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Estoril v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 20:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Estoril and Benfica on Saturday night, as managers Ian Cathro and Bruno Lage go head to head at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
25%
--
Draw
25%
--
Benfica
50%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Benfica 1-0
11%
--
Benfica 2-1
10%
--
Benfica 2-0
9%
--
Estoril 1-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Estoril 2-1
6%
--
Benfica 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Benfica 3-0
5%
--
Estoril 2-0
4%
--
Benfica 3-2
3%
--
Estoril 3-1
2%
--
Benfica 4-1
2%
--
Benfica 4-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
53%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
50%
--
Away/draw
75%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
43%
--
Away DNB
67%
--
Estoril win to nil
13%
--
Benfica win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Estoril have conceded 32 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 2nd place on 72 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 74 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 15 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
May 10
l
 
1-0A
2
Benfica Away3023344972 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
Braga3019652663 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
May 17
4
Porto3019563162 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
5
V. Guimaraes3012126948 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
7
Famalicao3011109643 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 28
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
9
Estoril Home3010911-1039 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
May 3
10
Moreirense309813-935 
d
 
2-2A
May 11
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
11
Rio Ave308913-1533 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
12
Arouca308913-1533 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional309516-1432 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
15
Estrela Amadora306816-2126 
May 17
w
 
2-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
16
AVS3041214-2624 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
18
Boavista305619-2721 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril2 - 1Famalicao
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 4Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Famalicao
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Estoril1 - 0Portimonense
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril0 - 2Braga
AEstoril0 - 3Famalicao
AEstoril3 - 0AVS
HEstoril1 - 2Porto
AEstoril1 - 1Arouca
HEstoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
AEstoril1 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
AEstoril2 - 2Nacional
HEstoril2 - 1Boavista
AEstoril2 - 1Gil Vicente
HEstoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 2Santa Clara
AEstoril4 - 2Estrela Amadora
HEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 3Benfica
HEstoril0 - 2Casa Pia
AEstoril2 - 2Braga
HEstoril2 - 1Famalicao
HEstoril0 - 0AVS
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
ABenfica1 - 0Santa Clara
HBenfica3 - 2Moreirense
ABenfica3 - 2Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 3Casa Pia
HBenfica4 - 0Famalicao
HBenfica1 - 2Braga
ABenfica0 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Benfica have beaten Estoril in 6 consecutive league meetings
13
Benfica have not lost to Estoril in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Benfica
Goals: Scored
4
12
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
D
1
BEF
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 5Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 2Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
Estoril
Goals: Scored
18
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
BEF
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica2 - 1
Benfica3 - 1
Benfica2 - 1
Benfica4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Estoril on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Estoril 9th Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Estoril have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285325/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
EST
BEF
40%
better
view stats
Games scored19
28
Failed to score11
2
Scored first12
23
Goals scored38
74
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.5
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.1
2.2
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
EST
BEF
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
16
Clean sheets6
14
Conceded first15
7
Goals conceded48
25
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+39%

Estoril v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26948
P ÁlvaroA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Begraoui FWD2873
1
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF2724
4
-
A Marqués FWD279
1
-
P Álvaro DEF2611
8
-
J Robles GLK24
3
-
V Zanocelo MID241
7
-
K Boma DEF231
7
-
P Amaral DEF232
2
-
J Carvalho MID2352
3
1
J Holsgrove MID2313
4
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD22
3
-
J Orellana MID2111
2
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD2142
2
-
F Bacher DEF1811
5
-
R Guitane MID152
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF14
1
-
Xeka  MID1411
6
-
G Costa DEF132
1
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD9
-
E Mangala DEF8
4
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261486
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD28145
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2721
6
-
O Kökcü MID2765
6
-
A Trubin GLK26
1
-
N Otamendi DEF2542
2
-
F Aursnes MID2424
1
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD2498
1
-
T Araújo DEF222
1
-
L Barreiro MID2231
5
-
Z Amdouni FWD2262
1
-
Florentino MID2121
4
-
Ángel Di María FWD2185
4
-
A Bah DEF181
3
-
A Silva DEF1712
2
-
A Cabral FWD172
3
-
A Schjelderup FWD1412
-
R Sanches  MID10
1
-
A Belotti FWD82
-
S Dahl DEF71
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
Bruma  FWD612
-
L. Sousa Santos DEF3
1
-
Manu MID32
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID3
-
S Soares GLK2
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-