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Estrela Amadora v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 20:30 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

Estrela Amadora and FC Porto clash at the Estádio José Gomes on Saturday night, with both Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins and Martin Svedik hoping for success in the Liga NOS. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Estrela Amadora and Porto have delivered a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
22%
13/2-
Draw
25%
7/2-
Porto
53%
2/5-
Porto 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
8/1-
Porto 2-0
10%
11/2-
Porto 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
16/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
6%
20/1-
Porto 3-0
5%
8/1-
Porto 3-1
5%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
3%
40/1-
Porto 3-2
2%
28/1-
Porto 4-0
2%
16/1-
Porto 4-1
2%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
41%
3/1-
Away 1st Goal
54%
2/7-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
21/20-
BTTS - No
52%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
14/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
12/5-
Home/draw
47%
7/4-
Away/draw
78%
1/10-
Home/away
75%
2/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Home DNB
39%
5/1-
Away DNB
71%
1/8-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
12%
12/1-
Porto win to nil
32%
6/5-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
6%
12/1-
Estrela Amadora / Porto
4%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
6%
14/1-
Draw / Porto
21%
3/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Porto / Estrela Amadora
2%
40/1-
Porto / Porto
39%
11/10-
Porto / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Estrela Amadora have conceded 37 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 4th place on 59 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 15 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2922344669 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
3
Braga2918652460 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Porto Away2918563059 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
-
-
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
7
Famalicao2911108743 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
8
Casa Pia2911711-340 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Estoril2910910-839 
l
 
2-4A
May 17
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Moreirense299812-735 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 2
w
 
0-3F
11
Nacional299515-1132 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
12
Rio Ave298813-1532 
w
 
1-0F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Arouca297913-1630 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
15
Estrela Amadora H296815-2026 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
16
AVS2941114-2623 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista294619-2818 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Porto 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Estrela Amadora of late. It has been 8 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against FC Porto.

Estrela Amadora 15th Porto 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Estrela Amadora have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285320/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.9
1.6
Attack rating
PTO
49%
better
view stats
Games scored15
26
Failed to score14
3
Scored first8
18
Goals scored22
55
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
17
Avg. XG for0.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
PTO
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
14
Clean sheets6
15
Conceded first19
11
Goals conceded42
25
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+32%

Estrela Amadora v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24529
NiltonR PinhoNiltonA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD275
6
-
Kikas FWD2651
3
-
Nilton DEF252
4
-
L Bucca MID2421
8
-
R Lima DEF222
2
1
A Ruiz MID222
9
-
P. Valente Moreira MID221
3
-
L Cordeiro MID2111
3
-
J Cabral FWD2021
2
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF191
4
-
M Keliano MID191
7
-
Ferro DEF15
5
-
I Dramé DEF151
1
-
M Lopes DEF141
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD9
-
Andorinha GLK8
-
C Banza FWD81
3
-
R Pantalon DEF6
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF6
2
1
Amine MID5
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD3
1
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
S. Commey DEF2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
D Cabral MID11
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281679
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraN Pérez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK28
-
A Varela MID262
7
-
S Eustaquio MID25
6
-
Pepê FWD2532
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD24163
3
1
D Namaso FWD2431
2
-
G Borges FWD2322
6
-
N Pérez DEF2211
9
-
F Moura DEF2117
1
-
J Mário DEF213
5
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF205
4
-
F Vieira MID2043
5
-
O Silva DEF182
8
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1753
3
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF14
1
-
A Franco MID141
4
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
D Gül FWD111
-
T Djaló DEF8
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD6
-
I Marcano DEF5
-
Zaidu  DEF3
-
M Grujić MID2
-
T Pérez MID2
1
-