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Estoril v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Dec, 18:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Moreirense pay Liga NOS rivals Estoril a visit on Saturday evening, as Cesar Peixoto leads his side into an away clash with Ian Cathro & co. at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this game will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Estoril and Moreirense have rarely served up thrillers of late, whether that be in Liga NOS individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.18.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estoril are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estoril 37%	3.25 4%	3.20 2%
Draw 27%	3.00	3.10
Moreirense 36%	2.40 4%	2.38
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	6.00 4%
Estoril 1-0 10%	8.00 6%	7.00 7%
Moreirense 1-0 10%	6.50	6.00
Estoril 2-1 8%	12.00 8%	10.00 9%
Draw 0-0 8%	7.00	6.50
Moreirense 2-1 8%	10.00	9.00
Estoril 2-0 6%	15.00	12.00 8%
Moreirense 2-0 6%	10.00	9.00
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	15.00
Estoril 3-1 3%	29.00	23.00
Moreirense 3-1 3%	21.00	17.00
Estoril 3-0 3%	34.00	26.00
Moreirense 3-0 3%	23.00 10%	17.00
Estoril 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Moreirense 3-2 2%	41.00 21%	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	2.35 2%	2.38 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	1.57 3%	1.53 1%
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.40 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	1.80	-
No 1st Goal 5%	7.00	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	2.00	2.05
BTTS - No 49%	1.75	1.70 2%
BTTS - Home Win 16%	7.50 6%	6.50
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	4.50
BTTS - Away Win 16%	6.00 9%	5.25
Home/draw 64%	1.53 3%	1.57
Away/draw 63%	1.33 2%	1.35 2%
Home/away 73%	1.36	1.35 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1.40 3%	1.44
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	2.75 5%	2.60
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	4.33 4%	4.40 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1.20 2%	1.18
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	10.00 9%	9.00
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1.06 1%	1.05 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	21.00 9%	19.00 12%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.08 2%	1.09
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8.00 14%	6.50
Home DNB 56%	2.20 2%	2.15 2%
Away DNB 55%	1.62 3%	1.62 1%
Estoril win to nil 21%	5.00 9%	-
Moreirense win to nil 20%	3.75 7%	-
Estoril / Estoril 15%	5.50	5.00 5%
Estoril / Moreirense 3%	29.00	23.00
Estoril / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Estoril 12%	6.50 7%	6.50
Draw / Moreirense 15%	5.50	5.25 5%
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	4.20 5%
Moreirense / Estoril 3%	34.00	26.00
Moreirense / Moreirense 21%	4.00	3.75
Moreirense / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Estoril have conceded 22 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Moreirense lay in 8th place on 20 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Moreirense have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Moreirense have played 8 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Estoril Moreirense
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Benfica	15	12	2	1	29	38	May 4	l 3-0A	d 1-1F	Feb 9
2	S. Lisbon	15	12	1	2	33	37	l 0-3A	Mar 2	w 2-1A	Apr 19
3	Porto	15	12	1	2	27	37	Mar 30	l 4-0A	l 0-3A	May 4
4	Braga	15	8	4	3	11	28	Apr 19	d 2-2A	Feb 2	l 3-1A
5	Santa Clara	15	9	0	6	1	27	l 1-4F	Jan 18	w 1-0F	Mar 9
6	V. Guimaraes	15	6	5	4	4	23	Jan 26	l 1-0A	Mar 30	l 1-0A
7	Casa Pia	15	5	5	5	-2	20	l 0-2A	Apr 27	Feb 16	l 3-1F
8	Moreirense Away	15	6	2	7	-3	20	Dec 28	May 11	-	-
9	Famalicao	15	4	7	4	1	19	w 2-1F	Apr 13	d 0-00-0	Feb 23
10	Gil Vicente	15	4	5	6	-7	17	d 0-00-0	Feb 2	w 3-2A	Apr 6
11	Rio Ave	15	4	4	7	-11	16	Feb 23	d 2-2A	Apr 13	l 3-2A
12	Estrela Amadora	15	4	3	8	-11	15	May 17	Jan 5	Mar 2	l 2-1A
13	Estoril Home	15	3	5	7	-12	14	-	-	May 11	Dec 28
14	AVS	15	2	7	6	-11	13	d 0-00-0	Apr 6	Jan 4	May 17
15	Nacional	15	3	4	8	-11	13	w 1-0F	Feb 16	Apr 27	l 1-0A
16	Boavista	15	2	6	7	-9	12	Feb 9	d 0-00-0	Mar 16	w 0-2F
17	Sporting Farense	15	3	3	9	-12	12	Mar 9	l 1-0A	Jan 19	w 1-2F
18	Arouca	15	3	2	10	-17	11	w 4-1A	Mar 16	w 3-1A	Jan 24

