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Estoril v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 20:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Ian Cathro's Estoril side enjoy home advantage in the Liga NOS on Saturday night, as Armando Evangelista's Rio Ave visit the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Estoril and Rio Ave have seldom treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Liga NOS individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estoril are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estoril 51%	19/20 3%	21/20
Draw 26%	23/10 2%	12/5 3%
Rio Ave 23%	27/10 3%	27/10 3%
Estoril 1-0 14%	6/1 7%	11/2
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
Estoril 2-0 10%	8/1 5%	15/2
Draw 0-0 9%	17/2	7/1
Estoril 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Rio Ave 1-0 8%	10/1 10%	8/1
Rio Ave 2-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Estoril 3-0 5%	16/1 11%	14/1
Estoril 3-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	12/1
Rio Ave 2-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Estoril 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Estoril 4-0 2%	40/1	25/1
Estoril 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	25/1
Rio Ave 3-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	1/1	19/20 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	4/5	3/4
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	8/5 4%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	4/5	5/6 1%
BTTS - No 54%	19/20	10/11 3%
BTTS - Home Win 19%	10/3	3/1 5%
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 9%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 77%	2/7	2/7
Away/draw 49%	4/5	3/4
Home/away 74%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	3/10	1/3
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	12/5	21/10
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	5/2	12/5
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	2/7	2/7
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	6/1	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/10	1/10 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	16/1	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/40	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/16	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	17/2	15/2
Home DNB 69%	4/9	4/9
Away DNB 41%	13/8	8/5
Estoril win to nil 32%	12/5 3%	-
Rio Ave win to nil 13%	11/2 8%	-
Estoril / Estoril 25%	9/4 4%	11/5 3%
Estoril / Rio Ave 3%	33/1	25/1
Estoril / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1 8%
Draw / Estoril 16%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Rio Ave 10%	7/1 7%	13/2
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	18/5 4%
Rio Ave / Estoril 4%	22/1	18/1
Rio Ave / Rio Ave 14%	5/1	19/4 5%
Rio Ave / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Estoril have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Estoril have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 26 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 29 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Estoril Rio Ave
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	S. Lisbon	22	16	4	2	41	52	l 0-3A	Mar 2	l 0-3A	l 3-1A
2	Benfica	22	16	2	4	32	50	May 4	l 3-0A	Mar 16	l 5-0A
3	Porto	22	14	4	4	28	46	Mar 30	l 4-0A	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
4	Braga	22	13	5	4	18	44	Apr 19	d 2-2A	Mar 2	l 4-0A
5	Santa Clara	22	12	2	8	2	38	l 1-4F	w 2-3F	Apr 19	l 1-0A
6	Casa Pia	22	9	6	7	1	33	l 0-2A	Apr 27	d 2-2A	Mar 30
7	V. Guimaraes	22	7	10	5	5	31	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	Apr 27
8	Estoril Home	22	8	7	7	-6	31	-	-	d 2-2F	Feb 22
9	Famalicao	22	6	10	6	0	28	w 2-1F	Apr 13	d 1-1A	Mar 9
10	Moreirense	22	7	5	10	-5	26	d 2-2A	May 11	w 3-2F	Apr 13
11	Rio Ave Away	22	6	8	8	-12	26	Feb 22	d 2-2A	-	-
12	Arouca	22	6	6	10	-13	24	w 4-1A	Mar 16	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
13	Nacional	22	6	5	11	-9	23	w 1-0F	d 2-2F	w 2-1F	May 11
14	Gil Vicente	22	5	7	10	-11	22	d 0-00-0	w 1-2A	May 17	d 1-1A
15	Estrela Amadora	22	5	5	12	-15	20	May 17	w 2-4F	May 4	l 1-0A
16	AVS	22	3	10	9	-15	19	d 0-00-0	Apr 6	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
17	Sporting Farense	22	3	6	13	-18	15	Mar 9	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	w 1-2F
18	Boavista	22	2	6	14	-23	12	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0	Apr 6	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Estoril have not lost in 7 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril	2 - 1	Boavista
Estoril	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Estoril	2 - 2	Moreirense
Estoril	0 - 2	Casa Pia
Estoril	2 - 1	Famalicao
Estoril	0 - 0	AVS
Estoril	4 - 1	Arouca
Estoril	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Estoril	1 - 0	Nacional
Estoril	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
Estoril	1 - 4	Santa Clara
Estoril	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
Estoril	1 - 0	Famalicao
Estoril	0 - 1	Braga
Estoril	1 - 0	Porto
Estoril	1 - 0	Portimonense
Estoril	1 - 3	V. Guimaraes
Estoril	1 - 3	Gil Vicente
Estoril	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Estoril	1 - 2	Arouca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Nacional
H	Estoril	2 - 1	Boavista
A	Estoril	2 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Estoril	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	Estoril	3 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Estoril	4 - 2	Estrela Amadora
H	Estoril	2 - 2	Moreirense
A	Estoril	0 - 3	Benfica
H	Estoril	0 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Braga
H	Estoril	2 - 1	Famalicao
H	Estoril	0 - 0	AVS
A	Estoril	0 - 4	Porto
H	Estoril	4 - 1	Arouca
A	Estoril	0 - 1	Sporting Farense
H	Estoril	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Rio Ave
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Nacional
A	Estoril	0 - 0	Boavista
H	Estoril	0 - 0	Gil Vicente

