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CD Nacional v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 3rd Jan, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)),

Friday evening sees Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional and Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves’s FC Porto go up against one another in a Liga NOS clash at the Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)). Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
18%
--
Draw
22%
--
Porto
59%
--
Porto 1-0
11%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Porto 2-0
11%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Porto 3-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Porto 3-1
6%
--
Nacional 1-0
6%
--
Nacional 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Porto 4-0
3%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Porto 4-1
3%
--
Nacional 2-0
3%
--
Nacional 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Home 1st Goal
40%
--
Away 1st Goal
56%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
51%
--
BTTS - No
49%
--
BTTS - Home Win
9%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
26%
--
Home/draw
41%
--
Away/draw
82%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
34%
--
Away DNB
75%
--
Nacional win to nil
9%
--
Porto win to nil
33%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 20 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 3rd place on 37 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 15 matches. Porto are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 13 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Porto have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Benfica1512212938 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 9
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
2
S. Lisbon1512123337 
l
 
1-6A
Jan 25
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
3
Porto Away1512122737 
Jan 3
May 17
-
-
4
Braga158431128 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
5
Santa Clara15906127 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
6
V. Guimaraes15654423 
May 4
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
7
Casa Pia15555-220 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
8
Moreirense15627-320 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
May 4
w
 
0-3F
9
Famalicao15474119 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
10
Gil Vicente15456-717 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
11
Rio Ave15447-1116 
May 11
Dec 29
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
12
Estrela Amadora15438-1115 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
13
Estoril15357-1214 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
14
AVS15276-1113 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
15
Nacional Home15348-1113 
-
-
May 17
Jan 3
16
Boavista15267-912 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
Dec 28
May 11
17
Sporting Farense15339-1212 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
18
Arouca153210-1711 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional0 - 1Moreirense
Nacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional2 - 0Tondela
Nacional1 - 3Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional1 - 0Moreirense
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional0 - 0Boavista
ANacional0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HNacional2 - 0Santa Clara
ANacional0 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
ANacional0 - 1Estoril
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional0 - 3Famalicao
HNacional1 - 3Benfica
ANacional2 - 2Moreirense
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
AVS0 - 5Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Braga0 - 1Porto
Chaves0 - 3Porto
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Portimonense0 - 3Porto
Gil Vicente1 - 1Porto
Arouca3 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense1 - 3Porto
Boavista1 - 1Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Famalicao0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
Vizela0 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto1 - 1Famalicao
HPorto2 - 0Casa Pia
APorto1 - 4Benfica
HPorto4 - 0Estoril
APorto5 - 0AVS
HPorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto2 - 1Sporting Farense
APorto0 - 2S. Lisbon
HPorto2 - 0Rio Ave
APorto2 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0Braga
HPorto2 - 1Boavista
APorto3 - 0Chaves
HPorto2 - 2S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 1Casa Pia
bet365
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Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Porto have beaten Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
8
Porto have not lost to Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Nacional
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
1
11
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
16
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.9 against CD Nacional on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nacional 15th Porto 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Nacional have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Porto have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285201/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.9
1.9
Attack rating
NAC
PTO
60%
better
view stats
Games scored7
14
Failed to score8
1
Scored first5
12
Goals scored10
36
Avg. goals scored0.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal15
5
Conversion rate for7
20
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
NAC
PTO
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
5
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded21
9
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+46%

Nacional v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15325
L FrançaI TomichM DiasUlisses
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK15
2
-
G García DEF151
1
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF151
2
-
Z Vitor DEF15
4
-
L Esteves MID151
3
-
M Dias MID142
4
-
Ulisses DEF131
4
1
A Appiah FWD13
1
-
D Penha MID1211
-
I Tomich FWD123
3
-
R Macedo FWD111
-
B Costa MID10
-
A Butzke FWD101
2
-
N Thomas FWD91
3
-
D. Soumaré MID7
2
-
T Reis FWD7
1
-
Dudu FWD71
-
J Aurélio DEF51
-
M Baeza MID51
-
L Santos DEF4
1
-
A Sousa MID4
1
-
D Sousa FWD4
-
G Santos FWD3
-
A Freitas DEF1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151145
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaM. Moreira Moutinho FernandesA Varela
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK15
-
N González  MID1542
3
-
A Varela MID141
5
-
Galeno FWD148
3
-
Pepê FWD1432
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF134
1
-
S Eustaquio MID13
3
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD12112
2
-
D Namaso FWD122
1
-
G Borges FWD1211
2
-
N Pérez DEF11
2
-
J Mário DEF103
2
-
O Silva DEF9
3
-
F Vieira MID912
1
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF8
1
-
V Sousa MID7
1
-
I Jaime MID722
1
-
A Franco MID51
1
-
F Navarro FWD4
-
M Grujić MID2
-
D Gül FWD21
-
Wendell DEF1
-