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Estoril v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Oct, 15:30 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril and Arouca take on one another at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Saturday afternoon, with both Ian Cathro and Daniel Sousa hoping for success in the Liga NOS. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 77% chance of Estoril and Arouca a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Liga NOS fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
37%
2/1
9%
2/1
3%
Draw
28%
11/59/4
2%
Arouca
35%
7/5
1%
7/5
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Estoril 1-0
11%
7/113/2
Arouca 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
6%
6/1
7%
Estoril 2-1
8%
10/19/1
5%
Arouca 2-1
8%
9/18/1
6%
Estoril 2-0
7%
12/111/1
Arouca 2-0
6%
10/117/2
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Estoril 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Arouca 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Estoril 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Arouca 3-0
2%
22/116/1
11%
Estoril 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Arouca 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
5/4
5%
6/5
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
13/10
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20
2%
19/20
2%
BTTS - No
51%
4/5
6%
4/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/27/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/24/1
Home/draw
65%
8/15
2%
11/20
1%
Away/draw
63%
4/112/5
Home/away
72%
4/11
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
8%
7/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
3/1
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
11%
7/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
Home DNB
57%
11/10
5%
21/20
Away DNB
54%
4/6
3%
7/10
Estoril win to nil
22%
7/2-
Arouca win to nil
20%
11/4
6%
-
Estoril / Estoril
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
Estoril / Arouca
3%
28/122/1
10%
Estoril / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Estoril
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Arouca
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
2%
Arouca / Estoril
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Arouca / Arouca
20%
3/114/5
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league. Estoril are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 4 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Estoril have conceded 10 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Arouca lay in 13th place on 7 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 8 matches. Arouca have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 2 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arouca have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Arouca have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Estoril
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Arouca
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
Mar 2
 S. Lisbon88002524 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
Mar 30
Nov 3
 Porto87011421 
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
May 4
Dec 22
 Benfica75111216 
Dec 1
Apr 13
l
 
1-4F
Jan 19
 Santa Clara8503215 
Dec 15
Apr 27
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Braga8422714 
Nov 3
Mar 30
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
Dec 1
Apr 13
 Famalicao8341513 
Apr 6
Nov 9
Dec 29
May 11
 Moreirense8323-111 
Jan 26
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 2
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
Dec 29
May 11
Nov 9
Apr 6
 AVS8233-49 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Casa Pia8224-58 
May 4
Dec 22
Feb 23
d
 
2-2A
 Rio Ave8224-78 
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
Oct 26
Mar 16
 Arouca Away8215-97 
-
-
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
 Boavista8134-56 
May 17
Jan 5
-
-
 Estoril Home8134-76 
Mar 16
Oct 26
May 17
Jan 5
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
Apr 19
Dec 8
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
 Nacional7124-85 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
Mar 9
l
 
1-0A
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 4Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Famalicao
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Estoril1 - 0Portimonense
Estoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 3Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 0Sporting Farense
Estoril4 - 0Chaves
Estoril4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 1Benfica
Estoril2 - 2Vizela
Estoril1 - 2Boavista
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstoril2 - 2Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 0Nacional
AEstoril0 - 0Boavista
HEstoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 4Santa Clara
AEstoril1 - 2Moreirense
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril2 - 3Sporting Farense
HEstoril1 - 0Famalicao
AEstoril2 - 2Chaves
HEstoril0 - 1Braga
AEstoril0 - 0Casa Pia
HEstoril1 - 0Porto
HEstoril1 - 0Portimonense
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 3Vizela
Arouca 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Sporting Farense0 - 1Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 0Arouca
Moreirense3 - 1Arouca
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Gil Vicente2 - 2Arouca
Rio Ave1 - 1Arouca
Braga0 - 3Arouca
Moreirense1 - 0Arouca
Chaves1 - 5Arouca
Casa Pia1 - 0Arouca
Portimonense1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Boavista0 - 4Arouca
Sporting Farense2 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
Famalicao1 - 0Arouca
Porto1 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArouca1 - 1AVS
AArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca1 - 0Sporting Farense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca0 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 0Nacional
AArouca1 - 3Moreirense
HArouca0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca1 - 1Rio Ave
HArouca2 - 1Boavista
AArouca3 - 0Braga
HArouca2 - 1Sporting Farense
AArouca0 - 1Moreirense
HArouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
AArouca5 - 1Chaves
HArouca3 - 2Famalicao
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Arouca
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
EST
2
D
1
ARO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
1 - 2Arouca
Estoril2 - 0
1 - 2Arouca
Estoril4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
Estoril
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
EST
1
ARO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
Arouca4 - 3
Arouca2 - 0
0 - 2Estoril
Arouca2 - 1
Arouca1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Arouca of late. It has been 11 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Estoril.

Estoril 15th Arouca 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Estoril have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Arouca have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285138/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
EST
ARO
13%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score5
4
Scored first2
4
Goals scored4
4
Avg. goals scored0.5
0.5
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal13
14
Conversion rate for8
7
Avg. XG for0.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
12%
better
EST
ARO
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded11
13
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded13
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.8
2
KickOff rating
+12%

Estoril v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8214
P ÁlvaroA MarquésP ÁlvaroP Álvaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Álvaro DEF81
4
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF81
1
-
P Amaral DEF8
-
Michel Costa MID8
2
-
V Zanocelo MID8
3
-
J Orellana MID8
2
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD8
1
-
A Marqués FWD82
-
Y Begraoui FWD81
1
-
J Robles GLK7
1
-
E Mangala DEF6
4
-
H Costa FWD5
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF4
-
K Boma DEF4
1
-
J Carvalho MID41
2
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD4
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD4
1
-
Xeka  MID3
1
-
J Holsgrove MID31
-
G Costa DEF2
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8114
N MantlB PintoA TrezzaI Rodrigues
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK8
2
-
T Esgaio DEF8
1
-
B Pinto MID81
2
-
T Fukui MID8
1
-
M Sylla FWD8
2
-
A Trezza FWD811
1
-
P Santos MID7
-
V Morozov FWD7
-
Jason FWD71
2
-
Weverson DEF6
1
-
I Rodrigues FWD6
4
-
C Lamba DEF5
2
-
J Fontán DEF5
2
-
H Araújo FWD51
1
-
A Dante DEF4
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
-
M Puche FWD3
-
Quaresma DEF2
1
-
A Pinto DEF2
-
P Gozálbez MID2
-
G Yalcin FWD21
1
-
C González FWD21
-
N Galovic DEF1
-