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CD Nacional v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 15:30 BST, Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)),

Massimo Pavanel takes his Vitoria Guimaraes charges to the Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)) in the Liga NOS on Saturday afternoon, with Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional the opponent. Liga NOS stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
36%
--
Draw
27%
--
V. Guimaraes
37%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
V. Guimaraes 1-0
11%
--
Nacional 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
--
Nacional 2-1
8%
--
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
--
Nacional 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
--
Nacional 3-1
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-0
3%
--
Nacional 3-0
3%
--
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
--
Nacional 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
63%
--
Away/draw
64%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
55%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Nacional win to nil
20%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
21%
--
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 3 and won 5. Nacional have conceded 31 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 15 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 5th place on 48 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 9 and losing 3 games. They have scored 34 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 15 away games, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
4-4A
May 17
2
Benfica3023344972 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Braga3019652663 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
4
Porto3019563162 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
5
V. Guimaraes A3012126948 
May 3
d
 
2-2F
-
-
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao3011109643 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
9
Estoril3010911-1039 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Moreirense309813-935 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Rio Ave308913-1533 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
12
Arouca308913-1533 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Nacional Home309516-1432 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
May 3
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Estrela Amadora306816-2126 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
16
AVS3041214-2624 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 11
d
 
2-2A
18
Boavista305619-2721 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
5
V. Guimaraes have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
NAC
3
GUI
1
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Nacional
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
NAC
1
D
2
GUI
2
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is very strong, Massimo Pavanel's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for CD Nacional makes sense in this context.

Nacional 13th V. Guimaraes 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285327/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
NAC
GUI
28%
better
view stats
Games scored16
22
Failed to score14
8
Scored first11
14
Goals scored27
41
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
NAC
GUI
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
18
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first17
14
Goals conceded41
32
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+14%

Nacional v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
284310
L FrançaD PenhaL EstevesD. Soumaré
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK28
3
-
G García DEF282
4
-
L Esteves MID273
4
-
Ulisses DEF252
5
1
Z Vitor DEF251
9
-
D Penha MID2541
1
-
I Tomich FWD2531
4
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2331
3
-
M Dias MID232
6
-
A Appiah FWD22
3
-
R Macedo FWD211
-
Dudu FWD2032
-
B Costa MID1821
-
D. Soumaré MID1711
9
1
L Santos DEF13
2
-
C. Abidi MID121
3
-
J Aurélio DEF101
1
-
A Sousa MID10
3
-
P Bóia FWD911
1
-
J Tagueu FWD81
1
-
F Yamada FWD81
1
1
D Sousa FWD7
-
M Baeza MID51
-
R Encarnação GLK1
1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28549
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK28
4
-
Samu MID2821
2
-
T Händel  MID2721
3
-
N Santos MID2733
5
-
J Mendes DEF26
9
-
J Mendes MID263
2
-
T Silva MID2644
4
1
N Oliveira FWD2534
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2342
4
-
T Borevkovic DEF22
4
-
Chuchu FWD1921
1
-
M Villanueva DEF15
6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD155
3
-
Maga DEF122
2
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
V. Félix FWD10
1
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD82
-
U Embaló FWD721
-
F Relvas DEF6
-
Hevertton DEF5
-
Beni MID2
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-