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Vitoria Guimaraes v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 20:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes and Benfica clash at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Saturday night, with both Massimo Pavanel and Bruno Lage aiming for victory in the Liga NOS. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Liga NOS match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that V. Guimaraes and Benfica will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
32%
17/4-
Draw
25%
3/1
5%
-
Benfica
43%
3/5
2%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
Benfica 2-1
9%
15/2-
Benfica 1-0
9%
6/1
8%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
16/1-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
8%
12/1-
Benfica 2-0
7%
13/2-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
5%
28/1-
Benfica 3-1
5%
12/1-
Benfica 3-0
4%
11/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
40/1-
Benfica 3-2
3%
25/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
40/1-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/5-
Away 1st Goal
50%
2/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
19/20-
BTTS - No
43%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
13/5-
Home/draw
57%
13/10-
Away/draw
68%
1/6-
Home/away
75%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
49%
3/1-
Away DNB
60%
2/9-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
16%
8/1-
Benfica win to nil
21%
13/8-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
9%
17/2-
V. Guimaraes / Benfica
4%
20/1-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
8%
10/1-
Draw / Benfica
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Benfica / V. Guimaraes
2%
40/1-
Benfica / Benfica
34%
6/4-
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 3 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 9 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 14 games at home, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 2nd place on 69 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 71 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
May 10
l
 
1-0A
2
Benfica Away2922344669 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Braga2918652460 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 17
4
Porto2918563059 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
5
V. Guimaraes H29121251248 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
7
Famalicao2911108743 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Casa Pia2911711-340 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
9
Estoril2910910-839 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
May 3
10
Moreirense299812-735 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
11
Nacional299515-1132 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
Rio Ave298813-1532 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
13
Arouca297913-1630 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
16
AVS2941114-2623 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
18
Boavista294619-2818 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
V. Guimaraes have won 3 consecutive home league games
5
Benfica have won 5 consecutive away league games
11
V. Guimaraes have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
10
Benfica have not lost in 10 consecutive league games
5
V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
19
Benfica have not lost to V. Guimaraes in 19 consecutive league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Benfica
Goals: Scored
5
16
Games: Scored
4 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
5 / 9
D
2
BEF
7
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
26
3
Games: Scored
9 / 10
2 / 10
Clean sheets
8 / 10
1 / 10
D
1
BEF
9
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Vitoria Guimaraes on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

V. Guimaraes 5th Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285310/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
GUI
BEF
34%
better
view stats
Games scored22
27
Failed to score7
2
Scored first14
22
Goals scored41
71
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.4
2.2
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
GUI
BEF
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets12
13
Conceded first13
7
Goals conceded29
25
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+13%

V. Guimaraes v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28549
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK28
4
-
Samu MID2821
2
-
T Händel  MID2721
3
-
N Santos MID2733
5
-
J Mendes DEF26
9
-
J Mendes MID263
2
-
T Silva MID2644
4
1
N Oliveira FWD2534
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2342
4
-
T Borevkovic DEF22
4
-
Chuchu FWD1921
1
-
M Villanueva DEF15
6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD155
3
-
Maga DEF122
2
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
V. Félix FWD10
1
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD82
-
U Embaló FWD721
-
F Relvas DEF6
-
Hevertton DEF5
-
Beni MID2
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261486
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD28145
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2721
6
-
O Kökcü MID2765
6
-
A Trubin GLK26
1
-
N Otamendi DEF2542
2
-
F Aursnes MID2424
1
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD2498
1
-
T Araújo DEF222
1
-
L Barreiro MID2231
5
-
Z Amdouni FWD2262
1
-
Florentino MID2121
4
-
Ángel Di María FWD2185
4
-
A Bah DEF181
3
-
A Silva DEF1712
2
-
A Cabral FWD172
3
-
A Schjelderup FWD1412
-
R Sanches  MID10
1
-
A Belotti FWD82
-
S Dahl DEF71
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
Bruma  FWD612
-
L. Sousa Santos DEF3
1
-
Manu MID32
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID3
-
S Soares GLK2
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-