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Moreirense have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril	0 - 2	Casa Pia
Estoril	2 - 1	Famalicao
Estoril	0 - 0	AVS
Estoril	4 - 1	Arouca
Estoril	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Estoril	1 - 0	Nacional
Estoril	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
Estoril	1 - 4	Santa Clara
Estoril	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
Estoril	1 - 0	Famalicao
Estoril	0 - 1	Braga
Estoril	1 - 0	Porto
Estoril	1 - 0	Portimonense
Estoril	1 - 3	V. Guimaraes
Estoril	1 - 3	Gil Vicente
Estoril	1 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Estoril	1 - 2	Arouca
Estoril	1 - 3	Moreirense
Estoril	4 - 0	Sporting Farense
Estoril	4 - 0	Chaves

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Estoril	0 - 3	Benfica
H	Estoril	0 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Braga
H	Estoril	2 - 1	Famalicao
H	Estoril	0 - 0	AVS
A	Estoril	0 - 4	Porto
H	Estoril	4 - 1	Arouca
A	Estoril	0 - 1	Sporting Farense
H	Estoril	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Rio Ave
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Nacional
A	Estoril	0 - 0	Boavista
H	Estoril	0 - 0	Gil Vicente
A	Estoril	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
H	Estoril	1 - 4	Santa Clara
A	Estoril	1 - 2	Moreirense
H	Estoril	0 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Estoril	2 - 3	Sporting Farense
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Famalicao
A	Estoril	2 - 2	Chaves

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional	1 - 0	Moreirense
Rio Ave	3 - 2	Moreirense
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
Boavista	0 - 2	Moreirense
Estrela Amadora	2 - 1	Moreirense
Casa Pia	3 - 1	Moreirense
Braga	3 - 1	Moreirense
Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Moreirense
Casa Pia	0 - 1	Moreirense
Portimonense	0 - 2	Moreirense
Benfica	3 - 0	Moreirense
V. Guimaraes	1 - 0	Moreirense
Boavista	1 - 0	Moreirense
Sporting Farense	0 - 1	Moreirense
Braga	1 - 0	Moreirense
Porto	5 - 0	Moreirense
Estoril	1 - 3	Moreirense
Vizela	0 - 0	Moreirense
Gil Vicente	1 - 1	Moreirense
Estrela Amadora	0 - 1	Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Moreirense	0 - 3	Porto
A	Moreirense	0 - 1	Nacional
H	Moreirense	2 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Moreirense	2 - 3	Rio Ave
H	Moreirense	3 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Moreirense	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Moreirense	2 - 0	Boavista
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Moreirense	1 - 2	Estrela Amadora
H	Moreirense	0 - 0	Famalicao
A	Moreirense	1 - 3	Casa Pia
H	Moreirense	1 - 1	Benfica
A	Moreirense	1 - 3	Braga
H	Moreirense	3 - 1	Arouca
A	Moreirense	2 - 1	Sporting Farense
H	Moreirense	2 - 1	Estoril
A	Moreirense	1 - 0	Casa Pia
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Vizela
A	Moreirense	2 - 0	Portimonense
H	Moreirense	0 - 1	Gil Vicente

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Estoril

Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

1 / 5

EST

MOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
	1 - 3	Moreirense
Estoril	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Moreirense
Estoril	2 - 0
Estoril	2 - 0

Moreirense

Estoril

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

EST

MOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Moreirense	2 - 1
Moreirense	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Estoril
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Estoril

Goal Statistics

	Estoril 13th	Moreirense 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 Estoril have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	-23 Moreirense have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season

EST

MOR

32%

better

view stats

Games scored	6		11
Failed to score	9		4
Scored first	3		5
Goals scored	12		19
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	11		15
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.1
KickOff rating		+32%

better

EST

MOR

view stats

Games conceded	11		12
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	9		9
Goals conceded	24		22
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

Estoril v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	5	2	5
J Robles	A Marqués	P Amaral	P Álvaro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	15	2	1	2 -
A Marqués FWD	15	5		-
Y Begraoui FWD	15		1	1 -
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	15			3 -
J Robles GLK	14			3 -
P Álvaro DEF	14	1	1	5 -
V Zanocelo MID	14			5 -
J Orellana MID	13			2 -
K Boma DEF	11			3 -
J Carvalho MID	11	2		3 -
P Amaral DEF	10		2	1 -
J Holsgrove MID	10	1	2	1 -
H Costa FWD	10			1 -
Michel Costa MID	9			4 -
I. Salazar Piriz FWD	9			-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF	8			1 -
G Costa DEF	8	1		1 -
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	8		1	1 -
E Mangala DEF	6			4 -
F Bacher DEF	5			1 -
Xeka MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	7	2	12
A Marqués	A Marqués	P Amaral	J Holsgrove

