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Sporting Farense v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Dec, 15:30 BST, Estadio de Sao Luis, Faro

Rui Manuel Gomes Borges pays counterpart José Albano Ferreira da Mota a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Liga NOS, as their Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting Farense sides go head to head at the Estadio de Sao Luis. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Sporting Farense and V. Guimaraes go head-to-head, with little to choose between the players in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics do not provide any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.73 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Sporting Farense and V. Guimaraes an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sporting Farense
22%
7/2
4%
10/3
2%
Draw
27%
13/5
3%
13/5
V. Guimaraes
50%
4/5
2%
5/6
2%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
15%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw 0-0
11%
8/17/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Sporting Farense 1-0
9%
10/117/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Sporting Farense 2-1
5%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
5%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
14/112/1
Sporting Farense 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
V. Guimaraes 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Sporting Farense 3-1
1%
40/125/1
V. Guimaraes 4-1
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
21/20
1%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
3/4
1%
7/10
Home 1st Goal
40%
15/8-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/15-
No 1st Goal
7%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
19/2019/20
3%
BTTS - No
57%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
8%
8/17/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
18%
3/1
8%
3/1
Home/draw
50%
19/20
2%
19/20
Away/draw
78%
2/11
2%
1/5
Home/away
73%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/37/20
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
9/42/1
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
11/413/5
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/112/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/1
11%
7/1
Home DNB
42%
9/421/10
Away DNB
69%
1/31/3
Sporting Farense win to nil
14%
6/1-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
33%
7/4
8%
-
Sporting Farense / Sporting Farense
11%
13/211/2
Sporting Farense / V. Guimaraes
4%
22/118/1
Sporting Farense / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Sporting Farense
9%
8/115/2
Draw / V. Guimaraes
18%
7/217/5
2%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
V. Guimaraes / Sporting Farense
2%
40/128/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
28%
15/8
4%
9/5
2%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Sporting Farense have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Sporting Farense have conceded 20 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sporting Farense have played 7 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 6th place on 23 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 8 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Benfica1512212938 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 30
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon1512123337 
l
 
0-5A
Feb 2
Jan 3
May 17
3
Porto1512122737 
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
4
Braga158431128 
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
Feb 16
w
 
0-2F
5
Santa Clara15906127 
May 17
Jan 5
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
6
V. Guimaraes A15654423 
Dec 29
May 11
-
-
7
Casa Pia15555-220 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
8
Moreirense15627-320 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 19
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
9
Famalicao15474119 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
10
Gil Vicente15456-717 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
11
Rio Ave15447-1116 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
12
Estrela Amadora15438-1115 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
Mar 16
d
 
2-2F
13
Estoril15357-1214 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
14
AVS15276-1113 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
15
Nacional15348-1113 
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 4
16
Boavista15267-912 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
17
Sporting Farense H15339-1212 
-
-
May 11
Dec 29
18
Arouca153210-1711 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
5
V. Guimaraes have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Sporting Farense 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
V. Guimaraes 6TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Sporting Farense's defensive record is very strong, J. Ferreira da Mota's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Vitoria Guimaraes makes sense in this context.

Sporting Farense 17th V. Guimaraes 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Sporting Farense scoring 1 goal or less
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Sporting Farense have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285199/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sporting Farense
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
0.8
1.4
Attack rating
FAR
GUI
36%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score7
4
Scored first6
8
Goals scored9
20
Avg. goals scored0.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal14
7
Conversion rate for7
15
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
FAR
GUI
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded21
16
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1
KickOff rating
+12%

Sporting Farense v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Sporting Farense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15216
R VelhoD PovedaPastorNeto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Velho GLK15
-
C Falcão MID14
3
1
Neto MID14
6
-
L Áfrico DEF13
5
-
Pastor DEF131
1
-
D Poveda FWD1321
1
-
M Moreno DEF12
2
-
M. Miranda Oliveira Menino MID121
2
-
E Baldé FWD1211
1
-
Álex Bermejo FWD111
2
-
A Jorge DEF9
3
-
M Matias FWD921
-
D Poloni DEF71
-
F Soares MID7
1
-
R Barbosa MID7
1
-
Álex Millán FWD7
1
-
T Tómané FWD71
1
-
G. Bastos Almeida MID6
-
R Silva DEF51
3
-
R. Boaventura Morais DEF51
-
J. Gomes Pinto FWD5
-
Talys DEF3
-
A Seruca MID2
-
J Velásquez MID21
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15334
B VarelaN OliveiraN OliveiraT Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK15
3
-
J Mendes DEF15
3
-
T Händel  MID151
3
-
N Santos MID1521
2
-
Samu MID151
-
N Oliveira FWD1433
3
-
K César FWD1412
2
-
T Silva MID1323
3
1
J Mendes MID121
1
-
Manu MID1211
2
-
Chuchu FWD1221
-
T Borevkovic DEF11
2
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD113
3
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
T Arcanjo MID10
1
-
A Baio DEF8
-
M Villanueva DEF8
4
-
Z Carlos DEF6
-
O Rivas DEF51
1
-
J Fernandes DEF5
-
R Mangas DEF4
-
T Ribeiro DEF41
-
Bica FWD2
-