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Vitoria Guimaraes v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Massimo Pavanel and Armando Evangelista meet in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, as Vitoria Guimaraes face Rio Ave at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of V. Guimaraes and Rio Ave 3 goals or less combined during this Liga NOS game according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
53%
4/6-
Draw
25%
11/4-
Rio Ave
22%
4/1
5%
-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
10%
13/2-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
9%
17/2-
Rio Ave 1-0
8%
11/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
12/1-
Rio Ave 2-1
5%
14/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Rio Ave 2-0
3%
22/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
28/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-0
2%
25/1-
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
28/1-
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
40%
21/10-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1-
Home/draw
78%
1/6
2%
-
Away/draw
47%
23/20-
Home/away
75%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/5
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/10
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/2-
Home DNB
71%
2/7-
Away DNB
39%
5/2-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
32%
13/8-
Rio Ave win to nil
12%
7/1-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
31%
7/4-
V. Guimaraes / Rio Ave
2%
40/1-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
19%
10/3-
Draw / Rio Ave
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Rio Ave / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/1-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
10%
15/2-
Rio Ave / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 9 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 14 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 12th position in the Liga NOS on 32 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Rio Ave have conceded 39 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Benfica2922344669 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
3
Braga2918652460 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-0A
4
Porto2918563059 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes H29121251248 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao2911108743 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Casa Pia2911711-340 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Estoril2910910-839 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
10
Moreirense299812-735 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
11
Nacional299515-1132 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
w
 
2-1F
May 10
12
Rio Ave Away298813-1532 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
-
-
13
Arouca297913-1630 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 4
l
 
1-0A
16
AVS2941114-2623 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
18
Boavista294619-2818 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Rio Ave 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
GUI
5
D
1
RIO
2
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
GUI
3
D
3
RIO
3
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.7 against Rio Ave on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

V. Guimaraes 5th Rio Ave 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Rio Ave have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285316/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
13%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games scored22
20
Failed to score7
9
Scored first14
12
Goals scored41
32
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
29%
better
GUI
RIO
view stats
Games conceded17
25
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first13
17
Goals conceded29
47
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+29%

V. Guimaraes v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28549
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK28
4
-
Samu MID2821
2
-
T Händel  MID2721
3
-
N Santos MID2733
5
-
J Mendes DEF26
9
-
J Mendes MID263
2
-
T Silva MID2644
4
1
N Oliveira FWD2534
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2342
4
-
T Borevkovic DEF22
4
-
Chuchu FWD1921
1
-
M Villanueva DEF15
6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD155
3
-
Maga DEF122
2
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
V. Félix FWD10
1
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD82
-
U Embaló FWD721
-
F Relvas DEF6
-
Hevertton DEF5
-
Beni MID2
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2613310
M Vrousai ClaytonM Vrousai Clayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vrousai  DEF2613
4
-
T Morais FWD264
1
-
K Bondoso FWD2621
1
-
Clayton FWD25132
9
1
O Richards DEF241
4
-
O Pohlmann MID2312
-
J Novais MID23
1
-
B Aguilera MID2231
3
-
D Tıknaz MID2112
5
1
C Miszta GLK19
2
-
M Neto MID1911
6
1
J Panzo DEF121
3
1
J Graça MID11
-
A Ndoj DEF10
-
J Tomé DEF9
-
A Luiz FWD91
-
K. Zoabi FWD8
-
N Abby DEF6
-
F. Petrasso DEF5
2
-
T. Bakoulas MID5
2
-
V Gomes MID51
-
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD5
-
J Pedro DEF21
-
T. Medina FWD2
-