Vitoria Guimaraes's team badge Casa Pia's team badge

Vitoria Guimaraes v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Massimo Pavanel welcomes João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira to the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Sunday morning, as their Vitoria Guimaraes and Casa Pia sides meet in the Liga NOS. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
45%
--
Draw
23%
--
Casa Pia
31%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
8%
--
Casa Pia 2-1
7%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Casa Pia 1-0
6%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Casa Pia 2-0
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
4%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
4%
--
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
--
Casa Pia 3-2
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
20%
--
Casa Pia win to nil
13%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 10 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 6th place on 33 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 11 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2216424152 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2216243250 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto2214442846 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 24
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2213541844 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
May 11
w
 
1-2F
5
Santa Clara221228238 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
6
Casa Pia Away22967133 
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
-
-
7
V. Guimaraes H227105531 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
8
Estoril22877-631 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
9
Famalicao226106028 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
May 17
10
Moreirense227510-526 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
11
Rio Ave22688-1226 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
12
Arouca226610-1324 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
May 4
13
Nacional226511-923 
d
 
2-2A
May 4
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
14
Gil Vicente225710-1122 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora225512-1520 
Mar 16
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
AVS223109-1519 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
17
Sporting Farense223613-1815 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
18
Boavista222614-2312 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
V. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
HV. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Sporting Farense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Benfica
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1AVS
Casa Pia 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Portimonense2 - 2Casa Pia
Vizela0 - 4Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense1 - 4Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACasa Pia2 - 3Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia1 - 2Santa Clara
HCasa Pia3 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia3 - 2Boavista
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Arouca
ACasa Pia2 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Casa Pia have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2022
V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
0
3
Games: Scored
0 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
2 / 2
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
0 - 2Casa Pia
0 - 1Casa Pia
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Casa Pia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, Massimo Pavanel's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Casa Pia makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 7th Casa Pia 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+52
Casa Pia have scored 52% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285264/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
GUI
9%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score7
5
Scored first10
12
Goals scored30
29
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
10%
better
GUI
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded25
28
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

V. Guimaraes v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22447
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK22
4
-
N Santos MID2232
4
-
Samu MID2221
1
-
J Mendes DEF21
7
-
T Händel  MID2111
3
-
J Mendes MID202
1
-
T Silva MID2034
4
1
N Oliveira FWD1933
4
-
T Arcanjo MID1712
3
-
T Borevkovic DEF16
4
-
Chuchu FWD1621
-
M Villanueva DEF13
5
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD134
3
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF91
3
-
Maga DEF6
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD62
-
V. Félix FWD4
-
U Embaló FWD2
-
Hevertton DEF1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-
Beni MID1
1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22857
L LeloCassianoN MoreiraG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Lelo DEF2212
1
-
J Goulart DEF222
4
-
P Sequeira GLK21
2
-
N Moreira FWD2155
2
1
G Larrazabal DEF203
6
1
A Geraldes DEF191
2
-
M Svensson FWD1913
1
-
A Kraev MID17
6
-
Cassiano FWD1781
2
-
J Fonte DEF16
3
-
R Kluivert DEF161
3
-
R Brito MID161
3
-
M Sousa MID15
3
-
J Livolant FWD1532
1
-
D Tchamba  DEF131
2
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD131
1
-
Pablo MID11
-
T Dias DEF2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Batista GLK1
1
Cauê FWD1
-