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Moreirense v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Mar, 20:30 BST, Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

Cesar Peixoto's Moreirense side enjoy home advantage in the Liga NOS on Sunday night, as Massimo Pavanel's Vitoria Guimaraes arrive at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Moreirense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Moreirense
36%
13/55/2
10%
Draw
28%
21/1011/5
2%
V. Guimaraes
36%
23/206/5
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0
11%
5/19/2
Moreirense 1-0
11%
7/113/2
6%
Draw 0-0
10%
6/111/2
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Moreirense 2-1
8%
12/110/1
8%
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
8/115/2
6%
Moreirense 2-0
7%
16/112/1
13%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
20/116/1
13%
Moreirense 3-1
3%
33/125/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
3%
20/114/1
Moreirense 3-0
3%
40/128/1
15%
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Moreirense 3-2
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
6/47/5
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
1/21/2
2%
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/5-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
11/1023/20
BTTS - No
53%
4/613/20
BTTS - Home Win
14%
15/213/2
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/217/4
9%
Home/draw
64%
4/64/6
5%
Away/draw
64%
2/73/10
4%
Home/away
72%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/910/21
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/86/4
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
4/118/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/61/6
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
10/117/2
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/201/25
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/118/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1001/500
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/101/11
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/111/2
Home DNB
55%
6/411/8
9%
Away DNB
56%
1/21/2
7%
Moreirense win to nil
21%
9/2-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
22%
9/4-
Moreirense / Moreirense
14%
5/19/2
8%
Moreirense / V. Guimaraes
3%
28/122/1
Moreirense / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Moreirense
11%
6/16/1
7%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
16%
4/14/1
9%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/316/5
V. Guimaraes / Moreirense
2%
40/128/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
23%
13/512/5
6%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Moreirense have conceded 24 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Moreirense have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 6th place on 41 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 13 away games, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Moreirense
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2619524762 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
d
 
4-4A
May 17
2
Benfica2519243959 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
3
Porto2616553153 
l
 
0-3A
May 4
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga2616552053 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
5
Santa Clara261349243 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
6
V. Guimaraes A2610115941 
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
-
-
7
Casa Pia2610610-336 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
8
Estoril26998-736 
May 11
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Famalicao268108034 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
10
Moreirense Home268711-631 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
11
Nacional268513-1029 
Apr 27
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 4
12
Rio Ave267811-1429 
Apr 13
l
 
3-2A
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
13
Arouca267811-1429 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 6
w
 
4-0F
Apr 13
15
Estrela Amadora265813-1723 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
16
AVS2641111-1723 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
May 11
d
 
2-2A
18
Boavista263617-2715 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
3
V. Guimaraes have won 3 consecutive league games
7
V. Guimaraes have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Moreirense 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
V. Guimaraes 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
11
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Moreirense since 2016
Moreirense
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
10
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
MOR
2
D
2
GUI
4
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
14
3
Games: Scored
9 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
0 / 9
D
1
GUI
8
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, Massimo Pavanel's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Moreirense makes sense in this context.

Moreirense 10th V. Guimaraes 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Moreirense have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285287/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Moreirense
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
MOR
GUI
7%
better
view stats
Games scored19
19
Failed to score7
7
Scored first10
12
Goals scored31
36
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
MOR
GUI
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
16
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first14
12
Goals conceded37
27
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+22%

Moreirense v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25637
KewinAlanzinhoL NlavoMarcelo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Nlavo FWD2653
1
-
Kewin GLK25
4
-
Marcelo DEF25
7
-
Ismael MID2511
6
-
M Maracás DEF2411
4
-
S Tavares MID2411
4
1
Alanzinho MID2463
4
-
Bernardo FWD2421
3
-
G Frimpong DEF232
5
-
G Schettine FWD2343
3
-
D Pinto DEF2121
4
-
L Ofori MID2111
1
-
J Antonisse FWD21
2
-
P. Costa Santos FWD20
4
-
I Rodrigues FWD71
2
-
L Buta DEF6
2
-
C Teguia FWD5
1
-
G. Liberato Tomas Aquino MID4
-
J Jorquera FWD4
-
C Secco GLK1
-
Michel DEF1
-
G Batista DEF1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26449
B VarelaT SilvaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK26
4
-
Samu MID2621
2
-
J Mendes DEF25
9
-
T Händel  MID2521
3
-
N Santos MID2533
5
-
J Mendes MID242
2
-
T Silva MID2444
4
1
N Oliveira FWD2334
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2122
3
-
T Borevkovic DEF20
4
-
Chuchu FWD1721
-
M Villanueva DEF14
6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD134
3
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
Maga DEF10
1
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
V. Félix FWD8
1
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD82
-
U Embaló FWD621
-
F Relvas DEF4
-
Hevertton DEF4
-
Beni MID2
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-