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Vitoria Guimaraes v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 20:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Arouca pay Liga NOS competitors Vitoria Guimaraes a visit on Saturday night, as Daniel Sousa leads his men into an away clash with Rui Manuel Gomes Borges & co. at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that V. Guimaraes and Arouca will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
57%
1.60
7%
1.62
Draw
22%
3.80
5%
3.90
Arouca
21%
5.50
15%
5.50
Draw 1-1
10%
7.50
6%
7.00
V. Guimaraes 2-1
10%
8.507.50
V. Guimaraes 1-0
9%
6.50
8%
6.00
V. Guimaraes 2-0
9%
7.00
8%
7.00
V. Guimaraes 3-1
6%
13.0012.00
V. Guimaraes 3-0
6%
12.00
20%
10.00
Arouca 2-1
6%
17.00
11%
15.00
Draw 2-2
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
Arouca 1-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
Draw 0-0
5%
10.00
5%
8.50
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
V. Guimaraes 4-1
3%
26.0021.00
Arouca 2-0
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
V. Guimaraes 4-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Arouca 3-1
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.95
3%
1.95
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
1.85
3%
1.80
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.40
3%
1.50
Away 1st Goal
43%
3.25
10%
3.10
No 1st Goal
3%
10.00
5%
8.50
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.95
5%
2.00
BTTS - No
43%
1.80
6%
1.75
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3.753.60
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.50
8%
5.25
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11.00
15%
9.50
Home/draw
79%
1.14
3%
1.14
Away/draw
43%
2.30
8%
2.25
Home/away
78%
1.25
2%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.301.30
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3.403.20
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
3.40
3%
3.30
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.30
1%
1.30
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7.006.00
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.101.10
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
15.0012.00
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.061.05
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10.00
5%
9.00
Home DNB
73%
1.22
3%
1.22
Away DNB
36%
4.00
11%
3.90
V. Guimaraes win to nil
29%
2.50
11%
-
Arouca win to nil
10%
9.00
10%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
33%
2.50
5%
2.45
V. Guimaraes / Arouca
2%
41.0034.00
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / V. Guimaraes
19%
4.33
8%
4.20
Draw / Arouca
8%
11.00
8%
10.00
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.25
Arouca / V. Guimaraes
4%
23.0019.00
Arouca / Arouca
9%
9.50
14%
8.00
Arouca / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. V. Guimaraes have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

V. Guimaraes have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Arouca are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 15 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 27 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1713223441 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
2
Porto1713132940 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica1712232738 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
4
Braga179441131 
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
5
Santa Clara171016231 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
6
V. Guimaraes H17674425 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
7
Casa Pia17665-124 
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
May 4
l
 
3-1A
8
Moreirense17647-322 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
Jan 24
l
 
3-1F
9
Famalicao17485020 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
10
Rio Ave17557-1020 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
11
Gil Vicente17476-719 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
May 11
12
Estoril17467-1018 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
13
Nacional17449-1016 
d
 
2-2A
May 4
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
14
Estrela Amadora17449-1316 
Mar 16
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
15
AVS17296-1115 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
16
Arouca Away174310-1515 
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
Sporting Farense17359-1214 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista17269-1512 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
May 17
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
4
V. Guimaraes have drawn 4 consecutive league games
5
V. Guimaraes have not won in 5 consecutive league games
V. Guimaraes 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Arouca 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
V. Guimaraes have beaten Arouca in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
GUI
2
D
1
ARO
2
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
GUI
3
D
3
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Arouca on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Arouca makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 6th Arouca 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that V. Guimaraes will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Arouca have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285216/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
28%
better
GUI
ARO
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score4
6
Scored first8
8
Goals scored26
13
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
6%
better
GUI
ARO
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded22
28
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%

V. Guimaraes v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17435
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK17
3
-
J Mendes DEF17
5
-
T Händel  MID171
3
-
N Santos MID1721
2
-
Samu MID1711
1
-
K César FWD1622
3
-
T Silva MID1533
3
1
J Mendes MID142
1
-
Manu MID1411
2
-
N Oliveira FWD1433
3
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD134
3
-
T Arcanjo MID122
2
-
Chuchu FWD1221
-
T Borevkovic DEF11
2
-
A Baio DEF102
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
M Villanueva DEF9
4
-
O Rivas DEF71
3
-
Z Carlos DEF6
-
J Fernandes DEF6
-
R Mangas DEF4
-
T Ribeiro DEF41
-
Bica FWD3
-
Maga DEF1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17416
N MantlJasonA TrezzaB Pinto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK17
3
-
T Esgaio DEF17
2
-
M Sylla FWD171
3
-
A Trezza FWD1721
2
-
Jason FWD1641
4
-
P Santos MID15
2
-
B Pinto MID151
6
-
J Fontán DEF14
5
-
T Fukui MID14
1
-
C Lamba DEF111
3
-
I Rodrigues FWD111
4
-
V Morozov FWD11
-
A Dante DEF10
1
-
Weverson DEF10
3
-
G Yalcin FWD1021
2
1
H Araújo FWD102
1
-
P Gozálbez MID9
1
-
M Puche FWD8
-
A Pinto DEF4
-
Quaresma DEF3
1
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
1
C González FWD21
-
N Galovic DEF1
-