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Estoril v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril and their boss Vasco Seabra will be aiming to beat Ruben Amorim and his Sporting Lisbon side on Saturday evening, as the pair clash at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in the Liga NOS. For every Liga NOS match, KickOff dives into the stats for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estoril and S. Lisbon was on Saturday 11th May 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 11th 2024
Estoril 0
1 S. Lisbon
 
81' J. Dias Fernandes
 
EST
SCL
Shots On
1
6
Shots Off
3
8
Corners
2
9
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
16
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
EstorilS. Lisbon
 
M. Passos Carné
J. Othavio Basso
W. Cardoso Pina (J. Cardoso Santo 85')
P. Costa Álvaro (E. Mangala 79')
B. Cardoso Vital (R. Parra Artal 85')
J. Freitas Silva Marques
V. de Souza Zanocelo
Michel Costa (A. Marqués Méndez 69')
C. Dias Moreira (F. Garcia Andrade 69')
R. Gomes
R. Guitane
D. de Carvalho Pinto
(N. Gomes dos Santos 57') M. Reis de Lima
O. Diomande
(I. Fresneda Corraliza 89') R. Sousa Esgaio
S. Coates Nión
G. Inácio
(J. Dias Fernandes 57') D. Santos Bragança
(K. Koindredi 90') H. Morita
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
V. Gyökeres
(M. Miranda Oliveira Menino 89') P. Pereira Gonçalves
Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

This is a fixture that really only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the hosts, that way is S. Lisbon's. We predict Saturday's visitors to Estádio António Coimbra da Mota will be coming away victorious, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from GB's top bookmakers too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely final result, and are offering a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 62% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
18%
6/1
8%
13/2
Draw
21%
9/2
10%
17/4
S. Lisbon
62%
4/11
3%
4/11
5%
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
S. Lisbon 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Draw 1-1
10%
10/1
10%
8/1
10%
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
6%
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
10/117/2
S. Lisbon 3-0
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
12%
Estoril 2-1
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
11%
Estoril 1-0
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
11%
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
12%
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
S. Lisbon 4-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
8%
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Estoril 2-0
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
15%
S. Lisbon 4-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
19/40
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
8/5
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
13/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
1/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/48/11
1%
BTTS - No
44%
1/11/1
3%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
10/1
10%
10/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
8%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
13/8
9%
8/5
Home/draw
38%
2/1
9%
21/10
9%
Away/draw
82%
1/10
1%
1/12
Home/away
79%
1/7
3%
2/13
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/10
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/4
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/4
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/10
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
12%
-
Home DNB
32%
9/2
10%
19/4
12%
Away DNB
76%
1/7
3%
1/9
1%
Estoril win to nil
8%
14/1
15%
-
S. Lisbon win to nil
32%
6/4
5%
-
Estoril / Estoril
8%
12/1
18%
10/1
8%
Estoril / S. Lisbon
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Estoril / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
21%
Draw / Estoril
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
Draw / S. Lisbon
19%
10/316/5
Draw / Draw
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
12%
S. Lisbon / Estoril
2%
40/133/1
17%
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
39%
1/1
5%
19/20
5%
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
12%
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 6. Estoril have conceded 41 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 16 games at home, winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 1st place on 84 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 27, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 92 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 29 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 16 away games, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Estoril
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
S. Lisbon
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
 S. Lisbon Away3429326790 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
 Benfica3425544980 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Porto3422663672 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
 Braga3421582168 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2F
 V. Guimaraes3419691463 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
 Moreirense3416711155 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-3F
 Arouca3413714446 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Famalicao34101212-442 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Casa Pia3410816-1238 
w
 
8-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-2A
 Sporting Farense3410717-537 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Rio Ave346199-537 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-3F
l
 
5-3A
 Gil Vicente349916-1036 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-4F
-
-
 Estoril Home349619-933 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Estrela Amadora3471215-2033 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
 Boavista3471116-2332 
w
 
6-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Portimonense348818-3332 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
3-3A
 Vizela3451118-3026 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-5A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Chaves345821-4123 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
66
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
S. Lisbon have beaten Estoril in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
S. Lisbon have not lost to Estoril in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
3
7
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
EST
1
SCL
4
All league games since 2015
Estoril
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
7
24
Games: Scored
5 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
6 / 11
EST
1
SCL
10
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is very strong, Ruben Amorim's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Estoril 13th S. Lisbon 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Estoril have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+31
S. Lisbon have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264930/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1
2.1
Attack rating
EST
SCL
40%
better
view stats
Games scored29
34
Failed to score5
0
Scored first16
28
Goals scored49
96
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.8
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate17%
22%
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
EST
SCL
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
18
Clean sheets10
16
Conceded first17
6
Goals conceded58
29
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+36%

Estoril v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31978
R GuitaneA MarquésR GomesJ Marques
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carné GLK22
3
1
J Basso DEF141
2
-
P Álvaro DEF201
6
1
B Vital DEF291
5
1
W. Cardoso Pina MID22
3
-
Michel Costa MID8
-
V Zanocelo MID151
3
-
R Gomes MID3077
5
1
R Guitane MID3353
-
J Marques MID3255
8
-
Cassiano FWD2973
2
-
Subs
D Figueira GLK12
1
-
Volnei DEF212
4
-
E Mangala DEF171
3
-
R Parra DEF1311
1
-
M Ndiaye MID8
2
-
A Marqués FWD3191
3
-
J Carlos FWD192
4
-
H Tavares FWD322
5
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD102
1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32291212
P GonçalvesV GyökeresP GonçalvesM Hjulmand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Pinto GLK2
-
O Diomande DEF2621
6
-
S Coates DEF2941
7
-
G Inácio DEF321
7
-
R Esgaio MID284
7
-
D Bragança  MID2832
2
-
H Morita MID2924
3
-
M Reis MID274
2
-
F Trincão MID3196
1
-
P Gonçalves MID321112
4
-
V Gyökeres FWD332910
3
-
Subs
F Silva GLK1
-
L Neto  DEF7
4
-
I Fresneda DEF5
-
R. da Silva Pontelo DEF1
-
N Santos MID31410
6
-
M. Miranda Oliveira Menino MID1
-
M Hjulmand MID3032
12
-
K Koindredi MID4
-
Paulinho FWD31155
1
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds