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FC Porto v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Natanael João Pereira Costa is aiming for a precious away win in the Liga NOS on Monday night, as he takes his Casa Pia side to the Estádio do Dragão to visit FC Porto and Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

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FC Porto's next match is v Famalicao at 20:30 on Saturday 7th December
Casa Pia's next match is v AVS at 18:00 on Sunday 8th December
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Porto and Casa Pia was on Monday 2nd December 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
December 2nd 2024
Porto 2
0 Casa Pia
 
F. Ferreira Vieira 51'
S. Omorodion Aghehowa 55'
 
PTO
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
8
6
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
PortoCasa Pia
 
D. Meireles Costa
F. Moura
N. Pérez
J. Neto Lopes (M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes 78')
Otavio Ataide
N. González Iglesias
F. Ferreira Vieirafootball icon (V. Cardoso Sousa 79')
S. Antunes Eustáquio
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno (G. Albuquerque Borges 87')
E. Aquino Cossa (D. Loader 90')
S. Omorodion Aghehowafootball icon
P. Sequeira Mejías
R. Kluivert
J. Goulart Silva
(F. Benaissa-Yahia 81') L. Cruz Lelo
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
D. Tchamba Bangou
(M. Svensson Río 65') B. Mambuene Mukendi
(M. Ferreira de Sousa 81') T. Segovia Pérez
J. Livolant
(R. Brito 65') N. Rocha Moreira
(H. Martins Pereira 65') C. Dias Moreira

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Porto. Their recent form statistics show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Casa Pia too. The odds point towards Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Monday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
77%
2/11
2%
2/11
2%
Draw
15%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
Casa Pia
7%
16/1
42%
14/1
15%
Porto 2-0
15%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Porto 1-0
12%
7/1
6%
11/2
7%
Porto 3-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Porto 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Draw 1-1
7%
12/111/1
9%
Porto 4-0
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
Porto 3-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Porto 4-1
4%
16/112/1
Porto 5-0
3%
16/112/1
13%
Casa Pia 1-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Draw 2-2
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Casa Pia 2-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Porto 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Porto 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/158/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
7/511/8
3%
Home 1st Goal
65%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
32%
9/2
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
5/4
7%
13/10
7%
BTTS - No
60%
4/7
6%
11/20
4%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
21/10
3%
21/10
8%
BTTS - Draw
10%
8/1
6%
8/1
13%
BTTS - Away Win
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Home/draw
93%
1/40
3%
1/40
1%
Away/draw
23%
7/2
4%
18/5
5%
Home/away
85%
1/10
1%
1/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/61/6
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/118/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
5/4
6%
13/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/7
3%
11/20
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/129/10
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/92/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/16/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/121/12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/80
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Home DNB
88%
1/20
1%
1/33
1%
Away DNB
18%
10/1
10%
9/1
Porto win to nil
51%
4/5
2%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
4%
20/1
11%
-
Porto / Porto
49%
4/68/13
2%
Porto / Casa Pia
1%
50/150/1
Porto / Draw
4%
20/120/1
11%
Draw / Porto
21%
11/429/10
Draw / Casa Pia
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Draw / Draw
9%
17/2
6%
8/1
6%
Casa Pia / Porto
4%
18/1
11%
18/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
Casa Pia / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto have won all their 9 games against teams below them in the table and kept 7 clean sheets in those games. Porto have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Porto have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 6 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 13 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1211013333 
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Porto 1210022230 
-
-
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica119112328 
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
4
Santa Clara12804324 
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
5
Braga12723923 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
May 11
Dec 29
6
V. Guimaraes12633521 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
7
Famalicao12453217 
Apr 19
Dec 7
Jan 5
May 17
8
Moreirense12525017 
May 4
Dec 21
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
9
Rio Ave12435-915 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
10
Casa Pia 12345-613 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
-
-
11
Estoril12345-713 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
Apr 27
Dec 15
12
Boavista12246-810 
Dec 28
May 11
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
13
Gil Vicente12246-910 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
14
AVS12246-1110 
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
Dec 8
Apr 19
15
Nacional11236-99 
May 17
Jan 3
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
16
Estrela Amadora12237-119 
Dec 16
Apr 27
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
17
Sporting Farense12228-128 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
18
Arouca12228-158 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
Dec 20
May 4
Win / draw / win form
Porto 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2Famalicao
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto4 - 1Vizela
Porto5 - 0Benfica
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto0 - 0Rio Ave
Porto5 - 0Moreirense
Porto2 - 0Braga
Porto1 - 0Chaves
Porto3 - 1Casa Pia
Porto0 - 1Estoril
Porto1 - 0Portimonense
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto1 - 4Benfica
HPorto4 - 0Estoril
APorto5 - 0AVS
HPorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto2 - 1Sporting Farense
APorto0 - 2S. Lisbon
HPorto2 - 0Rio Ave
APorto2 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0Braga
HPorto2 - 1Boavista
APorto3 - 0Chaves
HPorto2 - 2S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 1Casa Pia
HPorto2 - 2Famalicao
HPorto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
APorto0 - 1Estoril
HPorto4 - 1Vizela
Casa Pia 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Portimonense2 - 2Casa Pia
Vizela0 - 4Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense1 - 4Casa Pia
Chaves1 - 3Casa Pia
Porto3 - 1Casa Pia
Estoril4 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica1 - 1Casa Pia
Gil Vicente2 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Chaves
HCasa Pia1 - 2Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 2Portimonense
HCasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
ACasa Pia4 - 0Vizela
HCasa Pia0 - 1Benfica
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for FC Porto in their clash with Casa Pia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Porto 2nd Casa Pia 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
56%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Casa Pia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+32
Casa Pia have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285161/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
2.4
0.6
Attack rating
49%
better
PTO
view stats
Games scored10
7
Failed to score1
4
Scored first9
4
Goals scored28
10
Avg. goals scored2.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for21
11
Avg. XG for2
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
45%
better
PTO
view stats
Games conceded4
9
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first2
7
Goals conceded8
14
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%

Porto v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12943
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraO Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK12
-
J Mário DEF103
2
-
N Pérez DEF8
1
-
O Silva DEF6
3
-
F Moura DEF84
-
N González  MID1232
3
-
S Eustaquio MID10
2
-
Pepê MID1132
1
-
F Vieira MID611
1
-
Galeno MID118
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD991
1
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK
-
T Djaló DEF3
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF104
1
-
V Sousa MID7
1
-
I Jaime MID522
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID31
1
-
D Namaso FWD112
1
-
D Gül FWD21
-
G Borges FWD91
2
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12424
J GoulartCassianoN MoreiraG Larrazabal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK11
2
-
J Goulart DEF12
1
-
R Kluivert DEF81
3
-
D Tchamba  DEF51
2
-
G Larrazabal MID11
3
1
T Segovia MID10
3
-
Beni MID7
1
-
L Lelo MID121
-
J Livolant FWD5
-
Cassiano FWD74
1
-
N Moreira FWD1122
-
Subs
R Batista GLK1
1
A Geraldes DEF11
1
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
R Brito MID9
3
-
A Kraev MID8
3
-
M Sousa MID9
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD121
1
-