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Rio Ave
Gil Vicente	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Santa Clara	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Boavista	0 - 2	Rio Ave
Benfica	5 - 0	Rio Ave
Braga	4 - 0	Rio Ave
AVS	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Porto	2 - 0	Rio Ave
S. Lisbon	3 - 1	Rio Ave
Portimonense	2 - 2	Rio Ave
Vizela	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora	2 - 2	Rio Ave
Boavista	0 - 0	Rio Ave
Sporting Farense	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Moreirense	0 - 0	Rio Ave
Famalicao	2 - 1	Rio Ave
Porto	0 - 0	Rio Ave
Chaves	0 - 0	Rio Ave

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Rio Ave	1 - 1	AVS
A	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Arouca
H	Rio Ave	2 - 2	Porto
A	Rio Ave	2 - 1	Sporting Farense
H	Rio Ave	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Gil Vicente
H	Rio Ave	2 - 1	Nacional
A	Rio Ave	0 - 1	Estrela Amadora
H	Rio Ave	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Rio Ave	0 - 1	Santa Clara
H	Rio Ave	3 - 2	Moreirense
A	Rio Ave	2 - 0	Boavista
H	Rio Ave	2 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Rio Ave	0 - 5	Benfica
H	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Famalicao
A	Rio Ave	0 - 4	Braga
H	Rio Ave	2 - 2	Estoril
A	Rio Ave	0 - 1	AVS
H	Rio Ave	1 - 0	Arouca
A	Rio Ave	0 - 2	Porto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Estoril

Rio Ave

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

2 / 5

EST

RIO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Estoril	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Rio Ave
	0 - 2	Rio Ave
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Rio Ave

Estoril

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

EST

RIO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Rio Ave	2 - 0
Rio Ave	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Estoril
	1 - 3	Estoril

Goal Statistics

Estoril have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Rio Ave on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Estoril 8th	Rio Ave 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Estoril have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	-29 Rio Ave have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season

EST

RIO

better

view stats

Games scored	13		15
Failed to score	9		7
Scored first	8		9
Goals scored	28		24
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		15
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+2%

better

EST

RIO

view stats

Games conceded	17		19
Clean sheets	5		3
Conceded first	11		13
Goals conceded	34		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.7
KickOff rating		+9%

Estoril v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	7	3	8
J Robles	A Marqués	W. Cardoso Pina	V Zanocelo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	22	2	3	3 -
Y Begraoui FWD	22	5	2	1 -
J Robles GLK	21			3 -
A Marqués FWD	21	7		1 -
P Álvaro DEF	20	1	1	7 -
V Zanocelo MID	20			8 -
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	19			3 -
J Carvalho MID	18	5	1	3 -
P Amaral DEF	17		2	1 -
K Boma DEF	17	1		4 -
J Holsgrove MID	17	1	3	3 -
J Orellana MID	16			2 -
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	16	1	2	1 -
F Bacher DEF	12	1	1	4 -
G Costa DEF	11	1		1 -
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF	10			1 -
Xeka MID	10	1	1	4 -
R Guitane MID	9		1	-
E Mangala DEF	8			4 -
I. Salazar Piriz FWD	8			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	15	3	21
A Marqués	Y Begraoui	W. Cardoso Pina	J Holsgrove

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Marqués FWD	7	10		5
Y Begraoui FWD	5	15	2	7
J Carvalho MID	5	8	1	10
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	2	5	3	13
Xeka MID	1	3	1	1
G Costa DEF	1	1		3
F Bacher DEF	1	1	1
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	1	7	2	4
J Holsgrove MID	1	7	3	21
K Boma DEF	1	6		5
P Álvaro DEF	1	3	1	1
P Amaral DEF		2	2	5
J Orellana MID		1		2
F. Garcia Andrade FWD		5		6
V Zanocelo MID		2		2
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF				1
R Guitane MID			1	2
I. Salazar Piriz FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
997	52	120
J Holsgrove	W. Cardoso Pina	W. Cardoso Pina

