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Estoril v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Mar, 18:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Martin Svedik guides his FC Porto team to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, with Ian Cathro's Estoril their rivals. Liga NOS statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. You can view it all, with graphics and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
29%
21/419/4
Draw
25%
31/1016/5
Porto
47%
8/1511/20
Draw 1-1
12%
13/213/2
Porto 1-0
10%
5/119/4
Porto 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Porto 2-0
8%
11/211/2
Estoril 1-0
7%
14/110/1
Estoril 2-1
7%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
20/116/1
Porto 3-1
5%
12/111/1
Estoril 2-0
4%
28/120/1
Porto 3-0
4%
9/117/2
Porto 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Estoril 3-1
3%
50/133/1
Estoril 3-2
2%
50/140/1
Porto 4-1
2%
25/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
19/2019/20
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/5-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/11-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
21/2011/10
BTTS - No
44%
7/104/6
BTTS - Home Win
15%
12/19/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
9/29/2
BTTS - Away Win
23%
11/413/5
Home/draw
53%
11/87/5
Away/draw
71%
1/82/15
Home/away
75%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/511/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/512/5
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/101/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
Home DNB
46%
7/216/5
Away DNB
64%
2/112/11
Estoril win to nil
14%
9/1-
Porto win to nil
24%
11/8-
Estoril / Estoril
8%
10/115/2
Estoril / Porto
4%
22/118/1
Estoril / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Draw / Estoril
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Porto
20%
3/116/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
Porto / Estoril
2%
40/133/1
Porto / Porto
34%
11/813/10
Porto / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Estoril have conceded 24 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 3rd place on 53 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Porto have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2619524762 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2519243959 
May 4
l
 
3-0A
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
3
Porto Away2616553153 
Mar 30
l
 
4-0A
-
-
4
Braga2616552053 
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
5
Santa Clara261349243 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
6
V. Guimaraes2610115941 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
7
Casa Pia2610610-336 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
8
Estoril Home26998-736 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
9
Famalicao268108034 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
10
Moreirense268711-631 
d
 
2-2A
May 11
May 4
w
 
0-3F
11
Nacional268513-1029 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
12
Rio Ave267811-1429 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Arouca267811-1429 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
15
Estrela Amadora265813-1723 
May 17
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
16
AVS2641111-1723 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista263617-2715 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
5
Estoril have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Estoril 8TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Porto
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
EST
1
D
1
PTO
4
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Estoril
Goals: Scored
16
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
1 / 7
EST
1
PTO
6
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is very strong, Martin Svedik's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

FC Porto's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Estoril have conceded in each of their last 7 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.5 for Martin Svedik's side suggests that run should continue.

Estoril 8th Porto 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Estoril have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285281/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
EST
PTO
29%
better
view stats
Games scored17
23
Failed to score9
3
Scored first10
17
Goals scored34
51
Avg. goals scored1.3
2
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
EST
PTO
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
12
Clean sheets5
14
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded41
20
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+39%

Estoril v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241038
J RoblesA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Begraoui FWD2662
1
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF2523
3
-
A Marqués FWD2510
1
-
J Robles GLK24
3
-
P Álvaro DEF2411
8
-
V Zanocelo MID221
7
-
P Amaral DEF212
1
-
K Boma DEF211
5
-
J Carvalho MID2152
3
1
J Holsgrove MID2113
4
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD21
3
-
J Orellana MID2011
2
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1912
2
-
F Bacher DEF1611
5
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF13
1
-
G Costa DEF132
1
-
R Guitane MID132
-
Xeka  MID1211
5
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD9
-
E Mangala DEF8
4
-
K Chamorro GLK1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261468
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraO Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK26
-
A Varela MID242
7
-
S Eustaquio MID23
6
-
D Namaso FWD2331
2
-
Pepê FWD2332
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD22143
3
1
G Borges FWD2122
5
-
N Pérez DEF2011
7
-
F Moura DEF1916
-
J Mário DEF193
5
-
O Silva DEF182
8
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF185
3
-
F Vieira MID1843
5
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1543
3
-
A Franco MID131
4
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF12
1
-
V Sousa MID12
1
-
D Gül FWD101
-
T Djaló DEF8
2
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD5
-
I Marcano DEF3
-
Zaidu  DEF3
-
T Pérez MID2
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-