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Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 18:00 BST, Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Luís Carlos Batalha Freire's Rio Ave side are on home soil in the Liga NOS on Saturday evening, as Ruben Amorim's Sporting Lisbon arrive at the Estadio Dos Arcos. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

This is a fixture that really only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the hosts, that way is S. Lisbon's. We predict Saturday's visitors to Estadio Dos Arcos will claim victory, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from bookies too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and are offering a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 64% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
18%
9/1
11%
9/1
Draw
19%
19/4
10%
5/1
S. Lisbon
64%
1/4
4%
1/4
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
7/1
S. Lisbon 2-0
8%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
8%
10/18/1
5%
S. Lisbon 1-0
7%
8/1
6%
13/2
S. Lisbon 3-0
6%
7/1
6%
13/2
Draw 2-2
6%
20/116/1
Rio Ave 2-1
5%
28/1
26%
20/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
11%
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
11/1
8%
9/1
Rio Ave 1-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/114/1
S. Lisbon 4-2
3%
33/122/1
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
19/40
3%
10/21
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
8/5
8%
6/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/2
4%
3/1
Away 1st Goal
56%
1/5
2%
1/4
No 1st Goal
1%
16/114/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
19/20
2%
19/20
3%
BTTS - No
37%
4/5
6%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
16/1
13%
14/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/1
8%
6/1
BTTS - Away Win
36%
7/417/10
2%
Home/draw
36%
11/4
10%
11/4
1%
Away/draw
82%
1/16
1%
1/20
Home/away
81%
1/7
3%
1/8
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/71/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
9/24/1
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
6/5
2%
23/20
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
8/13
3%
8/13
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
11/4
6%
13/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1/4
2%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
6/1
13%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/10
2%
1/10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/80
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
Home DNB
31%
8/1
29%
7/1
Away DNB
77%
1/14
3%
1/16
Rio Ave win to nil
6%
18/1
12%
-
S. Lisbon win to nil
28%
11/10
5%
-
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
5%
18/1
27%
12/1
Rio Ave / S. Lisbon
5%
18/116/1
Rio Ave / Draw
4%
20/118/1
Draw / Rio Ave
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Draw
10%
8/1
13%
7/1
S. Lisbon / Rio Ave
2%
40/140/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
46%
4/5
6%
3/4
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
18/116/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league. Rio Ave are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 22 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

S. Lisbon lay in 1st place on 41 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 48 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 9 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Away1713223441 
Jan 18
l
 
3-1A
-
-
2
Porto1713132940 
Feb 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
3
Benfica1712232738 
Mar 16
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 11
4
Braga179441131 
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
Apr 6
w
 
2-4A
5
Santa Clara171016231 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
6
V. Guimaraes17674425 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
May 17
d
 
4-4F
7
Casa Pia17665-124 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 30
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
8
Moreirense17647-322 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
9
Famalicao17485020 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 9
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
10
Rio Ave Home17557-1020 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
11
Gil Vicente17476-719 
May 17
d
 
1-1A
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
12
Estoril17467-1018 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
13
Nacional17449-1016 
w
 
2-1F
May 11
Jan 25
w
 
1-6F
14
Estrela Amadora17449-1316 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-1F
Mar 30
15
AVS17296-1115 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
16
Arouca174310-1515 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 9
Feb 16
w
 
0-3F
17
Sporting Farense17359-1214 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Feb 2
w
 
0-5F
18
Boavista17269-1512 
Apr 6
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
Win / draw / win form
20
Rio Ave have not lost in 20 consecutive home league games
Rio Ave 10TH
20 league games
Home
20
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 1Famalicao
Rio Ave2 - 2Estoril
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Sporting Farense
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave3 - 0Gil Vicente
Rio Ave0 - 0Braga
Rio Ave3 - 3S. Lisbon
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 1Estoril
Rio Ave2 - 0Portimonense
Rio Ave1 - 1Vizela
Rio Ave1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave2 - 0Boavista
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
HRio Ave2 - 1Nacional
ARio Ave0 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave0 - 1Santa Clara
HRio Ave3 - 2Moreirense
ARio Ave2 - 0Boavista
HRio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 5Benfica
HRio Ave1 - 1Famalicao
ARio Ave0 - 4Braga
HRio Ave2 - 2Estoril
ARio Ave0 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 0Arouca
ARio Ave0 - 2Porto
HRio Ave1 - 0Sporting Farense
ARio Ave1 - 3S. Lisbon
HRio Ave1 - 1Benfica
ARio Ave2 - 2Portimonense
HRio Ave2 - 1V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 1S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 4S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Rio Ave3 - 3S. Lisbon
Moreirense0 - 2S. Lisbon
Vizela2 - 5S. Lisbon
Chaves0 - 3S. Lisbon
Portimonense1 - 2S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon4 - 4V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Moreirense
HS. Lisbon0 - 1Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Famalicao
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Arouca
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Sporting Farense
AS. Lisbon6 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
S. Lisbon have not lost to Rio Ave in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Rio Ave since 2015
Rio Ave
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
9
14
Games: Scored
5 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
3 / 8
RIO
1
D
2
SCL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1S. Lisbon
0 - 2S. Lisbon
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave3 - 1
1 - 2S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
17
5
Games: Scored
8 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
1 / 9
RIO
1
D
2
SCL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon3 - 1
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their clash with Rio Ave, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 28 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Rio Ave 10th S. Lisbon 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Rio Ave have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+26
S. Lisbon have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
2.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285215/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.2
2.4
Attack rating
RIO
SCL
44%
better
view stats
Games scored11
15
Failed to score6
2
Scored first7
14
Goals scored18
48
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.8
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.1
2.2
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
RIO
SCL
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
8
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first10
2
Goals conceded28
14
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.6
KickOff rating
+41%

Rio Ave v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17925
A SantosClaytonClaytonClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Santos DEF17
3
-
Clayton FWD1792
5
-
J Novais MID16
1
-
T Morais FWD161
1
-
M Vrousai  FWD1612
3
-
K Bondoso FWD1611
-
O Richards DEF141
2
-
B Aguilera MID142
2
-
O Pohlmann MID131
-
Amine MID13
2
-
P William DEF121
4
1
F Ronaldo FWD121
-
C Miszta GLK9
-
A Hassan FWD91
3
-
Jhonatan GLK8
1
-
R Pantalon DEF8
1
-
J Tomé DEF7
-
J Panzo DEF7
2
-
V Gomes MID51
-
J Graça MID4
-
F. Petrasso DEF2
1
-
T. Medina FWD2
-
M Nóbrega DEF1
-
K. Zoabi FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
172183
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Reis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Quenda FWD1712
1
-
F Trincão FWD1768
-
V Gyökeres FWD17212
2
-
G Catamo  FWD1632
2
-
M Reis DEF151
3
-
H Morita MID1523
1
-
O Diomande DEF14
1
-
Z Debast DEF141
-
M Hjulmand MID1411
2
-
G Inácio DEF1212
3
-
D Bragança  MID1233
3
-
F Israel GLK11
1
-
M Vilches FWD1111
2
-
E Quaresma DEF10
-
P Gonçalves FWD844
2
-
J Juste DEF7
1
-
N Santos MID7
-
V Kovacevic GLK6
-
M Edwards FWD61
-
I Fresneda DEF5
1
-
R Esgaio DEF2
-
R Ribeiro FWD1
-