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Holsgrove MID	997	24	76
P Álvaro DEF	916	13	80
V Zanocelo MID	665	32	60
K Boma DEF	656	27	91
J Carvalho MID	587	21	75
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	573	52	120
J Robles GLK	573	1	10
P Amaral DEF	560	18	51
F Bacher DEF	510	20	79
J Orellana MID	358	14	26
Xeka MID	301	19	48
Y Begraoui FWD	292	12	44
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	262	20	96
E Mangala DEF	207	7	16
A Marqués FWD	195	7	67
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF	129	6	13
G Costa DEF	124	8	16
R Guitane MID	93	4	28
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	77	4	34
I. Salazar Piriz FWD	38	1	4

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	11	3	8
M Vrousai	Clayton	M Vrousai	Clayton

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Vrousai DEF	21	1	3	3 -
Clayton FWD	21	11	2	8 -
T Morais FWD	21	2		1 -
K Bondoso FWD	21	2	1	1 -
J Novais MID	20			1 -
O Richards DEF	19		1	4 -
O Pohlmann MID	18	1	2	-
D Tıknaz MID	17	1	2	3 1
B Aguilera MID	16	2		3 -
M Neto MID	16	1	1	5 1
C Miszta GLK	14			2 -
J Panzo DEF	8			2 1
J Graça MID	8			-
J Tomé DEF	7			-
A Ndoj DEF	5			-
F. Petrasso DEF	5			2 -
V Gomes MID	5		1	-
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD	5			-
A Luiz FWD	4			-
N Abby DEF	3			-
K. Zoabi FWD	3			-
J Pedro DEF	2		1	-
T. Medina FWD	2			-
T. Bakoulas MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	29	3	14
Clayton	Clayton	M Vrousai	J Novais

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Clayton FWD	11	29	2	3
T Morais FWD	2	9		4
K Bondoso FWD	2	6	1	11
B Aguilera MID	2	3		8
M Vrousai DEF	1	8	3	10
O Pohlmann MID	1	2	2	10
D Tıknaz MID	1	1	2	10
M Neto MID	1	1	1	9
V Gomes MID			1	2
J Pedro DEF			1
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD		1
F. Petrasso DEF				1
A Ndoj DEF				1
J Tomé DEF				1
J Panzo DEF		1		2
O Richards DEF			1	9
J Novais MID		5		14

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
803	52	139
M Vrousai	M Vrousai	M Vrousai

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Vrousai DEF	803	52	139
O Richards DEF	682	51	105
D Tıknaz MID	565	47	84
M Neto MID	493	24	56
J Novais MID	432	12	34
K Bondoso FWD	431	30	70
C Miszta GLK	386		9
Clayton FWD	308	10	111
B Aguilera MID	305	24	55
J Panzo DEF	282	9	29
T Morais FWD	275	18	68
O Pohlmann MID	249	14	54
A Ndoj DEF	200	10	24
F. Petrasso DEF	115	3	14
N Abby DEF	101	7	11
J Graça MID	82	6	14
J Tomé DEF	81	9	17
A Luiz FWD	45	5	20
J Pedro DEF	27	4	6
V Gomes MID	27	1	3
V. Ferreira de Sousa FWD	26	2	5
T. Bakoulas MID	22	1	4
K. Zoabi FWD	11		5
T. Medina FWD	4		2

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Braga v Nacional

Fri 21st Feb, 20:15

Casa Pia v Gil Vicente

Arouca v Sporting Farense

Sun 23rd Feb, 15:30

Estrela Amadora v Santa Clara

Sun 23rd Feb, 15:30

AVS v S. Lisbon

Sun 23rd Feb, 18:00

Famalicao v Moreirense

Sun 23rd Feb, 20:30

Porto v V. Guimaraes

Mon 24th Feb, 20:15

V. Guimaraes v Casa Pia

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Gil Vicente v Benfica

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

S. Lisbon v Estoril

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Moreirense v Estrela Amadora

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Rio Ave v Braga

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Boavista v Santa Clara

Sporting Farense v AVS

Sun 2nd Mar, 00:00

Estoril v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estoril have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Rio Ave are in 11th position in the Liga NOS on 26 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Estoril v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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