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Marqués FWD	5	7		5
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	2	4	1	7
J Carvalho MID	2	5		5
P Álvaro DEF	1	2	1	1
G Costa DEF	1	1		3
J Holsgrove MID	1	4	2	12
Michel Costa MID				3
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD		2	1	2
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF				1
I. Salazar Piriz FWD		1
P Amaral DEF		1	2	5
H Costa FWD				5
K Boma DEF		3		3
J Orellana MID		1		2
V Zanocelo MID		1		2
F. Garcia Andrade FWD		3		5
Y Begraoui FWD		6	1	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
676	42	81
P Álvaro	W. Cardoso Pina	W. Cardoso Pina

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Álvaro DEF	676	10	58
V Zanocelo MID	621	24	50
J Holsgrove MID	528	14	39
K Boma DEF	426	21	54
J Robles GLK	395		6
W. Cardoso Pina DEF	357	42	81
J Carvalho MID	345	11	43
J Orellana MID	333	11	22
P Amaral DEF	319	12	31
F Bacher DEF	252	3	23
Michel Costa MID	242	8	32
E Mangala DEF	202	7	16
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	188	15	70
Y Begraoui FWD	165	6	24
A Marqués FWD	148	6	55
H Costa FWD	135	4	24
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF	129	6	13
G Costa DEF	100	8	14
Xeka MID	51	4	8
I. Salazar Piriz FWD	38	1	4
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	31	2	17

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	3	5
Kewin	L Nlavo	Alanzinho	Ismael

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Gabrielzinho MID	16	2	1	-
Kewin GLK	15			3 -
Marcelo DEF	15			4 -
G Frimpong DEF	15		1	3 -
Ismael MID	15	1	1	5 -
Madson FWD	15	2		-
G Schettine FWD	14	3	1	3 -
L Nlavo FWD	14	4	1	1 -
M Maracás DEF	13	1	1	1 -
Bernardo MID	13	1	1	1 -
S Tavares MID	13			3 1
Alanzinho MID	13	1	3	4 -
J Antonisse FWD	13			-
P. Costa Santos FWD	11			3 -
D Pinto DEF	10	2	1	2 -
F Silva DEF	10			2 -
L Ofori MID	10	1	1	1 -
Ponck DEF	7			-
G. Liberato Tomas Aquino MID	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	12
L Nlavo	Madson	Alanzinho	Alanzinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Nlavo FWD	4	12	1	3
G Schettine FWD	3	8	1	7
Gabrielzinho MID	2	2	1	2
D Pinto DEF	2	2	1	6
Madson FWD	2	12		9
L Ofori MID	1	1	1	4
Alanzinho MID	1	4	3	12
Bernardo MID	1	3	1	7
M Maracás DEF	1	5	1	2
Ismael MID	1	2	1	7
Kewin GLK				1
S Tavares MID		1		2
J Antonisse FWD		2		3
P. Costa Santos FWD				2
G Frimpong DEF		1	1	7
F Silva DEF				2
Marcelo DEF				1
Ponck DEF		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
771	41	82
Marcelo	Ismael	Marcelo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Marcelo DEF	771	23	82
Ismael MID	564	41	81
Kewin GLK	486		14
G Frimpong DEF	471	18	51
Alanzinho MID	463	12	45
M Maracás DEF	460	9	43
L Ofori MID	369	12	24
D Pinto DEF	295	17	38
Ponck DEF	289	8	23
S Tavares MID	256	18	52
F Silva DEF	242	11	35
Bernardo MID	237	15	37
Madson FWD	233	13	62
G Schettine FWD	121	6	48
L Nlavo FWD	114	11	65
Gabrielzinho MID	106	13	55
J Antonisse FWD	101	12	30
P. Costa Santos FWD	53	4	11
G. Liberato Tomas Aquino MID	34	1	3

Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds

Arouca v Gil Vicente

Fri 27th Dec, 20:15

AVS v Estrela Amadora

Sporting Farense v V. Guimaraes

Famalicao v Santa Clara

Mon 30th Dec, 20:15

Nacional v Porto

Fri 3rd Jan, 18:00

V. Guimaraes v S. Lisbon

Santa Clara v Sporting Farense

Sun 5th Jan, 15:30

Casa Pia v Famalicao

Sun 5th Jan, 18:00

Estrela Amadora v Estoril

Sun 5th Jan, 20:30

Gil Vicente v Rio Ave

Mon 6th Jan, 20:15

Estoril v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estoril have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Moreirense lay in 8th place on 20 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Estoril v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

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