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Sporting Lisbon v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Dec, 20:30 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Ruben Amorim and Roger Schmidt pit their wits in the Liga NOS on Sunday night, as Sporting Lisbon face Benfica at the Estádio José Alvalade. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both S. Lisbon and Benfica's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
45%
6/46/4
5%
Draw
25%
13/527/10
3%
Benfica
30%
8/58/5
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
9/115/2
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Benfica 2-1
7%
9/18/1
S. Lisbon 2-0
7%
14/111/1
Benfica 1-0
7%
10/117/2
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
10%
Draw 0-0
6%
14/110/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
5%
18/114/1
15%
Benfica 2-0
5%
14/111/1
8%
S. Lisbon 3-0
4%
25/118/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Benfica 3-1
3%
18/114/1
Benfica 3-2
2%
22/118/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/613/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
23/2011/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
5/6
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
1/1-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/74/7
1%
BTTS - No
43%
5/45/4
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
7/2
4%
16/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/216/5
5%
Home/draw
70%
1/210/21
3%
Away/draw
55%
1/28/15
3%
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/33/1
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
13/88/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/94/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/118/5
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/61/6
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/115/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/161/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/110/1
Home DNB
62%
5/65/6
6%
Away DNB
47%
5/610/11
5%
S. Lisbon win to nil
22%
4/1-
Benfica win to nil
14%
4/1
9%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
20%
3/129/10
8%
S. Lisbon / Benfica
4%
22/118/1
10%
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Benfica
13%
11/25/1
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
5%
Benfica / S. Lisbon
4%
22/118/1
Benfica / Benfica
19%
10/33/1
5%
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 7 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Benfica lay in 1st place on 38 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 37 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Benfica Away1512212938 
Dec 29
May 11
-
-
2
S. Lisbon Home1512123337 
-
-
May 11
Dec 29
3
Porto1512122737 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
w
 
4-1F
Apr 6
4
Braga158431128 
Apr 6
w
 
2-4A
Jan 4
May 17
5
Santa Clara15906127 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
w
 
4-1A
Feb 16
6
V. Guimaraes15654423 
May 17
Jan 3
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
7
Casa Pia15555-220 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
8
Moreirense15627-320 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
9
Famalicao15474119 
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
Jan 17
l
 
2-0A
10
Gil Vicente15456-717 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
5-1A
Mar 2
11
Rio Ave15447-1116 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
w
 
5-0F
Mar 16
12
Estrela Amadora15438-1115 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 30
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
13
Estoril15357-1214 
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
May 4
14
AVS15276-1113 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
15
Nacional15348-1113 
Jan 25
w
 
1-6F
Mar 9
w
 
0-2F
16
Boavista15267-912 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
17
Sporting Farense15339-1212 
Feb 2
w
 
0-5F
Mar 30
w
 
1-2A
18
Arouca153210-1711 
Feb 16
w
 
0-3F
Apr 13
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
14
Benfica have not lost in 14 consecutive league games
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
66
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
19
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
S. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
S. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon6 - 1Boavista
S. Lisbon3 - 2Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon5 - 0Braga
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
S. Lisbon3 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 2Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Moreirense
HS. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Famalicao
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Arouca
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Sporting Farense
AS. Lisbon6 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Porto
HS. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
14
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Porto5 - 0Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Benfica
Arouca0 - 3Benfica
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Moreirense0 - 0Benfica
Chaves0 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 1Benfica
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
HBenfica4 - 1Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Sporting Farense
HBenfica5 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 0Boavista
HBenfica4 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica1 - 1Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HBenfica3 - 0Casa Pia
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
ABenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 2Famalicao
HBenfica3 - 1Braga
ABenfica3 - 1Sporting Farense
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Goals: Scored
8
13
Games: Scored
5 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
4 / 9
SCL
2
D
3
BEF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0
0 - 2Benfica
2 - 4Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
8 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
1 / 9
SCL
2
D
3
BEF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3S. Lisbon
Benfica4 - 3
Benfica2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 1
0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Benfica on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

S. Lisbon 2nd Benfica 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
S. Lisbon have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
-20
Benfica have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285200/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
SCL
BEF
2%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score2
1
Scored first12
10
Goals scored43
37
Avg. goals scored2.9
2.5
Avg. shots per game15
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
20
Avg. XG for2.4
2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
SCL
BEF
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first2
5
Goals conceded10
8
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against13%
8%
Avg. XG against0.5
0.6
KickOff rating
+1%

S. Lisbon v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151883
V GyökeresV GyökeresF TrincãoG Inácio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Gyökeres FWD15181
1
-
G. Quenda FWD151
1
-
F Trincão FWD1558
-
Z Debast DEF141
-
G Catamo  FWD1422
2
-
M Reis DEF131
2
-
H Morita MID1322
-
O Diomande DEF12
1
-
G Inácio DEF1212
3
-
D Bragança  MID1233
3
-
M Hjulmand MID1211
2
-
F Israel GLK9
-
M Vilches FWD911
1
-
E Quaresma DEF8
-
P Gonçalves FWD844
2
-
N Santos MID7
-
V Kovacevic GLK6
-
M Edwards FWD61
-
J Juste DEF5
-
I Fresneda DEF3
-
R Esgaio DEF2
-
R Ribeiro FWD1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15636
A TrubinÁngel Di MaríaO KökcüO Kökcü
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK15
-
V Pavlidis FWD1542
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1421
5
-
O Kökcü MID1423
6
-
Ángel Di María FWD1463
3
-
A Bah DEF131
1
-
T Araújo DEF131
-
F Aursnes MID1312
-
Florentino MID132
1
-
N Otamendi DEF1212
1
-
L Barreiro MID11
2
-
J Beste DEF101
2
-
A Cabral FWD91
1
-
B Rollheiser FWD911
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD951
1
-
A Silva DEF711
1
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD61
-
R Sanches  MID5
1
-
I Kaboré DEF3
-
M Leonardo FWD31
-
J Mário MID2
1
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID1
-