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FC Porto v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 24th Feb, 20:15 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto and their manager Martin Svedik will be looking to get one over on Massimo Pavanel and his Vitoria Guimaraes side on Monday night, as the pair clash at the Estádio do Dragão in the Liga NOS. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Porto to win

We're predicting Porto will claim victory after 90 minutes on Monday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Estádio do Dragão.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
62%
13/20
2%
13/20
Draw
23%
11/4
1%
14/5
V. Guimaraes
15%
17/4
5%
17/4
Porto 1-0
15%
5/119/4
Porto 2-0
13%
6/16/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Porto 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
Porto 3-0
7%
11/19/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Porto 3-1
5%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 2-1
4%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
18/114/1
Porto 4-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Porto 4-1
2%
28/120/1
V. Guimaraes 2-0
2%
25/118/1
Porto 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Porto 5-0
1%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
21/20
3%
1/1
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
3/4
3%
8/11
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
36%
9/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
1/121/20
BTTS - No
58%
3/48/11
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/114/5
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
6%
10/117/2
Home/draw
85%
1/6
3%
2/13
Away/draw
38%
6/5
2%
6/5
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/3
2%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
9/4
4%
21/10
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
11/4
7%
5/2
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/4
3%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1
14%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/11
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
10%
15/2
Home DNB
78%
2/92/9
Away DNB
31%
3/111/4
Porto win to nil
40%
6/4-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
9%
8/1-
Porto / Porto
31%
8/56/4
Porto / V. Guimaraes
2%
40/133/1
Porto / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Porto
19%
10/316/5
Draw / V. Guimaraes
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
V. Guimaraes / Porto
4%
22/118/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 46 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

V. Guimaraes are in 7th position in the Liga NOS on 31 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 1. V. Guimaraes have conceded 10 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2216424152 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
4-4A
May 17
2
Benfica2216243250 
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
3
Porto Home2214442846 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 24
4
Braga2213541844 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
5
Santa Clara221228238 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
6
Casa Pia22967133 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
Mar 2
d
 
1-1A
7
V. Guimaraes A227105531 
Feb 24
w
 
0-3F
-
-
8
Estoril22877-631 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Famalicao226106028 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
10
Moreirense227510-526 
May 4
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
11
Rio Ave22688-1226 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
12
Arouca226610-1324 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Nacional226511-923 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 4
14
Gil Vicente225710-1122 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
15
Estrela Amadora225512-1520 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
Mar 16
d
 
2-2F
16
AVS223109-1519 
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Sporting Farense223613-1815 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 11
d
 
2-2A
18
Boavista222614-2312 
w
 
4-0F
May 11
d
 
2-2F
Mar 9
Win / draw / win form
14
Porto have not lost in 14 consecutive home league games
8
V. Guimaraes have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Home
14
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
V. Guimaraes 7TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
22
8
Games: Scored
9 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
0 / 9
PTO
7
GUI
2
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Porto
Goals: Scored
5
15
Games: Scored
4 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
6 / 10
PTO
8
D
1
GUI
1
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday night, not least because Vitoria Guimaraes have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.7 for Martin Svedik's side suggests that run should continue.

Porto 3rd V. Guimaraes 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
There is a 82% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of V. Guimaraes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Porto have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-10
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285255/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.7
0.7
Attack rating
30%
better
PTO
GUI
view stats
Games scored20
15
Failed to score2
7
Scored first14
10
Goals scored46
30
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
22%
better
PTO
GUI
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets12
8
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded18
25
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+22%

Porto v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221357
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaM. Moreira Moutinho FernandesO Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK22
-
Pepê FWD2132
1
-
A Varela MID202
6
-
S Eustaquio MID19
6
-
D Namaso FWD193
2
-
G Borges FWD1821
4
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD18133
3
1
N Pérez DEF1711
5
-
J Mário DEF163
5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF165
2
-
F Moura DEF1515
-
O Silva DEF152
7
-
F Vieira MID1513
4
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1333
3
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF10
1
-
A Franco MID101
2
-
D Gül FWD81
-
T Djaló DEF7
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-
Zaidu  DEF1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22447
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK22
4
-
N Santos MID2232
4
-
Samu MID2221
1
-
J Mendes DEF21
7
-
T Händel  MID2111
3
-
J Mendes MID202
1
-
T Silva MID2034
4
1
N Oliveira FWD1933
4
-
T Arcanjo MID1712
3
-
T Borevkovic DEF16
4
-
Chuchu FWD1621
-
M Villanueva DEF13
5
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD134
3
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF91
3
-
Maga DEF6
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD62
-
V. Félix FWD4
-
U Embaló FWD2
-
Hevertton DEF1
-
Beni MID1
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-