayr United
AFalkirk0 - 1Raith Rovers
AFalkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
AFalkirk3 - 2Greenock
HFalkirk2 - 1Partick
AFalkirk2 - 0Dunfermline
HFalkirk2 - 1Queen's Park
HFalkirk3 - 2Ross County
AFalkirk0 - 2Dundee Utd
HFalkirk0 - 2Greenock
AFalkirk1 - 0Dunfermline
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Falkirk have beaten Ayr United in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Falkirk have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Ayr United
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Falkirk
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
AYR
1
FKK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
0 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 2
1 - 4Falkirk
0 - 1Falkirk
League games at Falkirk since 2016
Falkirk
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
AYR
1
D
1
FKK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Falkirk
Falkirk2 - 0
Falkirk2 - 0
0 - 1Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Falkirk2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Falkirk's defensive record is very strong, John McGlynn's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Ayr United makes sense in this context.

Ayr United 3rd Falkirk 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Falkirk will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Ayr United have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Falkirk’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282149/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ayr United
PG (predicted goals)
Falkirk
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
AYR
FKK
11%
better
view stats
Games scored13
13
Failed to score3
3
Scored first9
12
Goals scored23
31
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game12
15
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
AYR
FKK
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
8
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first7
3
Goals conceded15
9
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+32%

Ayr United v Falkirk Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16536
G StangerJ HendersonJ HendersonB Dempsey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Stanger DEF161
4
-
J Henderson MID1653
-
G Oakley FWD1641
3
-
B Dempsey MID1511
6
-
M Rus MID1413
4
-
M McKenzie FWD141
-
P Reading DEF13
-
F Musonda DEF121
3
-
D Watret DEF1222
2
-
S McMann DEF11
1
-
J Murphy MID111
-
A Bavidge FWD11
-
J Hastie FWD11
1
-
L. Russell GLK10
-
N McAllister DEF9
3
-
R. Syla MID9
2
-
E Walker FWD81
1
-
R Howley MID7
3
-
A Dowds FWD65
-
H Stone GLK5
-
M Devlin  DEF4
2
-
J. Hislop FWD2
1
-
S Tomlinson MID1
-
Falkirk Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16546
N. HogarthC MillerC MillerD Tait
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N. Hogarth GLK16
1
-
K. Adams DEF1633
2
-
L Henderson DEF161
3
-
E Ross MID1641
1
-
C Miller MID1654
-
B Spencer MID1651
5
-
F. Yeats MID16
1
-
D Tait MID1522
6
-
G Oliver FWD1511
-
A. Agyeman FWD153
2
-
M McKenna MID14
-
A Nesbitt MID1212
1
-
R MacIver FWD111
2
-
L Mccann DEF10
-
S Mackie DEF92
4
-
R Shanley FWD8
1
-
C Morrison FWD81
-
C Donaldson DEF51
-