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Estrela Amadora v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 18:00 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon on Saturday evening, as bosses Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins and Piero Braglia face one another at the Estádio José Gomes. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
21%
8/115/2
Draw
22%
4/117/4
S. Lisbon
57%
1/37/20
Draw 1-1
10%
17/28/1
6%
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
15/213/2
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
6/15/1
8%
S. Lisbon 2-0
9%
11/25/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
6%
11/19/1
S. Lisbon 3-0
6%
15/213/2
6%
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
22/118/1
Draw 2-2
6%
20/116/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0
5%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
8%
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
28/120/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
3%
20/114/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
3%
40/128/1
S. Lisbon 4-0
3%
14/111/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
50/145/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
7/107/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
11/1021/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
10/3-
Away 1st Goal
55%
1/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
21/2011/10
2%
BTTS - No
42%
7/104/6
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
14/112/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
11/211/2
BTTS - Away Win
29%
11/511/5
3%
Home/draw
43%
9/411/5
3%
Away/draw
79%
1/141/14
Home/away
78%
1/61/6
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
3/129/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
7/47/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
2/52/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/62/13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10/117/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/201/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
8%
Home DNB
36%
11/211/2
8%
Away DNB
72%
1/91/11
1%
Estrela Amadora win to nil
9%
12/1-
S. Lisbon win to nil
28%
11/10-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
6%
14/111/1
9%
Estrela Amadora / S. Lisbon
4%
20/118/1
12%
Estrela Amadora / Draw
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
5%
16/114/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
21%
11/429/10
3%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
7%
S. Lisbon / Estrela Amadora
2%
50/140/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
41%
1/110/11
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
16/116/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Estrela Amadora have conceded 34 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 1st place on 62 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 70 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 13 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Away2619524762 
Mar 29
l
 
5-1A
-
-
2
Benfica2519243959 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 11
3
Porto2616553153 
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga2616552053 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 7
w
 
2-4A
5
Santa Clara261349243 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
6
V. Guimaraes2610115941 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
May 17
d
 
4-4F
7
Casa Pia2610610-336 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
8
Estoril26998-736 
l
 
2-4A
May 17
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
9
Famalicao268108034 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
10
Moreirense268711-631 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
11
Nacional268513-1029 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
12
Rio Ave267811-1429 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
13
Arouca267811-1429 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
15
Estrela Amadora H265813-1723 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
Mar 29
16
AVS2641111-1723 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
18
Boavista263617-2715 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
Apr 27
Win / draw / win form
3
S. Lisbon have won 3 consecutive league games
5
Estrela Amadora have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
13
S. Lisbon have not lost in 13 consecutive league games
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Estrela Amadora of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday evening against Sporting Lisbon.

Sporting Lisbon have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Estrela Amadora on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Estrela Amadora 15th S. Lisbon 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Estrela Amadora’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
S. Lisbon have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285288/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.3
1.9
Attack rating
SCL
56%
better
view stats
Games scored14
24
Failed to score12
2
Scored first7
22
Goals scored21
70
Avg. goals scored0.8
2.7
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
20
Avg. XG for0.7
2.2
KickOff rating
+56%
Defence rating
SCL
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
15
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first17
3
Goals conceded38
23
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+37%

Estrela Amadora v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23528
NiltonR PinhoNiltonA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD255
6
-
Kikas FWD245
3
-
Nilton DEF232
4
-
L Bucca MID2221
7
-
R Lima DEF212
2
-
P. Valente Moreira MID211
3
-
A Ruiz MID212
8
-
L Cordeiro MID1911
2
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF181
4
-
J Cabral FWD1811
2
-
M Keliano MID171
6
-
Ferro DEF14
4
-
I Dramé DEF141
1
-
M Lopes DEF131
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD7
-
Andorinha GLK6
-
C Banza FWD61
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF5
1
-
R Pantalon DEF4
-
Amine MID4
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD3
1
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
S. Commey DEF1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
D Cabral MID11
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2628117
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Quenda FWD2614
3
-
F Trincão FWD26811
1
-
V Gyökeres FWD25285
2
-
O Diomande DEF242
4
2
Z Debast DEF233
2
-
M Reis DEF222
4
1
M Hjulmand MID2222
5
1
G Catamo  FWD2242
2
-
M Vilches MID2112
6
1
C Harder FWD2154
-
G Inácio DEF2032
5
-
H Morita MID1923
1
-
D Bragança  MID1834
3
-
I Fresneda DEF143
2
-
E Quaresma DEF12
-
F Israel GLK11
1
-
R Silva GLK9
1
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID91
-
J Juste DEF8
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD844
2
-
R Esgaio DEF7
-
N Santos MID7
-
Biel  FWD1
-