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Estrela Amadora v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 9th Dec, 20:15 BST, Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici

Arouca, led by manager Daniel Sousa, visit Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins and his Estrela Amadora side at the Estádio José Gomes da Costa on Monday night in the Liga NOS. We have odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estrela Amadora are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
48%
31/2029/20
Draw
26%
9/421/10
Arouca
27%
9/58/5
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
9%
11/110/1
Arouca 1-0
8%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
7%
15/27/1
Arouca 2-1
7%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
5%
20/116/1
Estrela Amadora 3-0
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Arouca 2-0
4%
12/110/1
Estrela Amadora 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Arouca 3-1
2%
22/116/1
Estrela Amadora 4-1
2%
50/133/1
Arouca 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
23/20
3%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/6
3%
7/10
Home 1st Goal
52%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/115/6
BTTS - No
48%
10/1110/11
BTTS - Home Win
21%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/117/4
Home/draw
73%
2/54/9
Away/draw
52%
1/21/2
Home/away
74%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
4/117/20
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2/12/1
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/113/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/91/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/141/12
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/27/1
Home DNB
66%
4/54/5
Away DNB
44%
10/1110/11
Estrela Amadora win to nil
27%
3/1-
Arouca win to nil
14%
7/2-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
19%
10/33/1
Estrela Amadora / Arouca
3%
28/122/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Arouca
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/418/5
Arouca / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/122/1
Arouca / Arouca
18%
15/410/3
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Liga NOS league table. Estrela Amadora have a shocking record against teams below them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below in the table, having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Estrela Amadora have outscored their opponents by 10 goals to 6 goals.

Home League Performance

Estrela Amadora have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 9 goals at home.

Arouca are in 18th position in the Liga NOS on 8 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 21 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1211013333 
Mar 30
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
2
Porto1210022230 
Apr 27
Dec 16
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica119112328 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
4
Santa Clara12804324 
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
Dec 15
Apr 27
5
Braga12723923 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
6
V. Guimaraes12633521 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 16
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
7
Famalicao12453217 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
8
Moreirense12525017 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
Jan 24
l
 
3-1F
9
Rio Ave12435-915 
Dec 22
May 4
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
10
Casa Pia12345-613 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
May 4
Dec 20
11
Estoril12345-713 
Jan 5
May 17
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
12
Boavista12246-810 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
May 17
Jan 4
13
Gil Vicente12246-910 
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
Dec 27
May 11
14
AVS12246-1110 
May 11
Dec 28
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
15
Nacional11236-99 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
16
Estrela Amadora 12237-119 
-
-
Apr 19
Dec 9
17
Sporting Farense12228-128 
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
18
Arouca 12228-158 
Dec 9
Apr 19
-
-
Win / draw / win form
6
Arouca have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Estrela Amadora 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Famalicao
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Chaves
Estrela Amadora3 - 0Portimonense
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Benfica
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Vizela
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Boavista
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Moreirense
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Famalicao
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Braga
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
AEstrela Amadora1 - 5S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 3Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3Famalicao
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Vizela
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Boavista
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora2 - 2Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao0 - 0Arouca
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Boavista0 - 4Arouca
Sporting Farense2 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca0 - 2Benfica
AArouca0 - 0Famalicao
HArouca1 - 2Braga
AArouca1 - 4Estoril
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 3Moreirense
HArouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca2 - 1Boavista
AArouca3 - 0Braga
HArouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
bet365
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Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Arouca of late. It has been 15 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Monday night against Estrela Amadora.

Estrela Amadora 16th Arouca 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Estrela Amadora will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Estrela Amadora’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Arouca have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285175/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
7%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score6
6
Scored first2
5
Goals scored10
6
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal11
15
Conversion rate for10
7
Avg. XG for0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
ARO
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded21
21
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+18%

Estrela Amadora v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12424
B BrígidoKikasNiltonA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Brígido GLK12
-
Nilton DEF122
1
-
L Cordeiro MID12
2
-
R Pinho FWD122
-
Kikas FWD124
1
-
L Bucca MID112
3
-
A Ruiz MID111
4
-
D Veiga DEF102
2
-
Nani FWD91
3
-
R Lima DEF7
-
P. Valente Moreira MID71
1
-
A Luiz FWD7
1
-
M Lopes DEF6
2
-
Ferro DEF6
3
-
M Keliano MID6
3
-
C. dos Santos Santana FWD6
1
-
I Dramé DEF5
-
T Cissokho DEF4
1
-
G Rodrigues FWD41
-
Petterson FWD2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
B Mazhar FWD1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12214
N MantlH AraújoA TrezzaB Pinto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK12
2
-
T Esgaio DEF12
2
-
B Pinto MID121
4
-
M Sylla FWD121
2
-
A Trezza FWD1211
2
-
T Fukui MID11
1
-
Jason FWD111
2
-
P Santos MID10
1
-
I Rodrigues FWD101
4
-
J Fontán DEF9
3
-
A Dante DEF8
-
H Araújo FWD82
1
-
V Morozov FWD7
-
Weverson DEF6
1
-
C Lamba DEF6
3
-
G Yalcin FWD51
1
1
M Puche FWD5
-
P Gozálbez MID4
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
1
A Pinto DEF3
-
Quaresma DEF3
1
-
C González FWD21
-
N Galovic DEF1
-