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CD Nacional v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga NOS, and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido’s CD Nacional will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins’s Estrela Amadora are their opponents at the Estadio da Madeira. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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CD Nacional's next match is v Gil Vicente at 15:30 on Saturday 19th April
Estrela Amadora's next match is v Arouca at 18:00 on Saturday 19th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Nacional and Estrela Amadora was on Sunday 6th April 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 6th 2025
Nacional 0
1 Estrela Amadora
 
81' J. Borges Cabral
 
NAC
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
7
5
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
15
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
NacionalEstrela Amadora
 

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this match will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Nacional and Estrela Amadora haven't typically been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in Liga NOS individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
56%
21/20
2%
-
Draw
25%
11/5-
Estrela Amadora
18%
29/10
8%
-
Nacional 1-0
15%
11/2-
Nacional 2-0
12%
8/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
7/1
7%
-
Nacional 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
7%
9/1
11%
-
Nacional 3-0
6%
16/1
11%
-
Nacional 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
4%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
14/1
12%
-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
3%
18/1
12%
-
Nacional 4-0
2%
40/1-
Nacional 4-1
2%
40/1-
Nacional 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
1%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
7/10
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
13/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
19/20
3%
-
BTTS - No
58%
4/5
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
7/1-
Home/draw
82%
1/4
3%
-
Away/draw
44%
4/5
6%
-
Home/away
75%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/3
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
9/4
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
11/4
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
20%
-
Home DNB
74%
4/9
4%
-
Away DNB
36%
13/8
5%
-
Nacional win to nil
37%
12/5
5%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
11%
11/2
18%
-
Nacional / Nacional
24%
12/5
3%
-
Nacional / Estrela Amadora
2%
33/1-
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nacional
17%
4/1-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
Estrela Amadora / Nacional
3%
25/1
10%
-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
14%
5/1-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Nacional have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 23 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Estrela Amadora have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2921625169 
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
2
Benfica2922344669 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Braga2918652460 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Porto2918563059 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
May 3
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Santa Clara2914411046 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
7
Famalicao2911108743 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Casa Pia2911711-340 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Estoril2910910-839 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-4A
May 17
10
Moreirense299812-735 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
11
Nacional Home299515-1132 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
Rio Ave298813-1532 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 4
13
Arouca297913-1630 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
14
Gil Vicente296815-1626 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
15
Estrela Amadora A296815-2026 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
-
16
AVS2941114-2623 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 11
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense294916-2021 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista294619-2818 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
HNacional2 - 2Estoril
ANacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional3 - 1AVS
HNacional2 - 0Porto
ANacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional1 - 0Moreirense
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional0 - 0Boavista
ANacional0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HNacional2 - 0Santa Clara
ANacional0 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
8
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Vizela4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Boavista1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Boavista
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1AVS
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
HEstrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
AEstrela Amadora1 - 5S. Lisbon
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 3Gil Vicente
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Estrela Amadora fans, as should a 7 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Nacional 11th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-54
Estrela Amadora have scored 54% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.4
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285296/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
13%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score12
13
Scored first10
7
Goals scored26
21
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal10
10
Conversion rate for10
10
Avg. XG for1.1
0.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
13%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first15
18
Goals conceded37
41
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+13%

Nacional v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
284310
L FrançaD PenhaL EstevesD. Soumaré
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK28
3
-
G García DEF282
4
-
L Esteves MID273
4
-
Ulisses DEF252
5
1
Z Vitor DEF251
9
-
D Penha MID2541
1
-
I Tomich FWD2531
4
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2331
3
-
M Dias MID232
6
-
A Appiah FWD22
3
-
R Macedo FWD211
-
Dudu FWD2032
-
B Costa MID1821
-
D. Soumaré MID1711
9
1
L Santos DEF13
2
-
C. Abidi MID121
3
-
J Aurélio DEF101
1
-
A Sousa MID10
3
-
P Bóia FWD911
1
-
J Tagueu FWD81
1
-
F Yamada FWD81
1
1
D Sousa FWD7
-
M Baeza MID51
-
R Encarnação GLK1
1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24529
NiltonR PinhoNiltonA Ruiz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD275
6
-
Kikas FWD2651
3
-
Nilton DEF252
4
-
L Bucca MID2421
8
-
R Lima DEF222
2
1
P. Valente Moreira MID221
3
-
A Ruiz MID222
9
-
L Cordeiro MID2111
3
-
J Cabral FWD2021
2
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF191
4
-
M Keliano MID191
7
-
Ferro DEF15
5
-
I Dramé DEF151
1
-
M Lopes DEF141
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD9
-
Andorinha GLK8
-
C Banza FWD81
3
-
R Pantalon DEF6
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF6
2
1
Amine MID5
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD3
1
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
S. Commey DEF2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
D Cabral MID11
-
T Ferreira FWD1
-